thursDay, may 8, 2008 , baishakh 25, Jamadiul Awal 2, 1428 a.h

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Leading News

ACC submits charge sheet against Sheikh Hasina and 8 others
Staff Correspondent

The Anti-Corruption Commission (ACC) has submitted charge sheet against former prime minister and Awami League President Sheikh Hasina and 8 others in Niko corruption case.
Yesterday, ACC deputy director Shabbir Hasan who filed the case with Tejgaon thana on December 9 last year submitted the charge sheet to the CMM court for incurring a loss of Tk 13,650 crore to the national exchequer.
The co-accused who have been charge-sheeted are Prof Rafiqul Islam, Dr Towfique-e-Elahi Chowdhury, Dr SA Samad, Akmal Hossain, Mosharraf Hossain, Dr AKM Mashiur Rahman, Syed Anwarul Haq and Kashem Sharif of Niko. It may be mentioned that Sheikh Hasina, also president of Awami League, Prof Rafique and Towfique are in custody while six others remain absconding.
They were prosecuted under the penal code 409/109/511 and section 5(2) of the Corruption Prevention Act, 1947. The provision of Emergency Power Rules has not been invoked in the case. After receiving charge sheet, the court ordered for issuance of arrest warrant against the five absconding accused: Dr Kamal Siddiqui, CM Yusuf Hossain, Mir Moinul Haque, Shafiur Rahman and Kashem Sharif. The court asked the prosecutor to produce them on May 13.
Meanwhile, on May 5, the ACC submitted charge sheet against Khaldea Zia and 10 others in Niko scam case for incurring a loss of Tk 13,777 crore to the state. ACC deputy director SM Shahidur Rahman submitted the charge sheet in the Court of CMM AKM Enamul Haq.
Other charge-sheeted co-accuseds are former Law Minister Barrister Moudud Ahmed, former State Minister for Energy and Mineral Resources AKM Mosharraf Hossain, former secretary Khandaker Shahidul Islam, businessmen Giasuddin Al Mamun, Selim Bhuiyan, Kashem Sharif of Niko Resources Bangladesh Limited, former Principal Secretary to PM Dr Kamal Siddiqui, Petro Bangla director CM Yusuf Hussain, former BAPEX senior general manager Meer Moinul Haque and former BAPEX Secretary Shafiur Rahman.
Among the accuseds Khaleda Zia, Moudud Ahmed, AKM Mosharraf Hossain, Khandaker Shahidul Islam, Giasuddin Al Mamun and Selim Bhuiyan are in custody while Kashem Sharif of Niko Resources Bangladesh Limited, former Principal Secretary to PM Dr Kamal Siddiqui, Petro Bangla director CM Yusuf Hussain, former BAPEX senior general manager Meer Moinul Haque and former BAPEX Secretary Shafiur Rahman are absconding. The prosecutor submitted a list of 68 witnesses.


Programmes to free Khaleda in a day or two: Delwar
We have to participate in polls for democracy
even without Khaleda: Saifur


Staff Correspondent

BNP Secretary General Khandoker Delwar Hossain on Wednesday said the party senior leaders have decided to announce programme in a day or two demanding release of Begum Khaleda Zia as well as ensuring early restoration of democracy in the country.
Delwar made the disclosure after holding a one-hour long meeting of executive committee of the party yesterday at his Nam home.
"For securing release of our detained chief Begum Khaleda Zia as well as for the betterment of the country, the party has chalked out programmes which I hope will be announced in a day or two," Delwar told newsmen.
Meanwhile, acting Chairperson of the pro-government reformist faction of BNP M Saifur Rahman on Wednesday reiterated that his party might contest in the next general election even if Begum Khaleda Zia and Sheikh Hasina are not allowed to participate in the polls due to legal causes.
Saifur Rahman, however, observed that the election would not be credible and acceptable keeping the two chiefs out of the election process, saying, "It is a fact that election without Khaleda and Hasina will not be acceptable, but the election is a must for returning to democratic process as we have to remember that General Ershad kept the democratic captive for nine years." Saifur Rahman was briefing newsmen as a group of party workers of Sylhet met him at his Gulshan residence yesterday.
Talking about party reforms, Saifur Rahman says, "Reform is a must in the present contest of politics and our leader Begum Khaleda Zia is the greatest reformer in South Asia. As per her reforms, she shut down the Adamjee Jute Mills, for which the country was incurring huge losses, even despite the request of some of ministers of that period, who are lenient to left politics." About party's stand on the state of emergency, he said, "Our position is very clear. We want the state emergency to be lifted much ahead of the election for ensuring an atmosphere conducive for election campaigning. At least the state of emergency could be relaxed lifting the ban on indoor political activities across the country. You (the journalist) know well how difficult it is to work under the emergency. Many times headlines of your news are being changed as there is a state of emergency."
It is to be noted that Saifur Rahman was leaving the country on Wednesday night for Singapore for his medical check up. Asked whether he nominated anybody to run the party in his absence, Saifur said, "Begum Khaleda Zia is our leader and I have no power to nominate anyone to run the party. I am just discharging my duties on a decision of some of the standing committee members. Most of them, however, have already withdrawn their decision submitting affidavit with the High Court."


  Caretaker govt losing popularity it enjoyed during takeover: British HC
Anwar Chy says two years a long time for an interim administration

UNB, Dhaka

British High Commissioner Anwar Choudhury observed that the popularity with which the caretaker government came to power seems to be on the wane as he said two years are a long time for an interim regime.
"Yes, it is a longer period of time. Our view was that it should be as shorter as possible and actions should be as faster as possible so you get to the elections," he said in an exclusive interview with the United News of Bangladesh (UNB).
Choudhury said, "The longer you take to do anything, the more risky you are from unseen events. Even if you are brilliant, you are prone to risk from unseen events."
Asked if he felt that the government lost the popularity it took over with 16 months back, he said, "Yes, that looks to be true. You see popularity goes up and down."
During 90-minute interview with UNB Chief of Correspondents Shamim Ahmad at the envoy's residence, Choudhury spoke on a wide range of subjects, encompassing the fate of general election, notion about militarization, anti-graft trial, terrorism, climate change and bilateral trade and investment.
Asked whether he foresees silky road ahead of the elections, Choudhury, who closely watched twists and turns of political events in his four-year tenure, said road ahead of the elections seems less bumpy than six months ago and he is extremely hopeful about the election by next December.
"Road is definitely there-it is clear and the signpost is there. Hopefully, there is no major hole in the road ahead and people are now looking at the elections," said Choudhury, a most media-focused British diplomat the country ever has.
About a greater role of the army in governance, Choudhury said, "One should always guard against approaching militarization."
He, however, said the army is playing a strong supportive role in doing some good projects like voter registration and helping people in floods and cyclones, for examples. "So, something is welcome while other things people need to discuss-what is good and what is worrying."
Choudhury said, "Our position is very clear. Our national policy is to support the best election that Bangladesh can achieve for democratic government. Bangladesh should have a strong democracy and democracy would be the mode of our relations."
Asked whether the polls would get international credence without former ruling parties-BNP and Awami League-in the fray, he said:
"Our main effort is to help Bangladesh get to a level playing field for free and fair elections having a credible voter list and having credible scene so there is no serious doubt about rigging and no sign of money and muscleman factors that was part of the problem that led to a situation in 2006 and 2007."
Now, in December 2008, if the field is totally level, people will hopefully participate in the elections. Party position is entirely party decision. "But it would be a shame if everybody does not participate in the election, something for which the country is waiting for so long."
Asked about the polls under the state of emergency, he said, "We hope that it can be lifted totally allowing people to organize and enjoy the elections. If total lift is not possible, it must be lifted maximum in all practical sense."
When pointed out that past three elections were held without state of emergency and the elections results were by and large acceptable, Chowdhury said law and order and voters' safety must be ensured as elections must be physically safe and away from any intimidation.
"Our position is clear: the state of emergency should be lifted absolutely in all practical steps."
About Britain's position if the election results were manipulated, Choudhuruy said the "rigged or manipulated elections will not be acceptable to us. Election has to be free and fair". He said Britain had opposed the elections in 2007 on the allegation of rigging and "our position has not changed".
Choudhury went on saying, "We felt if this country became a failed state, it is a problem for everybody. We wanted to avert that situation. There was an Islamic extremist threat and then the collapse in the governance in 2006 right up to 1/11 and we did our very best."


 EC delegation apprises President of progress in preparation for holding election by Dec

UNB, Dhaka

The Election Commission on Wednesday apprised President Prof Dr Iajuddin Ahmed of their work in preparation for holding the general election by December as per the set roadmap. A delegation comprising entire hierarchy of the Election Commission, led by Chief Election Commissioner Dr ATM Shamsul Huda, called on the President at Bangabhaban and informed him about the progress in preparatory work.
Talking to reporters after the meeting, CEC Huda said they informed the President about the EC's different activities, including preparation for holding the general election by next December according to the roadmap.
"We apprised the President that the EC is hopeful of finalizing the electoral roll with photographs by October this year, as 83 percent of the voters in the country have already been enrolled," he said. The CEC said the delegation also informed the President about the delimitation of constituencies and demonstrated a power-point presentation on the delimitation before him. The Election Commission is following the specific policy, rules and regulations under provisions of the constitution and the exiting electoral laws on delimitation of constituencies, he said. "There is no scope for losing neutrality in this connection," he told the journalists, in an oblique reference to criticisms from political circles against the redesigning of 133 of the 300 parliamentary constituencies.
The EC said the President gave a patient hearing to them and witnessed the power-point demonstration on the delimitation. The President expressed satisfaction at the activities of the EC towards holding the general election, Dr Huda added. Incidentally, the EC explained to the President their election-preparatory work a day after Chief Adviser of the caretaker government Dr Fakhruddin Ahmed met the President when election preparation figured high during discussions on several important matters.
Other members of the delegation were Election Commissioners Mohammad Sohul Hussain and Brigadier General (retd) M Sakhawat Hossain and secretary to the Election Commission Muhammad Humayan Kabir. Military Secretary to the President Major General Mohd Aminul Karim, Secretary to the President's Office Md Sirajul Islam and President's Press Secretary Abdul Awal Howlader were
present.


 BNP will resist farcical election: Delwar vows
Staff Correspondent

 
The beleaguered BNP on Tuesday gave an announcement of resisting the next election if it is held in a farcical manner keeping its detained Chairperson Begum Khaleda Zia out of the election process.
Meanwhile, in the latest turn of events in BNP, the family members of the party Secretary General Khandoker Delwar Hossain was allegedly threatened once again with death.
Both the announcement and the allegation came from a press conference, arranged to lodge party's protest against framing the charge sheet against Begum Khaleda Zia, held at the Nam flat of Khandoker Delwar Hossain yesterday.
"Khandoker Delwar's daughter 'Panna' received a phone call from an unknown source and she was told to request her father not to brief the media today (Tuesday), and the caller issued a threat -otherwise her brother, who is now in jail, will be killed," BNP acting Office Secretary Ruhul Kabir Rizvi Ahmed made the allegation in front of Khandoker Delwar Hossain as he was ready to brief newsmen.
Khandoker Delwar Hossain also started his briefing saying, "Today I am briefing you (the newsmen) in a scary situation and in panic." "We have long been claiming that this government and the EC are hatching conspiracies under the instructions of external forces to hold a staged election keeping the two chiefs of the two big political parties out of the election process," Delwar alleged saying, "The people of the country as well as the BNP would not allow the government to hold such farcical election. We will do whatever is needed to stop such election."

He called upon the government to shun the "path of malpractice" and follow the constitutional provision in the greater interest of the country and its people. Talking about framing charge sheet against Begum Khaleda Zia, Delwar claimed, "It as a false and fabricated case." He demanded its immediate withdrawal as he said people will not accept such a charge. The BNP Secretary General accused the government of making laws and using those according to its "whims". About the imposition of state of emergency on January 11, 2007, he said, "The so-called one-eleven episode was created under a long plan and the President was forced to promulgate the emergency".
Meanwhile, the outgoing British High Commissioner Anwar Chowdhury met Maj (retd) Hafiz Uddin Ahmed, acting Secretary General of the pro-government reformist faction of BNP, at his Banani residence yesterday.
After the meeting both Hafiz and Chowdhury hoped that a free, fair and credible election with maximum participation will be held in announced timeline.


 Two ex-premiers sued to depoliticize tested politicians, introduce ‘sustainable politico-military democracy’:
Barrister Shafique

UNB, Dhaka


Barrister Shafique Ahmed, a top counsel for Sheikh Hasina, Tuesday alleged that the two former Prime Ministers have been sued by the incumbent government with a scheme to depoliticize tested politicians and introduce 'sustainable politico-military democracy' putting its loyalists in power.
While making his submission in a special court to relieve ex-PM Hasina of the charge proposed by the prosecution in the barge- mounted power-plant case, he said this case is the product of a well-thought-out plan to debar Hasina from becoming Prime Minister for a second time.
"The charge is politically motivated with mala fide intention," her attorney told the court.
Shafique said it is former Prime Minister Hasina who allowed the private sector to invest in power generation as the country faced serious power shortages and the previous government had not taken any step to increase the power production to meet a growing demand.
He said the government saved Tk 316 crore by awarding the deal to Wartsila Power Company to install the barge-mounted power plant in Khulna. "The work was given to the company by maintaining government rules without giving favour to anyone."
Shafique submitted that the case story dates back a decade, but there is no reasonable explanation from the government for filing the case after an "inordinate delay that causes doubts about intention of the government".
Syed Rezaur Rahman and Barrister Fazle Noor Tapash also made their arguments for exoneration of Hasina.
Adv Kazi Sajwar Hossain for the first time placed argument for relieving his client Dr Toufique-E-Elahi Chowdhury from the charge. He said there were no allegations against Chowdhury to link him in the case in receiving any "gratification or any pecuniary advantage or misuse of power of his office".
Sajwar said the present case was created against his client on "false and baseless allegation". He questioned why the Minister for Power and Energy at that time was not made either prosecution witness or an accused when the Prime Minister and others were accused in the case. "Is it because he was a General?' The hearing remains inconclusive as it was adjourned until May 12.


 Unity of pro-liberation forces needed for trail of war criminals, speakers say

BSS, Chittagong

Speakers at a huge civic condolence meeting on veteran freedom fighter Jalal Uddin Ahmed called upon all pro-liberation forces and patriotic people to forge a rock- solid unity for ensuring trail of the war criminals and establish a secular, democratic and progressive Bangladesh.
They said the anti-liberation forces have been gaining strength in the country and even able to reinstate in state power cashing in the disunity and self-centered mentality of a section progressive political leadership, but finally right voices are being raised by the nation.
A citizen committee consisting of freedom fighters (FFs), leaders of different professional and political organizations arranged the condolence meeting on Jalal Uddin Ahmed, also a former chairman of Bangladesh Muktijoddah Sangsad( BMS) Central Command Council, who met tragic death in a road accident near Dhaka on March 22 last.
A large numbers of FFs, central and local leaders of different political and professional organizations joined the reminiscence and paid their tribute to Jalal for his outstanding contribution to the pre-liberation movements, during the war of Independence and all democratic and progressive movement since 1971.
The discussants said unity among all the pro-liberation forces to be upheld sinking petty political differences and other parochial interests until a fair trail of the war criminals is completed.
Otherwise, the dream of brave martyrs and FFs for making their motherland a democratic, secular and economically self- reliant independent Bangladesh will not be materialized under the grip of anti- liberation and autocratic forces, the speakers observed.
Referring to major policy changes and implementation of many vital decisions by the incumbent caretaker government, they called upon the administration to at least start the trial process of war criminals to free the country from a long lasting stigma.


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BB mulls to set compulsory agri-credit next fiscal
UNB, Dhaka

Bangladesh Bank is considering setting compulsory agriculture credit disbursement target for the commercial banks at the beginning of the next fiscal year.
"This is to facilitate timely disbursement so the farmers can effectively utilize the loan," Bangladesh Bank deputy governor Nazrul Huda told UNB on Wednesday.
In view of the two recurrent floods and devastating cyclone Sidr last year, Bangladesh Bank set a high target of agriculture loan disbursement of about Tk 8,400 crore for the current fiscal year, 32 percent more than the previous fiscal year, to help farmers recover crop losses. It also instructed the commercial banks to disburse most part (80 percent) of the yearly loan target before the outgoing boro season. The banks, however, disbursed 76 percent of the target. Different quarters, including government and Bangladesh Bank, projected bumper boro output this season, giving farmers the credit for their hard labour while the enhanced loans contributed to the farmers' efforts. Nazrul Huda expected that almost 100 percent of the disbursement target would be achieved by the end of the fiscal year as the trend shows, while the private commercial banks have already exceeded their agriculture loan disbursement target of Tk 1,300 crore.
Inspired by the boro success, the central bank is considering to administer agriculture credit in more organised manner from the next fiscal year. In the previous years, it took almost half of a fiscal year only to set the loan targets.
The BB deputy governor said the agriculture loan is viable as well as profitable for the banks as the private commercial banks have shown recently. The recovery rate of agriculture loans provided by the private banks was also very good, he added.
He expected that the private commercial banks would come forward in a bigger way to contribute to agriculture production as well as to earn profit.
The central bank was also encouraging private banks to open more branches in the rural areas, he said. According to latest figures from Bangladesh Bank, the growth in agricultural credit disbursement increased substantially from 5.5 percent in Q3 of FY07 to 73.1 percent in Q3 of FY08, while total recovery recorded a growth of 44.2 percent in Q3 of FY08 from 30.3 percent over the same period in the previous fiscal. Total overdue as percentage of outstanding agricultural credit declined from 42.7 percent in Q3 of FY07 to 36.0 percent in Q3 of FY08 due to recent changes and movements in the credit market.


 Seismic work to begin in October
7 IOCs submit tenders against 15 blocks

Staff Correspondent


Seven International Oil Companies (IOC) submitted tenders against 15 blocks of deep sea and offshore areas for exploration of fresh gas and oil sources.
On Wednesday, Petrobangla opened the tender at Petro centre in the city. "We have sold 25 packages for 28 blocks. But we have received 15 blocks against it. We think it is sufficient to get 15 against 25 packages," replying to a query a Director of Petrobangla told reporters.
After examining the tenders and documents, these will be sent to the energy ministry. After approval by the energy ministry, initial contract will be signed. Later, it will be sent to the law ministry for looking at the legal aspect.
"When the law ministry approve its, we are expecting the final contract will be taking place in the month of October. We have sold each package at $ 7000. Besides, 37 foreign and local companies have bought the information packages," he added.
The companies are US based ConocoPhillps, Australia based Santos International, US and China based Longwoods Resources Ltd, South Korea based Korera National Oil Corporation, UK based Comtrack Services Ltd, Ireland based Tullow Bangladesh Limited and China based CNOOC.
Earlier on February 15 tender of third round offshore bidding 2008 has been offered to the international gas and oil companies for exploration of gas and oil in 20 blocks in the deep sea and eight in offshore areas of about 1,0,5000 square kilometers in the bay of Bengal for 25 years. The sale of tender and documents began on February and a two day long road show was organized to attract the International Oil Companies (IOC). A large number of reputed foreign oil companies took part in the road show.
"After completion of the procedure of contract, joint management comprising Petrobangla and the representatives from the foreign companies will start seismic work," Petrobangla Director said further.
On the basis of contract, the foreign companies will be compelled to explore wells within two years. A total of 35 articles, which cover exploration areas, working scopes, conditions, tax and VAT, guarantee, amendments and share with the Government, are included in the contract.
The present gas reserves, estimated at 8.3 trillion cubic feet (TCF), may be exhausted before 2011, sources in the Ministry of Energy and Mineral resources said. In place reserve is estimated 21.265 TCF, proven 15.40 TCF, probable 8.322 TCF and possible 7.90 TCF.
Gas demand has increased by 250-300 million cubic feet per day (MMCFD) in the last few years. The present average gas demand is over 1700 million cubic feet per day occasionally picking up to about 1750. On the other hand, the present production capacity from 60 to 65 wells of 12 producing gas field is 1700 million cubic feet per day.
Around ninety per cent of the power plants of the country are fired by gas and many industries and factories are also based on this resource. Power plants consume 42 per cent, fertliser factories 14 per cent and the rest 44 per cent are being used by the industries, factories and domestic purposes.
According to the Gas Sector Master Plan (GSMP) financed by the World Bank, the gas reserves discovered and proved till 2006, would be able to fulfil medium scale demand upto 2011-12. But the government will have to take various initiatives including investigation for exploring new gas fields to ensure smooth supply of gas upto 2015. Some 24 TCF gas will have to be discovered for meeting the growing demand by the year 2015. Some 7.7 billion US dollars will need be invested to explore gas field, the sources added.
Meanwhile, Commerce Adviser Hossain Zillur Rahman on Wednesday said the government will form a committee to figure out the reserve of country's natural gas.
The adviser was talking to a delegation of newly elected leaders of FBCCI led by its President Anisul Huq, met him at the Commerce Ministry yesterday.
Referring to the recent announcement made by Chief Adviser's Special Assistant in charge of Power and Energy Dr M Tamim that no new gas connection to Chittagong in view of shortage of the fuel, the FBCCI president Anisul Huq said, "We know that there is huge gas in our country, but in recent times the country is experiencing huge gas deficit."
The Commerce Adviser assured the delegation saying, "The government will form a committee soon in this regard and there is no cause to think that everything would be halted."
Hossain Zillur said, "We will have to find out the alternatives. LP gas will be imported from abroad to give new connections of gas in Chittagong, if necessary."


Some ISPs doing illegal business
Cheating consumers, depriving govt of taxes

Sahidul Islam Rana

A section of corrupt individuals, in the name of Internet Providers, are doing illegal business under the very nose of the government.
There is a widespread allegation that they are doing their business - without any legal papers or documents or approval of BTRC - cheating internet subscribers. Due to this, the Government is being deprived of taxes from them.
Besides, most of the subscribers are facing frequent disruption of internet service but they have to pay monthly bill, earlier fixed by the ISP owners, many claimed to The Bangladesh Today.
Many subscribers claimed that in an average, they usually get the services no more than seven to eight days each month, and the consumers don't get any satisfactory response even after lodging frequent complainants.
Talking to this correspondent, one Rahman Jahangir of Mahammadpur Salimullah Road alleged, "Five days have passed; no internet connection in my house."
"I informed the IT house Ltd. 25/11, Block-C Tajmahal Road, about the disruption, I phoned him several times, they did not visit my house even after four days. This is happening on a regular basis. But they are regular and punctual in collecting monthly bills," he said adding, "In my house. I use two PCs with Internet connection paying bill Tk 1000 for each computer per month."
"Finding no other alternative, I have to use their server. Besides, very often their net-services remain very slow and not fit enough for work," he said urging the BTRC to take necessary steps in this regard.
The owner of the IT House Ltd, A J Nobel, said, "Due to power-crisis, users have to face such problems. On the other hand, sometimes the optical fibre is found detached or damaged."
About the criteria of this business, he said, "We have no legal paper except Trade Licence. We are retailers only for providing net connection in my surrounding areas."
Nobel failed to show any legal papers of his agreement with Insoft System Ltd, registered with BTRC. As a small enterprise or retailer company we are dong this business."
Asked, "Do you know it's a punishable offense?", he kept quite adding "We are giving services within my surrounding areas. I usually pay Tk. 90,000 for 2MB each month to Insoft System Ltd, BD.COM.Online Limited and Advanced Data Networks System Ltd."
Meanwhile, the owner of Insoft Ltd. Shoiab Chowdhury was not available for his comment. An official of Insoft Enamul Haque said, "There is no agreement with the IT House Ltd. We have BTRC approval, but I am not authorised to tell anything about it."
Another organization identified as 'hi-link Computer Network', House-8, Road-3, Pisciculture housing, Adabar, Dhaka-1207, are continuing their business without any legal documents.
"There is a written agreement with BD.Com.Net Limited for doing the business," said the owner of hi-link, ANM Hasan Noman adding, "Earlier I did business with Insoft System Ltd of Dhanmondi without any legal papers.
This organisation doesn't have any agreement with any retailers. We have no corporate users. I have a trade licence and an agreement with the BD.COM.Online Limited." But he failed to show it.
Meanwhile, ANM Badruzzaman, an official of the BD.COM,. said, "There is no agreement with both 'IT House' and 'hi-link'. We are one of the 156 ISPs, enlisted with the BTRC. We are doing our business as per the BTRC Rules. But no large scale business is allowed without the approval of BTRC."
"BTRC are well-aware of our works as we submit a copy of all the papers or agreements, to their office," he mentioned highlighting some conditions that are also the requirements of the BTRC for providing working permit."
About the monthly fee of the PC users, an official of the company Md Syedul Momtajin said, "The bandwidth charge has been fixed by the BTTB while we fix the fee for our subscribers.
Talking to this reporter, a director of the BTRC, requesting not to be named, said, "We have a legal unit to monitor the ISP function and if any irregularity is found in this connection, stern action will be taken as per the existing rules."


RMG workers clash with police over reduction in wage
30 injured, 25 vehicles vandalised

UNB, Chittagong

At least 30 people, including journalists, were injured as workers of three garment factories clashed with police in Kalurghat industrial estate in Chittagong on Tuesday morning over reduction in wage.
Over 5,000 workers of Orchid Sweater, Sabar Sweater and Tower Complex - all three factories of Azim group - also put up road barricade near Kalurghat Bridge damaged a number of vehicles and roadside shops.
Local sources said the trouble first began on Monday morning when workers of Orchid Sweater came to know that the factory management has decided to reduce the sweater-knitting rate to Tk 15 from Tk 25 per piece.
The angry workers then kept the factory officials confined inside the factory, demanding withdrawal of the decision.
They later set the officials free in the afternoon following an assurance by the BGMEA authority to settle the matter.
The agitated workers of Orchid Sweater again took to the street at 8am on Tuesday when the factory management did not allow them to enter the factory whey they reported for work in the morning.
Other workers from Sabar Sweater and Tower Complex also joined in and barricaded the road near Kalurghat Bridge. As a result, over 50 vehicles got stranded on the Cox's Bazar-Bandarban road.
On information, police rushed to the scene and chased the protesters and charged batons on them at about 10:30 am, when the aggrieved workers damaged 20-20 vehicles and ransacked shops. The workers pelted brickbats towards the law enforcers that triggered the clash, leaving at least 30 people, including four journalists, injured. Of the injured, 14 were admitted to hospitals in the city. The condition of Saiful Islam Shilpi, a journalist of Boishakhi Television, was stated to be critical, hospital sources said. The clash spread to a six-kilometer area and was continuing at places when this report was filed at noon.


Ministry urges workers to regularise status
BSS, Dhaka

The Ministry of Expatriates' Welfare and Overseas Employment has once again urged the Bangladeshi workers to regularize their status in their respective host countries.
A spokesman of the ministry Monday said the workers must avail the opportunities such as amnesties that are announced from time to time by the concerned authorities abroad, a press release said.
It has come to the notice of the ministry that workers are not doing so at times pushing themselves at the risk of facing deportation when all the Gulf countries are tightening their regulations regarding the expatriate labour, it said.
The spokesman said the outflow of workers is continuing unabated. During the first four months of the year, a record number of nearly 300,000 workers have been cleared for foreign employment, the release said.


Crime

Businessman gunned down in city
Staff Correspondent
One businessman was killed in a gun attack by a gang of armed hoodlums at Nikunjo residential area in the capital on Wednesday morning.
The deceased was identified as Mominul Alam Shimul, 34, owner of AR Metco International a manpower recruiting agency, at Banani.
According to police sources, a gang of around four to five miscreants equipped with firearms attacked Shimul in front of a house no-25 under Khilkhet police station at about 9:30 am when he was going to his office at Banani riding on a rickshaw. The gang managed to flee the spot leaving him dead.
On receipt of information, police rushed to the spot and sent the body to the Dhaka Medical College Hospital morgue for autopsy.
Motive of the killing is yet to be known but it can be sequel to old rivalry between two manpower recruiting agencies locked in a business related dispute, police sources said. A case was lodged with Khilkhet police station and police arrested Mizanur Rahman a business partner in this connection.

Lalbagh 7-murder case

2 sentenced to death, 9 get life
Staff Correspondent
A lower court of Dhaka has sentenced two people to death and nine others to life term imprisonment in the sensational seven-murder case in Lalbagh in the city. The condemned convicts Abdus Salam and Zahid Hossain were tried in absentia.
Judge of the Crime Prevention Tribunal ATM Musa has sentenced absconding accused Abdus Salam and Zahid Hossain to death after scanning the records and testimony of 30 witnesses.
Those who have been awarded transportation for life are Abdul Alim, Munna, Kalu, Delwar Hossain, Amir Hossain, Monir Patwari, Dil Mohammad, Mahtab Hossain and Mozammel. Among the life term convicts Monir Patwari, Dil Mohammad, Mahtab Hossain and Mozammel have been tried in absentia.
The fact of the case is that the supporters of the defeated ward commissioner candidate Abdul Aziz swooped on a victory procession of winning candidate M Humayun Kabir with arms and assassinated seven people on January 30, 1994 just after Dhaka City Corporation election. Elected commissioner lodged a murder case against Abdul Aziz and 18 others.
Meanwhile, the defeated commissioner candidate Abdul Aziz at whose behest the murders were committed has been sentenced to 12 years' RI while eight others have been acquitted of the charges of murder.

One gets death sentence

Our correspondent, Chapainawabganj
The special tribunal court-2 in Chapainawabganj awarded death-sentence to a man in a triple murder case on Wednesday.
The convict was Liton, 45, son of Zillar Rahman (widely known as Jhallu) of Dadonchock village in Monakosha union under Shibganj upazila of the district. Hrishikesh Shaha, the district and session judge, pronounced the verdict.
According to the prosecution, her husband Liton for dowry used to beat Runi Khatun, mother of three children.
On August 16, 2001, Runi Khatun protested her husband as he intended to repress her and also clearly stated that she would not provide him any dowry.
Liton got angry and later, at night, Liton sprayed kerosene on her wife and three daughters and burnt them alive.
Critically injured Runi Khatun and her daughters were admitted to the Sadar Hospital after referred by Shibganj Health Complex. But they died at the hospital on August 17 morning.
In this connection Runi's mother Serina Begum filed a murder case with the Shibganj thana and police placed the charge sheet to the court on November 26, 2001.
 
3 of a family injured in acid attack

UNB, Magura
Three of a family sustained severe burn injuries in an acid attack on them at Majhgram in Sadar upazila on Wednesday.
Police said terrorists hurled acid on Rahela Begum, 35, wife of Omar Ali, her son Abdus Samad, 18, and daughter Sathi, 10, when they were sleeping in their house in the morning.
Rahela Begum and her children were admitted to Sadar Hospital with serious burn injuries. Omar Ali has a longstanding conflict with one Razzak Ali and that might be reason behind the attack, police said.

Robbery in Comilla

A Correspondent, Comilla
A gang of robbers looted money and valuables worth about Tk 12 lakh from a house at Elahabad village in Debidwer upazila on Wednesday.
Sources said, About 10 to 12 armed robbers stormed into the house of one Dr. Samad at about 3:30 am, the gang first identified themselves as police and asked the family members to open the door.
As the family members did not comply, the robbers broke open the door at the back of the house. The masked robbers beat up the family members including Kabir Hossain, 38, Asiya Begum,23, and Morium Begum,18, before looting Tk 60,000 in cash and 38 tolas of gold ornaments, a TV set, a tape recorder, camera, mobile phone sets and other valuables.
A case was filed with the Debidwer thana.

Fake RAB officer busted

A Correspondent, Meherpur
A fake RAB officer was arrested by the members of RAB-6 stationed at Gangni on Tuesday from the town on charge of cheating people.
The arrested fake RAB officer has been identified as Rafiqul Islam son of Abdul Majid of village Monakhali under Mujibnagar Upazila of Meherpur district.
According to report, Rafiqul Islam had been cheating the people since long posing himself as a RAB Officer and in sometimes as BDR officer or doctor saying to solve the problem with RAB and giving service in BDR etc.
Being informed on the matter RAB-6 members caught him. RAB Camp Commander Ft. Lt. Galib told The Bangladesh Today that soon after his (fake RAB) arrest he was informed by others that they were cheated by him earlier.
On Tuesday night the fake officer confessed his guilt in front of hundreds of people including journalists standing at city's hotel bazar crossing.
 
Outlaw arrested with arms

UNB, Rajbari
A regional leader of an outlawed party was arrested along with arms and ammunition from Kalimahar village in Pangsha upazila on Monday night.
The arrested was identified as Tofazzal Hossain, 40, regional leader of outlawed Biblobi Communist Party. He hailed from Nadli village in Jhenidah district.
Acting on a tip-off, police arrested Tofazzal, also a fugitive convict in an arms case, at dead of night and later recovered a shutter-gun and four rounds of bullet from his possession.
Tofazzal went into hiding after a court recently sentenced him to 17 years in jail in an arms case.
He was also wanted in a number of criminal cases, police said.

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Editorial

“No More Gas Connections”

S
pecial Assistant to the CA, Dr. M.Tamim has got us all worried by saying that the Emergency Government has taken a decision not to allow any new gas connections for either domestic or industrial uses prompting an immediate reaction from the President FBCCI to the effect that such a decision would have an adverse impact on industries and would not be helpful to national interests. The reaction from the people in general, is not as muted as that of the President FBCCI to this latest "initiative" by this government to tackle the country's fast deteriorating power and energy situation; people are yet to absorb the recent doubling of gas prices and the daily intolerable load shedding.
Meanwhile the Ministry of Power, Energy and Mineral Resources has issued a clarification to the effect that gas supply disruptions in the greater Chittagong region is only temporary and the result of some technical glitch but the Ministry has made no comments about Dr. Tamim's statement about "No More Gas Connections". All of this once again shows, if it needs any showing, that the activities and functions of this government lack coordination, planning, and a sense of priorities but above all a sense of reality.
Power and energy were major issues when the Emergency was declared and the present government was formed, but instead of doing anything practical or concrete about it the Emergency Government has been dithering on the issue and floating such peculiar ideas as installation of nuclear power plants and importing gas from Myanmar - pet projects of Tapan Chowdhury, an adviser to this government, who fled the Country within hours of his being thrown out of government. Now, almost towards the end of its tenure, this government has got itself busy with leasing out vast tracts of land and sea to foreign gas and oil exploration companies in an effort to locate more gas reserves which will not be on line for the next one decade even if reserves are located. Also, this government has somehow thought it fit to focus on our very limited coal reserves, in one corner of our Country, as a panacea to all our energy and power requirements, forgetting the fact that we cannot run our industries, our transports, our millions of homes and offices, our tele-communications and our irrigation on coal or on the limited amount of electricity that inefficient coal-fired power plants can produce.
We are informed by our experts that our gas reserves are going to be largely depleted by 2011. We need to take note of the fact that gas is supplying our entire domestic energy requirements in all major cities; it’s powering major industries and considerable portion of our electricity generation and increasingly it's providing energy to our transportation sector. Therefore, the first thing we need to do is to streamline and rationalize our production, distribution and utilization of gas making an all out effort to reduce wastages in all these areas. We also need to have zero-tolerance of such incidents as uncontrolled fire and leakages in gas fields which have in the recent past wasted considerable portions of our gas resource. Secondly, we need to stop thinking about exporting gas to anyone or giving it away to foreign industrial investors without first looking at our own national requirements. If we can do all these, we might well be able to sustain the use of gas by a number of years beyond 2011.
Our concerns for the next 5 years are : How are we going to meet our ever increasing needs for power in domestic, commercial and industrial sectors? and How are we going to preserve and sustain our limited energy resources till other economically viable alternatives are available?
Finally, its needs no emphasis that power crunch would be a major problem not only for us but for everyone else too, in the coming decades. Nations such as the USA, supported by the EU & Japan are fighting wars of occupation in Iraq and Afghanistan not out of any ideological convictions but because of the need to control energy resources. Other countries such as Russia and China are preserving their own energy resources while increasing the use of these resources from other regions and nations. We in Bangladesh are in no position to go to war to obtain energy and power but what we can do is to use our diplomatic and commercial acumen to get our requirements of energy.


Ban rice export totally

G
overnment has banned export of all non-aromatic rice for the period of next six months. The ban was imposed by the commerce ministry through a SRO on Monday and it came into force from Wednesday, May 7. The ban on rice export has come in the wake of reports that while the country was passing through a grave food crisis a section of exporters have exported a large quantity of rice exploiting the governments lenient export policy over the last eight months.
Meanwhile, the government's boro procurement drive has started recently with a target to procure 15 lakh tons of rice and paddy. The procurement price of paddy has been fixed at Taka 18 per kg and that of rice at Taka 28 per kg. The experts apprehend that the boro procurement target may not be achieved as due to low procurement prices of paddy and rice fixed by the government, the farmers are reportedly selling their produce to mill owners and traders who are offerering more. Moreover, massive smuggling of paddy and rice may take place as their prices in the neighbouring country are higher than the procurement rate here. Besides, rice now being purchased by the private traders may ultimately be exported in the name of aromatic rice. So the government should keep close watch on the situation and take necessary steps to stop possible smuggling of food grains on the one hand and, on the other, impose total ban on rice export irrespective of aromatic or non-aromatic. In addition, to encourage the farmers to sell rice and paddy to the government the procurement price may be enhanced.

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Analysis

The End of the End of History
Why the twenty-first century will look like the nineteenth

The world's democracies need to begin thinking about how they can protect their interests and advance their principles in a world in which these are, once again, powerfully contested.

Robert Kagan

I.
In the early 1990s, optimism was understandable. The collapse of the communist empire and the apparent embrace of democracy by Russia seemed to augur a new era of global convergence. The great adversaries of the Cold War suddenly shared many common goals, including a desire for economic and political integration. Even after the political crackdown that began in Tiananmen Square in 1989 and the disturbing signs of instability that appeared in Russia after 1993, most Americans and Europeans believed that China and Russia were on a path toward liberalism. Boris Yeltsin's Russia seemed committed to the liberal model of political economy and closer integration with the West. The Chinese government's commitment to economic opening, it was hoped, would inevitably produce a political opening, whether Chinese leaders wanted it or not.
Such determinism was characteristic of post-Cold War thinking. In a globalized economy, it was widely believed, nations had no choice but to liberalize--first economically, then politically--if they wanted to compete and to survive. As national economies approached a certain level of per capita income, growing middle classes would demand legal and political power, which rulers would have to grant if they wanted their nations to prosper. Since democratic capitalism was the only model of success for developing societies, all societies would eventually choose such a path. In the battle of ideas, liberalism had triumphed. "At the end of history," as Francis Fukuyama famously put it, "there are no serious ideological competitors left to liberal democracy."
The economic and ideological determinism of the early post-Cold War years produced two broad assumptions that shaped both policies and expectations. One was an abiding belief in the inevitability of human progress, the belief that history moves in only one direction--a faith born in the Enlightenment, dashed by the brutality of the twentieth century, and given new life by the fall of communism. The other was a prescription for patience and restraint. Rather than confront and challenge autocracies, it was better to enmesh them in the global economy, support the rule of law and the creation of stronger state institutions, and let the ineluctable forces of human progress work their magic.
But the grand expectation that the world had entered an era of convergence has proved wrong. We have entered an age of divergence. Since the mid-1990s, the nascent democratic transformation in Russia has given way to what may best be described as a "czarist" political system, in which all important decisions are taken by one man and his powerful coterie. Vladimir Putin and his spokesmen speak of "democracy," but they define the term much as the Chinese do. For Putin, democracy is not about competitive elections so much as the implementation of popular will. The regime is democratic because the government consults with and listens to the Russian people, discerns what they need and want, and then attempts to give it to them. As Ivan Krastev notes, "The Kremlin thinks not in terms of citizens' rights but in terms of the population's needs." Elections do not offer a choice, but only a chance to ratify choices made by Putin, as in the recent "selection" of Dmitry Medvedev to succeed Putin as president. The legal system is a tool to be used against political opponents. The party system has been purged of political groups not approved by Putin. The power apparatus around Putin controls most of the national media, especially television.
A majority of Russians seem content with autocratic rule, at least for now. Unlike communism, Putin's rule does not impinge much on their personal lives, as long as they stay out of politics. Unlike the tumultuous Russian democracy of the 1990s, the present government, thanks to the high prices of oil and gas, has at least produced a rising standard of living. Putin's efforts to undo the humiliating post-Cold War settlement and restore the greatness of Russia is popular. His political advisers believe that "avenging the demise of the Soviet Union will keep us in power."
For Putin, there is a symbiosis between the nature of his rule and his success in returning Russia to "great power" status. Strength and control at home allow Russia to be strong abroad. Strength abroad justifies strong rule at home. Russia's growing international clout also shields Putin's autocracy from foreign pressures. European and American statesmen find they have a full plate of international issues on which a strong Russia can make life easier or harder, from energy supplies to Iran. Under the circumstances, they are far less eager to confront the Russian government over the fairness of its elections or the openness of its political system.
Putin has created a guiding national philosophy out of the correlation between power abroad and autocracy at home. He calls Russia a "sovereign democracy," a term that neatly encapsulates the nation's return to greatness, its escape from the impositions of the West, and its adoption of an "eastern" model of democracy. In Putin's view, only a great and powerful Russia is strong enough to defend and advance its interests, and also strong enough to resist foreign demands for western political reforms that Russia neither needs nor wants. In the 1990s, Russia wielded little influence on the world stage but opened itself wide to the intrusions of foreign businessmen and foreign governments. Putin wants Russia to have great influence over others around the world while shielding itself from the influence of unwelcome global forces.
Putin looks to China as a model, and for good reason. While the Soviet Union collapsed and lost everything after 1989, as first Mikhail Gorbachev and then Boris Yeltsin sued for peace with the West and invited it's meddling, Chinese leaders weathered their own crisis by defying the West. They cracked down at home and then battened down the hatches until the storm of Western disapproval blew over. The results in the two great powers were instructive. Russia by the end of the 1990s was flat on its back. China was on its way to unprecedented economic growth, military power, and international influence.
The Chinese learned from the Soviet experience, too. While the democratic world waited after Tiananmen Square for China to resume its inevitable course upward to liberal democratic modernity, the Chinese Communist Party leadership set about shoring up its dominance in the nation. In recent years, despite repeated predictions in the West of an imminent political opening, the trend has been toward consolidation of the Chinese autocracy rather than reform. As it became clear that the Chinese leadership had no intention of reforming itself out of power, Western observers hoped that they might be forced to reform despite themselves, if only to keep China on a path of economic growth and to manage the myriad internal problems that growth brings. But that now seems unlikely as well.
Today most economists believe that China's remarkable growth should be sustainable for some time to come. Keen observers of the Chinese political system see a sufficient combination of competence and ruthlessness on the part of the Chinese leadership to handle problems as they arise, and a population prepared to accept autocratic government so long as economic growth continues. As Andrew J. Nathan and Bruce Gilley have written, the present leadership is unlikely to "succumb to a rising tide of problems or surrender graciously to liberal values infiltrated by means of economic globalization." Until events "justify taking a different attitude, the outside world would be well advised to treat the new Chinese leaders as if they are here to stay."
Growing national wealth and autocracy have proven compatible after all. Autocrats learn and adjust. The autocracies of Russia and China have figured out how to permit open economic activity while suppressing political activity. They have seen that people making money will keep their noses out of politics, especially if they know their noses will be cut off. New wealth gives autocracies a greater ability to control information--to monopolize television stations and to keep a grip on Internet traffic--often with the assistance of foreign corporations eager to do business with them.
In the long run, rising prosperity may well produce political liberalism, but how long is the long run? It may be too long to have any strategic or geopolitical relevance. As the old joke goes, Germany launched itself on a trajectory of economic modernization in the late nineteenth century and within six decades it became a fully fledged democracy: the only problem was what happened in the intervening years. So the world waits for change, but in the meantime two of the world's largest nations, with more than a billion and a half people and the second-and third-largest militaries between them, now have governments committed to autocratic rule and may be able to sustain themselves in power for the foreseeable future.
The power and the durability of these autocracies will shape the international system in profound ways. The world is not about to embark on a new ideological struggle of the kind that dominated the Cold War. But the new era, rather than being a time of "universal values," will be one of growing tensions and sometimes confrontation between the forces of democracy and the forces of autocracy.
During the Cold War, it was easy to forget that the struggle between liberalism and autocracy has endured since the Enlightenment. It was the issue that divided the United States from much of Europe in the late eighteenth and early nineteenth centuries. It divided Europe itself through much of the nineteenth century and into the twentieth. Now it is returning to dominate the geopolitics of the twenty-first century.
II.
The presumption over the past decade has been that when Chinese and Russian leaders stopped believing in communism, they stopped believing in anything. They had become pragmatists, without ideology or belief, simply pursuing their own and their nation's interests. But the rulers of China and Russia, like the rulers of autocracies in the past, do possess a set of beliefs that guides them in both domestic and foreign policy. It is not an all-encompassing, systematic worldview like Marxism or liberalism. But it is a comprehensive set of beliefs about government and society and the proper relationship between rulers and their people.
The rulers of Russia and China believe in the virtues of a strong central government and disdain the weaknesses of the democratic system. They believe their large and fractious nations need order and stability to prosper. They believe that the vacillation and chaos of democracy would impoverish and shatter their nations, and in the case of Russia that it already did so. They believe that strong rule at home is necessary if their nations are to be powerful and respected in the world, capable of safeguarding and advancing their interests. Chinese rulers know from their nation's long and often turbulent history that political disruptions and divisions at home invite foreign interference and depredation. What the world applauded as a political opening in 1989, Chinese leaders regard as a near-fatal display of disagreement.
So the Chinese and Russian leaders are not simply autocrats. They believe in autocracy. The modern liberal mind at "the end of history" may not appreciate the attractions of this idea, or the enduring appeal of autocracy in this globalized world; but historically speaking, Russian and Chinese rulers are in illustrious company. The European monarchs of the seventeenth, eighteenth, and nineteenth centuries were thoroughly convinced, as a matter of political philosophy, of the superiority of their form of government. Along with Plato, Aristotle, and every other great thinker prior to the eighteenth century, they regarded democracy as the rule of the licentious, greedy, and ignorant mob. And in the first half of the twentieth century, for every democratic power like the United States, Great Britain, and France, there was an equally strong autocratic power, in Germany, Russia, and Japan. The many smaller nations around the world were at least as likely to model themselves on the autocracies as on the democracies. Only in the past half-century has democracy gained widespread popularity around the world, and only since the 1980s, really, has it become the most common form of government.
The rulers of Russia and China are not the first to suggest that it may not be the best. It is often claimed that the autocrats in Moscow and Beijing are interested only in lining their pockets--that the Chinese leaders are just kleptocrats and that the Kremlin is "Russia, Inc." Of course the rulers of China and Russia look out for themselves, enjoying power for its own sake and also for the wealth and luxuries it brings. But so did many great kings, emperors, and popes in the past. People who wield power like to wield power, and it usually makes them rich. But they usually believe also that they are wielding it in the service of a higher cause. By providing order, by producing economic success, by holding their nations together and leading them to a position of international influence, respectability, and power, they believe that they are serving their people. Nor is it at all clear, for the moment that the majority of people they rule in either China or Russia disagree.
If autocracies have their own set of beliefs, they also have their own set of interests. The rulers of China and Russia may indeed be pragmatic, but they are pragmatic in pursuing policies that will keep themselves in power. Putin sees no distinction between his own interests and Russia's interests. When Louis XIV remarked, "L'Etat, c'est moi," he was declaring himself the living embodiment of the French nation, asserting that his interests and France's interests were the same. When Putin declares that he has a "moral right" to continue to rule Russia, he is saying that it is in Russia's interest for him to remain in power; and just as Louis XIV could not imagine it being in the interests of France for the monarchy to perish, neither can Putin imagine it could be in Russia's interest for him to give up power. As Minxin Pei has pointed out, when Chinese leaders face the choice between economic efficiency and the preservation of power, they choose power. That is their pragmatism.
The autocrats' interest in self-preservation affects their approach to foreign policy as well. In the age of monarchy, foreign policy served the interests of the monarch. In the age of religious conflict, it served the interests of the church. In the modern era, democracies have pursued foreign policies to make the world safer for democracy. Today the autocrats pursue foreign policies aimed at making the world safe, if not for all autocracies, then at least for their own.
Russia is a prime example of how a nation's governance at home shapes its relations with the rest of the world. A democratizing Russia, and even Gorbachev's democratizing Soviet Union, took a fairly benign view of NATO and tended to have good relations with neighbors that were treading the same path toward democracy. But today Putin regards NATO as a hostile entity, calls its enlargement "a serious provocation," and asks, "Against whom is this expansion intended?" In fact, NATO is no more aggressive or provocative toward Moscow today than it was in Gorbachev's time. If anything, it is less so. NATO has become more benign, just as Russia has become more aggressive. When Russia was more democratic, Russian leaders saw their interests as intimately bound up with the liberal democratic world. Today the Russian government is suspicious of the democracies, especially those near its borders.
This is understandable. For all their growing wealth and influence, the twenty-first-century autocracies remain a minority in the world. As some Chinese scholars put it, democratic liberalism became dominant after the fall of Soviet communism and is sustained by an "international hierarchy dominated by the United States and its democratic allies," a "U.S.-centered great power group." The Chinese and Russians feel like outliers from this exclusive and powerful clique. "You western countries, you decide the rules, you give the grades, you say, 'you have been a bad boy,'" complained one Chinese official at Davos this year. Putin also complains that "we are constantly being taught about democracy."
The post-Cold War world looks very different when seen from autocratic Beijing and Moscow than it does from democratic Washington, London, Paris, Berlin, or Brussels. For the leaders in Beijing, it was not so long ago that the international democratic community, led by the United States, turned on China with a rare unity, imposing economic sanctions and even more painful diplomatic isolation after the crackdown at Tiananmen Square. The Chinese Communist Party, according to Fei-Ling Wang, has had a "persisting sense of political insecurity ever since," a "constant fear of being singled out and targeted by the leading powers, especially the United States," and a "profound concern for the regime's survival, bordering on a sense of being under siege."
In the 1990s, the democratic world, led by the United States, toppled autocratic governments in Panama and Haiti and twice made war against Milosevic's Serbia. International nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), well-funded by western governments, trained opposition parties and supported electoral reforms in Central and Eastern Europe and in Central Asia. In 2000, internationally financed opposition forces and international election monitors finally brought down Milosevic. Within a year he was shipped off to The Hague, and five years later he was dead in prison.
From 2003 to 2005, western democratic countries and NGOs provided pro-western and pro-democratic parties and politicians with the financing and organizational help that allowed them to topple other autocrats in Georgia, Kyrgyzstan, and Ukraine. Europeans and Americans celebrated these revolutions and saw in them the natural unfolding of humanity's destined political evolution toward liberal democracy. But leaders in Beijing and Moscow saw these events in geopolitical terms, as western-funded, CIA-inspired coups that furthered the hegemony of America and its European allies. The upheavals in Ukraine and Georgia, Dmitri Trenin notes, "further poisoned the Russian-Western relationship" and helped to persuade the Kremlin to "complete its turnaround in foreign policy."
The color revolutions worried Putin not only because they checked his regional ambitions, but also because he feared that the examples of Ukraine and Georgia could be repeated in Russia. They convinced him by 2006 to control, restrict, and in some cases close down the activities of international NGOs. Even today he warns against the "jackals" in Russia who "got a crash course from foreign experts, got trained in neighboring republics and will try here now." His worries may seem absurd or disingenuous, but they are not misplaced. In the post-Cold War era, a triumphant liberalism has sought to expand its triumph by establishing as an international principle the right of the "international community" to intervene against sovereign states that abuse the rights of their people. International NGOs interfere in domestic politics; international organizations like the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe monitor and pass judgment on elections; international legal experts talk about modifying international law to include such novel concepts as "the responsibility to protect" or a "voluntary sovereignty waiver."
In theory, these innovations apply to everyone. In practice, they chiefly provide democratic nations the right to intervene in the affairs of non-democratic nations. Unfortunately for China, Russia, and other autocracies, this is one area where there is no great transatlantic divide. The United States, though traditionally jealous of its own sovereignty, has always been ready to interfere in the internal affairs of other nations. The nations of Europe, once the great proponents (in theory) of the Westphalian order of inviolable state sovereignty, have now reversed course and produced a system, as Robert Cooper has observed, of constant "mutual interference in each other's domestic affairs, right down to beer and sausages." This has become one of the great schisms in the international system dividing the democratic world and the autocracies. For three centuries, international law, with its strictures against interference in the internal affairs of nations, has tended to protect autocracies. Now the democratic world is in the process of removing that protection, while the autocrats rush to defend the principle of sovereign inviolability.

Continued on page-5


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Viewpoints

The End of the End of History
Why the twenty-first century will look like the nineteenth

Continued from page-4

For this reason, the war in Kosovo in 1999 was a more dramatic and disturbing turning point for Russia and China than was the Iraq war of 2003. Both nations opposed NATO's intervention, and not only because China's embassy was bombed by an American warplane and Russia's distant Slavic cousins in Serbia were on the receiving end of the NATO air campaign. When Russia threatened to block military action at the U.N. Security Council, NATO simply sidestepped the United Nations and took it upon itself to authorize action, thus negating one of Russia's few tools of international influence. From Moscow's perspective, it was a clear violation of international law, not only because the war lacked a U.N. imprimatur but because it was an intervention into a sovereign nation that had committed no external aggression. To the Chinese, it was just "liberal hegemonism." Years later Putin was still insisting that the western nations "leave behind this disdain for international law" and not attempt to "substitute NATO or the EU for the U.N."
The Russians and the Chinese were in good company. At the time, no less an authority than Henry Kissinger warned that "the abrupt abandonment of the concept of national sovereignty" risked a world unmoored from any notion of international legal order. The United States, of course, paid this little heed: it had intervened and overthrown sovereign governments dozens of times throughout its history. But even postmodern Europe set aside legal niceties in the interest of what it regarded as a higher Enlightenment morality. As Robert Cooper puts it, Europe was driven to act by "the collective memory of the Holocaust and the streams of displaced people created by extreme nationalism in the Second World War." This "common historical experience" provided all the justification necessary. Kissinger warned that in a world of "competing truths, " such a doctrine risked chaos. Cooper responded that postmodern Europe was "no longer a zone of competing truths."
But the conflict between international law and liberal morality is one that the democracies have not been able to finesse. As Chinese officials asked at the time of Tiananmen Square and have continued to ask, "What right does the U. S. government have to ... flagrantly interfere in China's internal affairs?" What right, indeed? Only the liberal creed grants the right--the belief that all men are created equal and have certain inalienable rights that must not be abridged by governments; that governments derive their power and legitimacy only from the consent of the governed and have a duty to protect their citizens' right to life, liberty, and property. To those who share this liberal faith, foreign policies and even wars that defend these principles, as in Kosovo, can be right even if established international law says they are wrong. But to the Chinese, the Russians, and others who do not share this worldview, the United States and its democratic allies succeed in imposing their views on others not because they are right but only because they are powerful enough to do so. To non-liberals, the international liberal order is not progress. It is oppression.
This is more than a dispute over theory and the niceties of international jurisprudence. It concerns the fundamental legitimacy of governments, which for autocrats can be a matter of life and death. China's rulers have not forgotten that if the democratic world had had its way in 1989, they would now be out of office, possibly imprisoned or worse. Putin complains that "we are seeing a greater and greater disdain for the basic principles of international law," and he does not mean just the illegal use of force but also the imposition of "economic, political, cultural and educational policies." He decries the way "independent legal norms" are being re-shaped to conform to "one state's legal system," that of the western democracies, and the way international institutions such as the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe have become "vulgar instruments" in the hands of the democracies. As a result, Putin exclaims, "no one feels safe! Because no one can feel that international law is like a stone wall that will protect them."
The western democracies would deny any such intention, but Putin, like the leaders of China, is right to worry. American and European policymakers constantly say they want Russia and China to integrate themselves into the international liberal democratic order, but it is not surprising if Russian and Chinese leaders are wary. How can autocrats enter the liberal international order without succumbing to the forces of liberalism?
III.
Afraid of the answer, the autocracies are understandably pushing back, and with some effect. Rather than accepting the new principles of diminished sovereignty and weakened international protection for autocrats, Russia and China are promoting an international order that places a high value on national sovereignty and can protect autocratic governments from foreign interference.
And they are succeeding. Autocracy is making a comeback. Changes in the ideological complexion of the most influential world powers have always had some effect on the choices made by leaders in smaller nations. Fascism was in vogue in Latin America in the 1930s and 1940s partly because it seemed successful in Italy, Germany, and Spain. Communism spread in the Third World in the 1960s and the 1970s not so much because the Soviet Union worked hard to spread it, but because government opponents fought their rebellions under the banner of Marxism-Leninism and then enlisted the aid of Moscow. When communism died in Moscow, communist rebellions around the world became few and far between. And if the rising power of the world's democracies in the late years of the Cold War, culminating in their almost total victory after 1989, contributed to the wave of democratization in the 1980s and 1990s, it is logical to expect that the rise of two powerful autocracies should shift the balance back again.
It is a mistake to believe that autocracy has no international appeal. Thanks to decades of remarkable growth, the Chinese today can argue that their model of economic development, which combines an increasingly open economy with a closed political system, can be a successful option for development in many nations. It certainly offers a model for successful autocracy, a template for creating wealth and stability without having to give way to political liberalization. Russia's model of "sovereign democracy" is attractive among the autocrats of Central Asia. Some Europeans worry that Russia is "emerging as an ideological alternative to the EU that offers a different approach to sovereignty, power and world order." In the 1980s and 1990s, the autocratic model seemed like a losing proposition as dictatorships of both right and left fell before the liberal tide. Today, thanks to the success of China and Russia, it looks like a better bet.
China and Russia may no longer actively export an ideology, but they do offer autocrats somewhere to run when the democracies turn hostile. When Iran's relations with Europe plummeted in the 1990s after its clerics issued a fatwa calling for the death of Salman Rushdie, the influential Iranian leader Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani made a point of noting how much easier it is to maintain good relations with a nation like China. When the dictator of Uzbekistan came under criticism in 2005 from the administration of George W. Bush for violently suppressing an opposition rally, he responded by joining the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and moving closer to Moscow. The Chinese provide unfettered aid to dictatorships in Asia and Africa, undermining the efforts of the "international community" to press for reforms--which in practical terms often means regime change--in countries such as Burma and Zimbabwe. Americans and Europeans may grumble, but autocracies are not in the business of overthrowing other autocrats at the democratic world's insistence. The Chinese, who used deadly force to crack down on student demonstrators not so long ago, will hardly help the West remove a government in Burma for doing the same thing. Nor will they impose conditions on aid to African nations to demand political and institutional reforms they have no intention of carrying out in China.
Chinese officials may chide Burma's rulers, and they may urge the Sudanese government to find some solution to the Sudan conflict. Moscow may at times distance itself from Iran. But the rulers in Rangoon, Khartoum, Pyongyang, and Tehran know that their best protectors--and in the last resort, their only protectors--in a generally hostile world are to be found in Beijing a