wednesday, march 26, 2008 , chaitra 12, rabiul awal 17, 1428 a.h

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Leading News

Nation celebrates 37th Independence Day
Staff Correspondent

The nation celebrates the 37th Independence and National Day today (Wednesday) with a renewed pledge to safeguard sovereignty, consolidate democracy and attain economic emancipation of the people.
In the wake of the brutal crack down on the night of March 25, 1971, on the unarmed people of the then East Pakistan struggling for self-right under the leadership of Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, came the proclamation of independence and the war of liberation started.
The country was liberated after nine months of bloody war with the Pakistani army at the cost of supreme sacrifice of lakhs of people. The government has declared the Independence Day as a public holiday. The government, different political parties, socio-cultural organisations and educational institutions have drawn up elaborate programmes to celebrate the Independence Day.
A 31-gun salute at dawn will herald the advent of the Day. National flags will be hoisted atop government and private buildings on the occasion while government and semi-government buildings as well as other public places will be illuminated with colourful lights. The President and the Chief Adviser will place wreaths at the National Mausoleum at Savar early in the morning.
On the occasion, President Iajuddin Ahmed and Chief Adviser Fakhruddin Ahmed have given separate messages paying deep respect to the martyrs of the liberation war.
In his message President Iajuddin Ahmed said the historic Independence Day and National Day is a glorious day in our national life. "On this solemn day, I recall with deep respect and pay my homage to the martyrs of the liberation war who made supreme sacrifices for our independence in 1971," the President said in his statement.
Chief Adviser in his message said the glorious Independence Day and National Day is an auspicious occasion in the history of our nation. "The glorious liberation is our greatest national achievement. For this achievement to be meaningful, sustainable and effective, it is a very important to bring the fruits of the independence to all citizens," in his message the Chief Adviser said.
Meanwhile, major political, social and cultural organisations have chalked out elaborate programmes in observance of the day. National leaders as well as scores of people from all walks of life will place floral wreaths at the Jatiya Smriti Saudha at Savar on the day.
Newspapers have published special supplements while Radio and Television are putting out special programmes highlighting the significance of the day in the life of the nation. Special prayers will be offered in mosques, temples, churches, pagodas and other places of worship seeking divine blessings for the peace and progress of the country.
A children’s rally will be held at Bangabandhu National Stadium and an arms exhibition at the National Parade Square. The destitute children will be allowed to visit the children’s park in the capital on the day free of cost. Improved diet will be served in jails, hospitals, orphanages and vagrant homes across the country.


Government won’t set agenda
Dialogue between govt and political parties to open soon: Ghulam Quader

Rabiul Islam

Communications Adviser Ghulam Quader on Tuesday said the much-awaited dialogue between the caretaker government and the political parties will kick off soon to create a congenial atmosphere for holding the stalled ninth parliament election by the end of 2008. "The government would not set any agenda for dialogue with the political parties", said the communications adviser while answering queries from newsmen at the secretariat yesterday. However, he noted agenda for the much-talked about dialogue would have been set after the dialogue had started. "We will want to know agendas of the political parties", he added.
Asked whether the government would make any concession if the political parties demand, regarding the on-going anti-corruption drive, Quader said the society will say. The society must say how far the government should make concession, he repeated, adding "you will also opine". Quader said the government is in no way opponent of any quarter. Asked whether the state of emergency is under control of the government as the incidents of violating emergency take place frequently, the communications adviser claimed it is under control. On withdrawal of emergency to enable the parties to start political activities, he said the state of emergency would be eased gradually. Referring to a print media report that the communications adviser is in the committee to initiate dialogue with political parties, Quader said, "I have also read about it".
Following the anti-corruption drive and subsequent arrest of top political leaders on charge of corruption by the caretaker government after its assumption of power on January 12, 2007, a gap between the government and the political parties has been created. To bridge the gap and to create a congenial atmosphere for election, the government decided that it would hold dialogue with the political parties ahead of the parliament election.
Chief Adviser Fakhruddin Ahmed in his address to the nation announced that his government would soon open dialogue with political parties for transition to democracy through holding free, fair and neutral elections.


 AL preparing to launch issue-based agitation
Sahidul Islam Rana


Awami League is taking preparation for a mass movement with a view to realising some demands including immediate release of party President Sheikh Hasina and her proper treatment in the USA.
As part of issues for the movement, AL will include the demand for arresting price spiral of the essentials, said a competent sources adding ahead of this, AL is trying to gear up their organisational activities at all levels and the next Working Committee meeting, scheduled to held on March 29 (Saturday), would decide the agenda of the view-exchange meeting with leaders of divisions and districts from early April.
Talking to The Bangladesh Today, an influential presidium member said, "If the present Caretaker Government fails to press home the above mentioned demands within the earliest possible time; there will not be any alternative except waging demonstration in the streets."
He said, "We have patience but the party men and mass people will not tolerate this for long. On the other hand, AL, in principle, has decided not to participate in any election without the release of the detained party chief Shiekh Hasina."
"The partymen are waiting for the directives of the AL high command," he observed.
An AL working committee member, requesting not be named, said "The final decision will come out after the completing the exchange-views-meetings with the leaders of six divisions and district-level leaders."
Terming the next central working committee as important in the prevailing situation, a former AL minister said, "The present situation is different than that of previous as ‘reformist’ leaders have already changed their stand due to the strong protest of the ‘loyalist’ who want to see Hasina a free leader."
Without mentioning anybody’s name, he said, "They (reformists) were bound to return the main stream of AL as the rank and file of the party are frequently demanding the directives for movement to free the party chief. Besides, the loyalists assaulted some leaders at Dhamandi AL office last year while they were leaving after an ALWC meeting."
Referring to the discussion meeting at Engineers’ Institute, Bangladesh, on March 18, the AL leader said, "A senior leader while delivering his speeches faced the outrage of leaders and activists of some front organisations - who were chanting slogans demanding the release of Hasina and for direction of movement."
AL sources said, considering all these, they are going forward very carefully. Prior to going for agitation movement, they are reorganizing the front organizations which remain virtually inactive soon after the promulgation of the Sate of Emergency and frequent arrest of the political leaders and activists across the country.
Meanwhile, acting AL general secretary expressed grave concern over the health condition of detained party Chief Sheikh Hasina, now undergoing treatment in capital’s Square Hospital.
Demanding immediate and unconditional release of Hasina, he further said, "The Caretaker Government should consider our letter written to the Chief Adviser requesting her treatment abroad as per the recommendations of doctors as early as possible.


 Govt weighing the issue of war criminals’ trial : Moeen
UNB, Dhaka

Army Chief of Staff General Moeen U Ahmed on Tuesday said the government is considering the issue of holding trial of the war criminals of 1971.
"Whatever the people will want will be done," he told the media in response to a question whether or not the war criminals will be put to trial, just as he finished his address to a reception of Freedom Fighters contingent at the National Parade Square.
General Moeen urged all to work together to achieve economic freedom as he said, "although we gained independence, economic emancipation is yet to attained."
Earlier addressing the freedom fighters’ contingent that will participate in the Independence Day Parade tomorrow (Wednesday), he said many works remained to be done for the new generation.
Referring to five challenges like twice floods, cyclone Sidr, increased fuel and commodity prices on international market, General Moeen, whose force is backing the present caretaker government, said those challenges were overcome as people had worked unitedly.
The Army Chief observed the main problem now facing the country this year is the soaring prices of food-grains. To face this problem, the country has no alternative but to boost production.


 Barapukuria graft case
Khaleda, her former ministerial colleagues, others to be quizzed

UNB, Dhaka

Related files and documents of the Barapukuria graft case filed by the Anti-Corruption Commission are being reviewed by the investigation officer before he goes for seizing them and questioning the accused, including detained former premier Khaleda Zia and 15 others, and the probable witnesses.
"Yes, investigation officer (IO) Monirul Huq is reviewing the files and documents at the moment before seizing the necessary ones. Gradually, he’ll also question the accused and probable witnesses, and record their statements," a competent source told UNB.
Responding to a query, the source said, "Yes, Khaleda Zia, the prime accused, and her former ministerial colleagues will be among those to be questioned at some stage of the investigation."
In reply to a question, the source said having reviewed the related files and documents, the IO would issue notices to the accused and the possible witnesses for recording their statements. "Those in jail will be questioned there."
The seizing of the files and documents is likely to begin next week, the source said adding that after reviewing the files and taking statements of the concerned it would be determined as to who would the accused be of and who would be the witnesses to the case. On February 26, the anti-graft watchdog filed the case against Khaleda Zia, 10 former powerful ministers of her cabinet and five others for embezzlement of about Tk 159 crore through awarding the Barapukuria Coal Mine deal to the highest bidder instead of the lowest one.
Former finance minister Saifur Rahman, ex-BNP secretary general and LGRD minister Abdul Mannan Bhuiyan, Jamaat chief and ex-industries minister Motiur Rahman Nizami and its secretary general and ex-social welfare minister Ali Ahsan M Mujahid are the heavyweights among the ministers of the immediate-past coalition government sued by the Anti-Corruption Commission.

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WASA takes up 10-yr Project
to improve Service

Firoz Mamun

In order to realise the vision of the WASA to provide smooth water supply to the city dwellers, the organisation has taken a 10 years long-term projects. "The long-term projects include setting up new water treatment plants, repair and change of WASA's distribution lines, development of sewerage system and setting up of a waste water treatment plant," talking to The Bangladesh Today WASA Managing Director Raihanul Abedin said on Tuesday.
He said the long-term projects need an estimated cost of US$ 550 million which will be aided by Asian Development Bank and World Bank. "Besides the WASA is waiting for final nod from DANIDA for implementing the proposed second phase of Sayedabad Water Treatment Plant. Earlier, a team from Denmark finalised the joint appraisal for implementing the second phase of the Sayedabad Water Treatment Plant, estimated to cost about Taka 729 crore," the WASA Managing Director added.
"The condition of sewerage and drainage system, pump houses and water treatment plant is in bad shape. The sewerage and drainage system of WASA which was set up during British and the then Pakistan period, have become antique and most vulnerable, we are going for total change of those lines" Raihanul Abedin added.
While talking to this correspondent an official of WASA said WASA is in a quandary and no immediate end to its crisis is in sight. "The situation is unlikely to improve unless the government and donor agencies invest in this sector adequately. As WASA is not on priority list of the government and the donor agencies as well, the manifold problems of WASA are likely to persist," he said.
The WASA will need Tk 3000 crore to bring the whole city under sewerage system for smooth passing of human waste and garbage. The WASA is now running with only 30 per cent of requirement of its sewerage system. If the government and donor agencies do not take initiative to solve the problems permanently and run the organisation effectively, the people will continue to suffer, the source added. Besides, the deep tubewells remain out of order sometimes and the condition of water treatment plant at Pagla is not satisfactory.
Meanwhile, the capital is facing a serious water crisis due to frequent load shedding, drastic fall in ground water level, faulty distribution pipelines, and illegal connections. The water crisis has aggravated following deterioration in the power crisis across the country. "After implementation of the second phase of the Sayedabad water treatment plant, and another water treatment plant in Khilkhet some fifty per cent of the total volume of water supply will be ensured", the official of WASA said.
Now the WASA supplies about 180 crore litres of water everyday against the demand for 210 crore litres in the capital and the Narayanganj town. As 88 per cent of water is pumped out through 403 deep tubewells from the underground, the water level is falling drastically. To reduce the risk arising out of pumping underground water, the WASA has decided to use more surface water. Within five to six years a new water treatment plant will be constructed at Khilkhet. Water will be brought from the river Meghna for treatment as the water of river Shitalakhya and Buriganaga have become polluted and contaminated .
The sources said as the water of the rivers Narhai, Debdholai and Balu carrying industrial waste, chemicals and sewage rolls down into the river Shitalakhya, the second phase of the Sayedabad plant will have to shift its water intake point if the situation does not improve. The water of the Shitalakhya will become untreatable by the Sayedabad Water Treatment plant within the next five to ten years if the government does not take any steps to rid the river of industrial waste, chemicals and sewage. Since the first phase of Sayedabad Water Treatment plant project's inception in 1998, the level of pollution in the river has increased manifold raising serious concerns about the Sayedabad treatment plant's capacity to treat water for drinking.


  Moulvibazar gas field likely to have 50pc additional reserves
UNB, Dhaka

International oil and gas company Chevron on Tuesday hoped its three dimensional (3D) seismic survey at Moulavibazar gas field may lead to a 50 percent increase in gas reserves.
The US-based company's Bangladesh chief Steve Wilson indicated the prospect at a briefing to newsmen at Westin Hotel. He said the survey is extremely important for Bangladesh in view of the nagging gas and power crisis.
"We believe the additional gas may bring electricity to million houses in Bangladesh which are facing a severe gas and power crisis," he said.
Steve would not disclose the present reserves of gas in the Moulavibazar field under Block 14. Around 70 million cubic feet (mmcf) gas is now available per day from the field.
"The reserve position would be reported to Petrobangla along with development plan on completion of the seismic survey," he added.
About the on-going 3D survey in areas covering the environmentally protected Lawachhara forest Steve assured that it is carried out without causing harm to the living birds and animals.
Giving a brief description of the survey he said in every step clearance is taken from the departments concerned including the environment and forest.
"We'll do the survey only on the existing trails in the forest where a minimum number of manpower work only during daytime. Equipment light and man-potable will be used. No tress or branches shall be cut nor there will be noise".
He added: "We're fully aware of the environmental sensitivity and committed to work in an environment-friendly manner … Monitoring team will always be present during the survey."
Steve further said after the survey, directional well would be drilled, if needed, to avoid the forest area to extract gas.
Chevron's external affairs director Naser Ahmed was present at the briefing.


Crime

20 arrested, firearms, drugs recovered in city
UNB, Dhaka
Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) members arrested 20 people, including three women, and also seized two firearms and heroin from BNP Slum at Agargaon in the city on Tuesday.
As part of their ongoing anti-terrorism drive, a 100-member team of RAB-2 raided the BNP slum at about 9am and arrested its 20 residents.
During the three-hour drive, the elite forces also recovered a foreign-made pistol, a pipe-gun and four rounds of bullet and also 1,400 small packets of heroin.

Trader shot in city, Tk 3.50 lakh snatched

UNB, Dhaka
Muggers snatched away Tk 3.50 lakh from a scrap trader after shooting him at Kalabagan in the city's Dhanmondi area on Tuesday noon.
The injured trader was identified as Yusuf, 35, son of Abed Ali Mollah. He resides at 153 Kathpotti in Mohammadpur area.
Police said three muggers, riding on a motorbike, intercepted the bicycle of Yusuf when he was returning home after selling scrap items at Mitford area at about 11:30 am.
They demanded his bag, which was carrying the money, but being refused by him, the muggers shot fire on his chest and run away with the bag, leaving him seriously injured.
Yusuf was admitted to Dhaka Medical College Hospital in critical condition. A case filed with Dhanmondi police station.

Alleged killer of editor Kamal Uddin held

BSS, Jessore
Police arrested an absconding accused at Barandi Mollapara area in the town on Sunday.
The arrested person was identified as Jahangir Hossain, 35 son of Quader Molla of Bhaturia Purbapara.
He was an accused in weekly Hoq Protibad editor Kamal Uddin Hossain murder case but absconding since the case was filed.
Police said on secret information at mid-night on Sunday a police team raided the area and arrested him.
Kamal Uddin was killed on June 1 in 2007.
After the incident, Kamal's brother filed a murder case with Jessore Kotwali thana.

Tk 8 crore drugs destroyed

BSS, Chapainawabganj
Members of Bangladesh Rifles (BDR) destroyed drugs worth Tk 8 crore at its local camp on Monday.
Executive magistrate SM Jahangir Hossain, commanding officer Lt. Colonel Mizanur Rahman, civil surgeon Dr Shafiqul Islam and inspector of Narcotics Department AN Kazi Nurunnabi were present.
The destroyed drugs included 7,209 grams of heroin, 527 grams of morphine and 9,241 bottles of phensidyl.
BDR personnel recovered the drugs during the last four months.

Woman strangulated to death

UNB, Khulna
A woman was killed by unidentified assailants at her own residence at Meher Ali road in the city's Iqbalnagar area Tuesday morning.
The dead was identified at Sakhina Habib, 50, wife of Ali Hossain.
Police said miscreants entered into the house of Sakhina forcibly in absence of the other family members and strangulated her to death at about 11:00 am.
Family sources said her daughter Nijhum, who married to Rana few days back, returned to her parents following a conflict with her husband.
Later, Sakhina filed a case against Rana under the Women and Children Repression Prevention Act with Kotwali thana.
"She might have been killed following the incident," police said. A case was filed this connection.

One to die for killing girl

BSS, Chapainawabganj
One person was sentenced to death by a court here for killing a girl about two and a half years ago.
The convict was identified as Mohammad Shamim, 18, of Dewanjaigir village under Shibganj upazila.
Judge of the district Women and Children Repression Prevention Tribunal Hrishikesh Saha delivered the verdict in a crowded courtroom on Monday.
Following his confession, police recovered the body of Ankhi.
Father of the victim Amirul Islam filed a murder case with Shibganj police station in this connection.
After examining the witnesses and evidence, the judge handed down the verdict.

Seven members of Aggyan party held

BSS, Chittagong
Members of Chittagong Metropolitan Detective Branch Police arrested seven members of inter district Aggyan party after conducting raids in two separate residential hotels in the port city at 2:00 am last night.
The arrested members of Aggyan party were identified as Nurul Islam, 34, son of Nur Nabi, Nakalpara of Tajgaon in Dhaka, Liton, 32, son of late Nurul Islam, Mirpur, Dhaka, Mohammad Imran Hossain, 25, son of Ibrahim, Ramgonj of Laximpur district, Mohammad Ashad, 27, son of Rezaul Karim, Badda Dhaka, Mainuddin, 50, son of late Kawza Ahmed, Sudaram of Noakhali district, Mohammad Shah Alam, 30, son of Basu Patwary, Begumgonj of Noakhali and Riaz, 39, son of Ahmed Ali, Horipur Sadar area of Noakhali district.
Separate teams of Detective Branch Police, raided Hotel Herocity, at Alkaran area of Kotwali thana and Hotel Al Faruk, at Doublemooring thana in the port city at 2:00 am last night and arrested the miscreants.
Huge quantity of medicine used to make people senseless, recovered from their possessions.
Police said, the arrested persons are the organised members of the inter district Aggyan party.

Body recovered

A Correspondent, Chapainawabganj
Police recovered a body of a young man from Golaper Hat under Shibganj upazila on Monday.
Source said local people found a dead body of a nonentity young man aged around 23 from a mango tree garden inside at Golaper Hat village area under Shibganj upazila in the district on Monday morning.
Later, they informed the Thana police. A squad of Shibganj Thana police reached the spot and recovered the dead body.
According to the post mortem report, the young man was a Muslim and mantally ill. He came there 3/4 days before his death.
]In this connection a GD was filed with Shibganj Thana.
The body was cremated on administration permission.

Four jailed for life in murder, rape cases

UNB, Laxmipur
Four people, including three of a family, were convicted and sentenced to life term imprisonment in rape and murder cases by separate courts here on Monday.
In the first case, the Additional District and Sessions Judge Court sentenced three people, including a father and a son, to life in prison on charge of killing a man.
The lifers are Mohammad Ullah, his son Azad Hossain and their relative Abdur Rahman, son of Amanatullah of Gangapur village in Sadar upazila. Of them, Abdur Rahman was tried in absentia. According to the prosecution, the convicted persons had stabbed their co-villager Tajul Islam to death following a land dispute on April 27, 1998. After examining the records and witnesses, Judge AKM Jahurul Islam pronounced the punishment. In another case, Women and Children Repression Prevention Tribunal Judge Mohammad Mujibul Kamal sentenced a man to life term imprisonment for violating a woman.
The convict, identified as Naju, 35, son of Abdur Rashid of west Bigha village in Ramganj upazila, was tried in absentia.
The case history in brief that Naju violated the women of Brahmanpara village, on October 15, 2003.

Terror held

UNB, Barisal
Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) arrested a listed terrorist alongwith arms and ammunitions from Charkawa village in Sadar upazila on Monday.
Acting on a tip-off, the RAB team, led by ASP M Shahed, raided the village and arrested Kalu, also former president of Charkawa bus owners' association.

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Editorial

26th March – A day of Mourning and a Day of Celebration

26th March is first and foremost a day of mourning for the hundreds of thousands of lives which were sacrificed for the independence of this Nation. Starting from this day in 1971 and continuing for the next nine months, the best, the brightest and the bravest of our people decided to take up arms and fight for our Nation; many of them did not return from that war; many more were injured, tortured, raped and subjected to the most inhumane treatment. In all, the toll runs into an estimated 3 to 4 million dead and disabled, all for the realization of a dream, a hope and an aspiration called Bangladesh. 26th March is also a day of celebration because for the first time in our history, starting from that day in 1971, we as a Nation decided to declare our Independence and fight a war for the realization of a Nation-state; it’s a day of celebration because 9 months later our resolve, our determination and our sacrifices brought for us an independent Nation-state. The great question is: 37 years later on 26th of March 2008, how do we evaluate our sorrows and our joys, both as individuals and as a conglomerate?
To an appreciable extent we have progressed materially like we have never been able to do in our entire history; we have communication infrastructures spreading and connecting every corner of our Country; we have more educated people then we had anytime before; we have industries which provide ever increasing employments to our people; we have a vibrant young population eager to seek employment and prosperity any where in the world and we have an agriculture which can produce bumper crops inspite of devastating natural disasters. But on the other side of the coin we still have an economy unable to provide for the basic needs of food, shelter and health for the majority of our people; we have a society which does not respects universal values of human rights; we have a politics which is corrupt, confrontational and divisive; we have a physical environment which we have so contaminated that we have little clean water to drink or clean air to breath in and lastly we have repeatedly forced on ourselves forms of government and governance which are authoritarian and unresponsive to the demands of our people.
In this 37 years of journey of nation-building what we have lost most is our “Spirit of Freedom”; it is difficult to define, but it exists and tells us that we are a Nation because we have willed it so. That “Spirit of Freedom” has helped us through a millennium of trials and tribulations, through privations and mass starvation, through foreign conquests and exploitation and lastly through the mindless carnage of the War of Liberation through which we acquired our Bangladesh in 1971. In loosing our Spirit of Freedom we have lost much of our freedoms: freedom to speak and to write, freedom to form and disband governments but above all freedom to live and die as human beings. What is more, we have allowed our Spirit of Freedom to be sapped and that is why we cannot protest against tyranny and injustice, we cannot protest against exploitation and against the curbing of our rights as humans and as citizens of an independent Nation-state.
For ages, we the people of Bangladesh have been suffering social, political and economic deprivations of all sorts, the most telling of which is the deprivation of our liberties and freedoms. Forced to live in conditions dictated by “others” and to think in alien, often contradictory moral and ethical standards, we as individuals and conglomerates have long forgotten to reason. At times we have even refused to be rational, for to be rational is to take cognizance of the harsh realities of our lives; realities the recognition of which would make the very act of living unbearable for us. Thus we are sunk in apathy and frustration hoping for ‘something to happen’ to pull us out of the pit and lead us to a bright new future, but that is not going to happen, not unless all of us together invoke that Spirit of Freedom in ourselves like we once did in 1971.

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Analysis

Reflections on Bangladesh after Independence

Independence Day is both a critically important event and a process. It signifies the fundamental meaning of the nation.

Ripan Kumar Biswas

Today’s Bangladesh rich history and culture and its landscape, which is dotted with a vast network of peaceful villages, came through a selfless sacrifice and unrelenting determination of freedom-fighters that had great courage and conviction.
Full liberation is the dream of everyone in the world. To achieve liberation in all respects man dreams, imagines, thinks, plans, works and dies in the world. But this is not quite the Bangladesh where lives were sacrificed; blood was shed for in 1971. Freedom-fighters had fought gallantly against the enemies to free the motherland and to establish democracy, secularism, and Bengali nationalism.
To become the world’s 139th independent nation, Bangladesh suffered genocide by Pakistani army, which killed approx. 3 million people, raped 40,000 women, burned hundreds of villages, and brutally murdered intellectuals. On March 25, 1971, the Pakistani Army launched “Operation Searchlight” to eliminate the Awami League and its supporters in East Pakistan. The goal was to crush the will of the Bengalis. “Kill three million of them and the rest will eat out of our hands,” said the then Pakistan President Yahya Khan.
Independence Day is both a critically important event and a process. It signifies the fundamental meaning of the nation. Independence Day has always had two meanings for everyone. One is a very patriotic meaning of being grateful that someone got people here and they are glad others took care of securing that for them. Independence Day reminds every Bangladeshi of the struggles of the leaders, thinkers and the freedom-fighters of every community and religion who devoted their lives to this noble objective. Needless to say, Independence Day on March 26 in Bangladesh, is first and foremost a day for gratitude.
There is no denying that things in Bangladesh today are not the way they ought to be, let alone what they promised to be. After the bloody war of independence which secured an independent state from West Pakistan, the nation’s first top two executives — Sheikh Mujibur Rahman and Ziaur Rahman were assassinated. Between 1974 and 1990, the country was governed largely under states of emergency or martial law. True things have been changed. But after 37 years, is Bangladesh out of autocracy or enjoying the fruits of independence!
After 37 years, people of Bangladesh are facing a mortal challenge while they are remembering the supreme sacrifices and gallantry of the country’s bravest and enlightened people. The nine-month-long genocide ended with the killing of teachers, writers, journalists, professionals, and social thinkers which was the last part of the Yahya-Tikka-Niazi blueprint. But till now, is Bangladesh free from any blueprint? Secularism, democracy, scarcity of essentials, freedom of rights even tolerance, and communal harmony are being thrown overboard today.
Political independence is not a primary. It rests on a more fundamental type of independence: the independence of the human mind. It is the ability of a human being to think for himself and guide his own life that makes political independence possible and necessary. The political parties in Bangladesh put the country across an insurmountable political divide. A democratic political system is inclusive, participatory, representative, accountable, transparent, and responsive to citizens’ aspirations and expectations. Politics, like much else in Bangladesh, has always been characterized by violence.
Although democratization is not a linear process that moves from an authoritarian to a democratic regime, Bangladesh has gained it after the sacrifice of the life of Dr. Shamsul Alam Khan (was joint secretary of Bangladesh Medical Association, died November 27, 1990), Noor Hossain (a worker of Awami Jubo League, died 1987), and with many other injured participators in an anti-autocracy movement on December 6, 1990. But after 37 years, Bangladesh is without its freedom of movement, freedom of assembly, freedom of association, freedom of thought and conscience, freedom of speech, freedom of profession and occupation, or Rights to property, which were the issues of liberation war and its spirit and aspirations of independence.
Functioning of government is another important factor for democracy. If democratically based decisions cannot or are not implemented then the concept of democracy is not very meaningful or it becomes an empty shell. Member of the opposition’s parties, parliamentary committees, or even from the ministries can hardly play a vital role for any major decision in Bangladesh. Bangladeshis’ latest suffering in food crisis, may give strength to a general feeling that democracy should be restored. Food-price inflation, at around 11%, is already the biggest grievance of most Bangladeshis.
War crimes evoke a litany of horrific images to everyone’s mind. The worst war crimes in the annals of history in 1971 were not simply possible by the state-sponsored Pakistani army against Bangladesh. People suffered such attempted extermination with the help of local allies. So much is certain, that no civilized society, any more than a society at peace, can allow unpunished criminal activities like war crimes.
It’s not obviously unethical or illegal to demand while the sector commanders of eleven areas of Bangladesh along with millions of Bangladeshis in their recent convention at Bangladesh China Friendship Convention Centre on Friday, March 21, 2008, vowed to put the war criminals on trial by any means so justice can prevail in the society.
Of course the main agenda of the caretaker government is to hold a free and fair election, but this is high time to initiate legal actions against the war criminals and the trial is more important than the ongoing crackdown on corruption. If these criminals go unpunished, there would be recurrence of such crimes in the country and no political government will be able to bring them back under trail as because they will be obviously associated with such groups or persons.
While millions of Bangladeshis are paying their heartiest gratitude to those freedom- fighters and expecting that each and everyone, who fought in the complex and challenging situation and sacrificed their lives, should be highly respected and taken care of when they need; very often it is regular to see the sufferings, humiliation and deprivation of freedom-fighters. Some of them are rickshaw-pullers, slum dwellers or even beggars. Most of the countries in the world respect their freedom-fighters and senior citizens for their great contribution towards the country. Government must give special priorities for those great heroes.
Although the government is considering a proposal to increase the monthly allowance of the freedom-fighters from Tk 600 to Tk 1000, which is not of course enough, the rich individuals or public organizations can respect the freedom-fighters by helping them financially. Thirty seven years are perhaps a short time in the life of a nation to resolve its identity issues, but it cannot be denied that Bangladesh is at a crossroads and must act before it is too late.

(Ripan Kumar Biswas is a freelance writer based in New York. Dateline: New York; March 24, 2008. E-mail: Ripan.Biswas@yahoo.com)


 Future of Power

For those who want to climb the ladder of science and technology much needs to be explored and invented.

Sundeep Waslekar
 
I
was recently at Waterloo, a small university town about an hour’s drive from Toronto, Canada where my friend John English has recently established the Center for International Governance Innovation (CIGI) with support from Jim Balsillie, founder of the Blackberry communication system. The occasion was a CIGI conference on emerging powers.
While the academicians at the conference, signaled the arrival of India, Brazil, South Africa and Mexico as the new powers, based on their share in global GDP and military expenditures, they missed what was happening around them. (The academicians also mentioned China but I believe that China is not an emerging power. It has already emerged as a major power.) Canada is emerging as a major centre of innovation in the future. Both, Arnold Toynbee and Paul Kennedy have demonstrated in their well-researched history books that the countries, which innovate, rise while the countries that overspend on military, decline. The fall of the Western Roman Empire 200 years before its Eastern counterpart, despite a relatively greater distance from external aggressors, was due to a difference in technological innovation and the quality of governance.
The Canadians seem to understand this well, without pretending any claim to a future great power status. Waterloo provides the maximum number of recruits to Microsoft every year. The founders of Blackberry have set up CIGI, an institute for research in theoretical physics, hoping that Canada of the future will make major breakthroughs in physics. The Governor of Ontario keeps personal charge of the department of research and innovation, indicating how important this portfolio is in provincial politics. The entire Waterloo region is promoted as a centre for research and development and the provincial government is going all out to attract investments from high tech companies.
More significantly, the Canadians have launched a quiet revolution for clean energy. I met my friend Nicholas Parker after several years to find that he has set up Cleantech Venture forum to bring together venture capitalists and small entrepreneurs exclusively in the field of clean energy. The big Alberta energy companies are focused on research and development for clean energy in the future. Soon after my visit to Waterloo, the federal government announced a new immigration policy to attract talent from other parts of the world.
Besides Canada, we see emphasis on innovation in the Scandinavian countries. I flew from Toronto to Stockholm for a dinner with Dr. Michael Nobel, the chair of the Nobel Family Society. This family provides the Nobel prizes in the memory of Alfred Nobel, Dr Michael Nobel’s great granduncle. Now Dr. Michael Nobel is in the process of creating an award in the memory of Ludwig Nobel, his great grandfather and brother of late Alfred. The new award will be for innovation in energy.
Of course, the Nobel prizes merely symbolize the spirit of innovation in Scandinavia. It is a part of the world where several large and small companies have concentrated on technological research and innovation in governance. Nokia and Eriksson are famous companies in the communications sector. But there are several other technological experiments going on in agriculture and energy, medicine and metallurgy.
Interestingly, Canada, Sweden, Norway and Finland, with less than 1% of the world’s population among them, play an important role in the institutions of global governance. Their nationals hold key positions in the World Bank and various UN agencies. Their representatives lead many multilateral committees and set the global agenda more effectively than most other countries in the world, except of course the P-5 powers of the Security Council. As these countries win the technological race, their importance in trans-national commerce and the global economy is bound to increase in the future.
China has taken a clue from these developments. A few months ago, the government in Beijing identified five universities to be brought up to the level of the best in the world - including Harvard, Stanford and MIT, especially in the field of science and technology. The Chinese know that low cost goods can help attract investments and raise income in the short run but it is not the solution in the long run. Of course, the Chinese have a serious problem in their rural backyard. If they fail to manage it, their aspirations may disappear in a thousand revolutions.
For those who want to climb the ladder of science and technology much needs to be explored and invented. Sir Martin Rees, a leading British scientist, has come out with a succinct book, Our Final Century, which lists what science has yet to achieve. According to Sir Martin, it is too early to conclude that there are only three dimensions or that the earth is the only planet with biosphere. We know the history of time from the second moment after the big bang but it remains to be discovered what happened at the first moment and just prior to it. We know how life was created from one cell to multi-cell entities to the Cambrian explosion yet we do not know how the first cell came into being. Most dramatically, Sir Martin warns that it is too early to conclude that our biological evolution is complete. With the advent of biotechnology and nanotechnology the human species may evolve into semi-machines capable of proliferating and self-reproducing in the outer space, and perhaps beyond our solar system.
Some of these ideas may be the stuff of science fiction, but sometimes what might appear impossible to imagine might be a reality sooner than we would expect. In 1937, a group of leading American scientists failed to predict the rise of nuclear power, computers and the Internet.
With such a track record, of experts in predicting the future, some of Sir Martin’s fantasies may not be fantasies after all. The countries and companies that make a breakthrough in new, cheap, clean energy or the viability of outer space life or all purpose medicine are bound to be more influential than the countries that seek to gain a piece of territory here or there or throw out one or two small time dictators out of power. If I am looking for future power players, I would worry less about expensive weapon systems which are more likely to turn obsolete before they are ever used and keep my eyes and ears open to find out what comes out of the theoretical physics research institute in sleepy Waterloo.

(Sundeep Waslekar is the President of Strategic Foresight Group.
Source: www.strategicforesight.com)


 Comment

Pakistan’s new Prime Minister


H
ad Benazir Bhutto lived, it would have all been much simpler. The leadership vacuum in the Pakistan People's Party after her assassination was never more obvious than when the time came to choose a Prime Minister. That it took more than a month for the PPP after winning the February 18 election to make a decision on this is a reflection of Asif Ali Zardari's abundant caution in balancing his own ambitions as the leader of the single largest party with the dema nds of various sections within as well as the interests of its coalition partners. His plans for the future may have had something to do with the sidelining of party stalwart Makhdoom Amin Fahim, a respected leader in Sindh. Amid rifts in the party as several names popped up for the premiership, Syed Yousuf Raza Gillani represented the widest consensus. The former Speaker is respected for doing five years in jail on controversial corruption charges under the Musharraf regime. He belongs to Punjab but is acceptable in Sindh because of his family connections to the Sufi saint, Musa Pak. The sulking Mr. Fahim had fewer objections to him than to the others in the race. Mr. Gillani is from southern Punjab, so the Pakistan Muslim League (N), the PPP's most important coalition partner, does not see him threatening its strongholds in central and northern Punjab. In any case, he is not the kind of party leader who will or can challenge the political authority of Mr. Zardari.
The Prime Minister-elect has certainly raised democratic spirits by committing himself and his government to protect the 1973 Constitution, strengthen democratic institutions, ensure the independence of the judiciary and the media, and work to make parliament a sovereign body. The swift removal of the barricades in front of the houses of deposed Chief Justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry and other superior judges under house arrest in Islamabad is a sign of things to come. There is little doubt that Mr. Zardari as well as PML (N) leader Nawaz Sharif will have a substantial say in the running of the new government. With three other parties in the coalition - the Awami National Party, the Muttahida Quami Movement, and the Jamiat-e-Ulema Islami - it will be virtually a national government. This can enable the widest possible consensus on the crucial problems that face the nation, of which terrorism and extremism top the list. Of course, there is the challenge of dealing with President Pervez Musharraf. Pakistan's mainstream political leaders have shown they can sagaciously unite on critical issues. There will be plenty more situations in the coming days when their democratic credentials and capabilities will be tested. Their time starts now.

Source: www.hindu.com


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Viewpoints

The Disintegration of a Society

Therefore for Bangladesh and its society, it has to go back to its roots and start all over from there, if it is to prevent its own disintegration; the roots which were planted during its War of Independence.

Mahmud Ur Rahman Choudhury


Arnold. J. Toynbee in his monumental work “The Study of History” analyses the rise and fall of civilizations. In Toynbee’s introduction to his work, he identifies ‘civilized societies’ and not nations or periods as the only intelligible unit of historical study. The definition of the words ‘civilized society’ as opposed to ‘non-civilized society’ however, remains problematic throughout his work. The importance of his work lies not in definitions but in his having created a model for the study of the rise and disintegration of societies. The importance of his work is further magnified if one uses his work as a model to study any particular society, identify factors that could cause its disintegration and perhaps suggest measures, which could revitalize and rejuvenate the society.
My attention to Toynbee’s work has been drawn by ongoing debates in and outside Bangladesh regarding “reforms” to revitalize what is practically a ‘failed state’, a ‘failed nation’ or a state with a ‘failed government’. If one is to accept the authority of Toynbee, then this whole debate about failed state, nation or government becomes irrelevant because state, nations or governments are really not ‘intelligible units of historical study’. These are but instruments whereby societies delineate and regulate themselves. It is therefore, much more fruitful to study the ‘Bengali society’ and see what condition it is really in. Without going into a potentially explosive debate about the definition of Bengali society, I simply restrict and reserve my inquiry to that portion of the Bengali society presently bound by the geographical limits of the state of Bangladesh.
Toynbee has identified many factors for the rise, decline and disintegration of societies. I will take a very limited selection of the factors to see what has happened, and what is happening to Bangladesh. I have also taken certain liberties with definitions and terms and their meanings used by Toynbee, for the purpose of simplicity and topicality. The following paragraphs contain my analysis.
The Mechanicalness of Mimesis.
The word ‘mimesis’ means to mimic, copy or emulate. Toynbee has, in brief this to say: “The only way in which the uncreative majority can follow the leadership of the creative leaders is by mimesis, a mechanical and superficial imitation of the great and inspired originals. This unavoidable shortcut entails obvious dangers. The leaders may become infected with the mechanicalness of their followers and the result will be an arrested civilization; or they may exchange persuasion for compulsion. In that case, the ‘Creative Minority’ turns into a ‘Dominant Minority’ and the eager followers turn into an ‘Alienated Proletariat’. When this happen the society enters on the road to disintegration. The society loses its capacity for self-determination.” The following section illustrates ways in which this came about in the case of Bangladesh.
The ‘Bengali’ culture and society was in the making for at least 300 years starting from the 17th century. It really came into its own in the late 19th and early 20th century when a whole plethora of a ‘creative minority’ emerged in both cultural and political fields, some of whom received worldwide recognition. Their appeal and their following were universal in the sense that they were acting as part of the Indic culture and politics. It is worthy of note that their Bengaliness did not prevent them from doing this. In fact, universalism provided them with a much wider field of activity and influence. Particularism emerged only after the division of the sub-continent into the states of India and Pakistan in 1947.
Soon after the Partition of 1947, a vocal ‘Creative Bengali Minority’ emerged in the state of Pakistan. The creative minority’s appeal was comprehensive including linguistic, cultural, social, economic and political. Mimesis’ was almost instantaneous, that is, within a period of 25 years the following had coalesced into what could be termed as a ‘nation’. The creative minority that made this possible were a dozen individual centered on the charismatic personality of Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, who was soon to be termed ‘Bangabandhu’. The period leading up to the Liberation War & its aftermath is too well documented to go into & discover any new insights. What is insightful is a study of social-psychological aspects during this period. In an attempt to create, a nation out of a society Bangabandhu & his colleagues exchanged the path of Persuasion for Compulsion. They perhaps did this to arrest the chaos following a war or were persuaded to do this by the prevailing regional geo-politics. What ever be the reasons, the creative minority had now turned into a ‘Dominant Minority’. At the same time, there was an ongoing conflict within the dominant minority itself, which culminated in the murder of Bangabandhu, his family & many of his closest colleagues. The political vacuum thus created was immediately filled in by a new minority, headed by General Zia Ur Rahman, which was more dominant then creative. Mimesis of this new dominant minority was more mechanical then spontaneous. As is the case with all dominant minorities, internal conflicts also led to the murder of General Zia Ur Rahman. In both the cases, the populace in general formed a ‘silent majority’ perhaps because neither of the dominant minorities had time enough to be so coercive that the population turned into ‘alienated proletariat’. General Ershad and his coterie did that effectively within the next 9 years.
Throughout the decade of the 1990s, the two dominant minorities of the Awami League (AL) & Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) not only pursued a policy of ‘compulsion’ against the followers of each other but also employed extreme forms of coercion and violence. At the same time, the leaders themselves became infected with the mechanicalness of their followers thus arresting growth, creativity and losing the capacity for self-determination. Mimesis took the extreme form of ‘hero-worship’ where huge monuments were built to the two ‘martyred’ leaders of the two dominant minorities and show of respect to the dead became massive ‘public spectacles’.
Meanwhile the populace was divided into two exclusive conglomerates of ‘alienated proletariat’; alienated within themselves & from each other. This brought about a complete breakdown of social controls established over 3 centuries of ‘socialization’. It was now possible for individuals & groups to eliminate each other in the most brutal manner possible at the slightest provocation. It was now possible for the state & its coercive instruments to be employed for maintaining & expanding the narrow, limited interests of whichever dominant minority grappled its way to ‘state power”. It was now possible for diverse vigilante groups to function with the active support of the state; it was now possible to speak of murder, rape and dacoity as being ‘within tolerable levels’.
Thus we see that the Bengali society started its process of growth in the 17th century, rising to its apogee with the establishment of the state of Bangladesh, then declining & finally entering ‘the road to disintegration’ at the turn of the present century. The complete process of disintegration will perhaps take a decade or more. Toynbee’s analyses of disintegration of societies clearly points to the fact that once disintegration starts, the process can take a short or long time to complete depending on various factors.
New Wine in Old Bottles
Toynbee had this to say: “Ideally, each new social force released by creative minority should beget new institutions through which it can work. Actually, it works more often then not through old institutions designed for other purposes. However, the old institutions often prove unsuitable or intractable. One of the two results may follow; either the breakdown of the institution (a revolution) or their survival and the consequent perversion of the new forces working through them (an enormity). A revolution may be defined as a delayed and consequently explosive act of mimesis; an enormity as a frustration of mimesis. If the adjustment of the institutions is harmonious, growth will continue; if it results in a revolution, growth becomes hazardous; if it results in an enormity, breakdown may be diagnosed.”
Now let us see how Toynbee’s theory of “New Wine in Old Bottles” applies to Bangladesh. The creative minorities of the 17th, 18th, & 19th centuries were fully aware that they were unleashing new social forces, which required new institutions to work. Therefore, they set about building these new institutions in the form of linguistic structures, cultural & social norms & behavior but above all laid the foundations for educational methods & institutions and experimented with the formation of new social and political groups. Unfortunately, all this was cut short by the partition of 1947 purely along religious lines. In the eastern part of Pakistan, the breakup of the continuity of institution building resulted, in just 25 years, in a revolution and the formation of Bangladesh. Bangladesh was therefore, from its birth, burdened with two partial sets o£ institutions: one, which emphasizes Bengaliness and another, which emphasized Pakistaniness. Had the Bangabandhu and his creative minority realized these historical facts and allowed the revolution to continue, much as Mao Tse Tung did in China, new institutions to canalize new social forces would have been formed and harmonious growth would have been possible. Unfortunately, he chooses the path of ‘enormity’, that is, he compelled the new social forces unleashed by the birth of Bangladesh to function through old institutions. This resulted in his death and the occurrence of another quasi-revolution which brought to the fore another not so creative but highly dominant minority. Thus, twice, mimesis was frustrated and enormities were created. Under the circumstances, social breakdown became almost a mathematical certainty.
Idolization of an Ephemeral Self & institutions.
Toynbee has this to say: “History shows that the group which successfully responds to one challenge is rarely the successful respondent to the next”. Idolization is a passive means of ‘resting on ones oars’ and is resorted to when a group has run out of steam of creativity. By repeatedly emphasizing on what has already been created, the group wants to maintain its dominant position by diverting attention away (at least temporarily) from new challenges facing society. Idolization has the added advantage that mimesis becomes more mechanical, thoughtless and automatic. In the case of Bangladesh, the AL creative minority, which was instrumental in bringing about the independence of Bangladesh, failed to meet the challenges of a post-independence Bangladesh. We have seen in earlier paragraphs how new wine was poured into old bottles. The dominant minorities that have governed Bangladesh since independence have all taken idolization to extreme levels. Thus, human institutions, created by humans for other humans such as the constitution, the parliament and courts are “noble”, “sacred”, and “great”; leaders both dead & alive are “noble”, “great” and “infallible”. Today, the dominant minorities of AL & BNP have turned into nemesis of creativity by taking idolization to this extreme because both are failing to meet the challenges of disintegration of a society.
The Suicidalness of Militarism.
Having discussed the passive form of “resting on ones oars”, we now turn to the active form of aberration summarized in the term militarism. Soon after the independence of Bangladesh, the murder of the entire dominant minority of the AL sparked off a wave of militarism. The replacement dominant minority (a military junta) placed increasing emphasis on uniformity, unity, order, duty, disciple, etc in action, expression and thought. Militarism had taken the usual form of symbolizing the independence & patriotism of the nation in its armed forces little realizing that the armed forces are but a minuscule component of the society with limited utility & functions. This was a suicidal attempt at staving off the rapid disintegration of Bangladesh society. That it was suicidal can be gleaned from the fact that the gun with its power of death rules every aspect of life today. The ‘alienated proletariat’ employs the gun for economic gains; the ruling ‘dominant minority’ employs the gun to get rid of the alienated proletariat and the competing group of dominant minority. Increasingly, social control can only be established through deadly force. The proliferation of laws passed by Parliament does not aim at providing security to or maintaining existing social norms but at justifying and excusing the use of organized violence against an alienated proletariat. Thus, militarism is not a cause but an effect of advanced social disintegration. With its emphasis on uniformity, militarism is a true nemesis of creativity.
Archaism & Futurism.
Archaism is an attempt to escape from an intolerable present by reconstructing an earlier phase in the life of a disintegrating society. Archaizing movements generally either prove sterile or transform themselves into their opposite namely Futurism which is an attempt to escape the present by a leap into the future. In Bangladesh, both the dominant minorities of the AL & BNP have resorted to both Archaism & Futurism. The AL is more archaic in that it refers more to its past of a highly successful social & political movement and the “glorious” liberation war is a constant theme in it public utterances; it is also futuristic in that by evoking the past it expects to ‘motivate’ efforts at building a “Golden Bengal”. The BNP is more futuristic in that it often talks of a Bangladesh as progressing toward the new millennium. At the same time in competition with the AL, it is inventing a past by re-interpreting historical facts & events. Extreme forms of archaism & futurism inhibit the flourishing of new creative ideas and the society remains either sterile or under pressure from other factors, disintegrates. When two opposing points of view are presented with a proselytizing zeal, it leads often to conflicts within social groups, which accelerate the process of disintegration. This is what seems to be happening to Bangladesh.
Having seen what is happening and why, we need to look at solutions for Bangladesh. Unfortunately, historians including Toynbee and Gibbon are wary of predicting the future. The only exception to this rule is Hegel who in his ‘Philosophy of History’ predicted the end of history by claiming that the rise of the Germanic civilization was the apogee of human achievement & history will no more be made because there would be nothing more to achieve. Within a century of Hegel’s prediction, much of the western world lay in ruins of a devastating war and everything German came to be regarded with abhorrence. Not taking any lessons from the folly of Hegel, Francis Fukuyama in the 1980s predicted a second end of history claiming everlasting universalism for American liberal democracy & capitalism. Within 2 decades after Fukuyama’s prediction large portions of the world in Africa, Asia and the Middle East are feeling the brunt of the American brand of the end of history.
Philosophers, starting with Plato and Aristotle, on the other hand have felt no qualms in devising formulas for perfect social systems. These utopias are beyond the reach of mortal humans who have to deal with ever-changing time-space environments. It is the perceptive, practical politicians like Lenin and Mao Tse Tung who can change existing social systems and devise new ones which suit the times and the circumstances.
The strength of a society or civilization rests on the foundations on which it was built and on its universalism. For example the Greek city-state civilization survived for only a few centuries but its ideals and ideas were so universal that much of these were taken over by the Romans and later transferred to Western Christian civilization which continues to dominate the world today. But if there is anything that history teaches, it is that no society and no civilization is everlasting, permanent. History also teaches that a particular society or civilization exists to provide the greatest amount of benefit and satisfaction to its members; when it ceases to provide that, it loses its capacity for self-determination and starts on the road to disintegration. Therefore for Bangladesh and its society, it has to go back to its roots and start all over from there, if it is to prevent its own disintegration; the roots which were planted during its War of Independence.

(The author is the Editor of
The Bangladesh Today)


Opinion

Iraq: US Exit May Not Lead to an Orgy of Violence

Gwynne Dyer

It is five years since President George W. Bush launched the invasion of Iraq (March 20). Can Iraq emerge from this ordeal as a place where people lead reasonably safe and happy lives?
The American troops will leave eventually, and probably quite soon, but that is unlikely to be followed by an orgy of violence. The civil war has already happened, and most formerly mixed neighborhoods and villages are now exclusively Shiite or Sunni. That, as much as the "surge" in American troop numbers, is why the civilian death toll has dropped significantly over the past year.
Between four and five million Iraqis have fled their homes (out of a population of less than thirty million), and most of them will never be able to return to those homes. But half of them are still in Iraq, and most of the rest are in neighboring countries and will ultimately have to return. They will eventually find somewhere safe to live, and they will start to rebuild their lives.
Lebanon's tragedy was largely self-inflicted, and the various sects had more clearly defined identities before the war began, but it is what happened after the shooting stopped there in 1990 that concerns us. Most of the refugees found somewhere to live, the shattered buildings were rebuilt or replaced, and within ten years a reasonably healthy economy emerged from the ruins.
With oil at over a hundred dollars a barrel, Iraq certainly has the money to rebuild, even if oil production has not yet recovered to the pre-invasion level. And there is now a kind of democracy in Iraq, although it is heavily distorted by sectarian and ethnic rivalries - not all that different from Lebanon's democracy, in fact.
There is little chance of another strongman like Saddam seizing power in Iraq, because power is now so widely distributed among the different factions and militias. Iraqi democracy may even survive the departure of the American troops.
So was it all worthwhile, in the end? That is a different question, because the implicit comparison is between the future of the country as it is now and the conditions that reigned five years ago when Saddam Hussein was still in charge. Even that comparison yields an ambiguous answer, for Saddam's Iraq was a secular society where people were safe unless they trespassed into politics, and women enjoyed an unusual degree of personal freedom. But it is also the wrong comparison.
This was the trick that the old Soviet Union played endlessly, comparing the wonders achieved under Communism with the horrors of poverty and oppression under the czars - as if Russia would have stayed forever frozen in 1917 if the Bolshevik Revolution had not happened. The Chinese Communist regime plays the same game now, pretending that it would still be 1948 in the country if they had not seized power. It's utter nonsense, and that applies to Iraq, too.
Saddam was only executed a year ago, so he probably would still be in power today if the United States had not invaded Iraq, but he was not going to live forever. It's not possible to know what would have followed him had he stayed in power and died a natural death, but would it have involved hundreds of thousands of Iraqis tortured, shot or blown up? Would it have led to the permanent alienation of Sunnis and Shiites? Probably not. In the meantime, Saddam posed no serious threat to his neighbors, as his army was largely destroyed in the first Gulf War of 1991 and never rebuilt (due to sanctions). He posed no danger at all to the United States, since he had absolutely nothing to do with Al-Qaeda (as was confirmed by a recently released Pentagon study of more than 600,000 Iraqi documents captured after the US invasion).
The real question is what will Iraq be like twenty years from now, and what would it have been like in twenty years if the United States had not invaded. But it can never be answered, because that alternative future was cancelled by the invasion.

Source: www.arabnews.com


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International

Tibet govt-in-exile says about 140 dead in unrest
AFP, Dharamshala


Some 140 people have been confirmed killed in a Chinese crackdown in Tibet, the prime minister of the Tibetan government-in-exile told AFP on Tuesday.
"It is about 140," said Samdhong Rinpoche. "This is the toll till last evening and includes the whole of Tibet."
The new toll from protests and unrest was up from 130 confirmed deaths announced on Monday morning and 99 last week.
"It is from our own sources in Tibet," said Rinpoche in Dharamshala in northern India, the base of exiled Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama.
The figures included fatalities from Tibetan areas in provinces such as Gansu and Sichuan, he said but did not provide details.
China has reported a total of 20 dead in the recent unrest.
The state news agency Xinhua on Saturday said Tibetan rioters killed 18 "innocent" civilians and one police officer during protests against Chinese rule in the Himalayan region's capital Lhasa.
There was further unrest on Monday with Xinhua reporting at least one policemen killed and several more wounded in a riot in Sichuan province.
Protests, which began two weeks ago on the anniversary of a failed 1959 Tibetan uprising against Chinese rule, erupted into deadly violence in Lhasa on March 14.
They have spread to other parts of China with significant ethnic Tibetan populations in the biggest challenge to Chinese control of Tibet in two decades.
However independent verification of the casualties has not been possible with Chinese authorities strictly controlling a huge swathe of riot-hit areas and denying foreign reporters access.
China has accused the "Dalai Lama clique" of orchestrating the violence ahead of the Olympic Games in August. But the Dalai Lama has called Beijing's charges against him "baseless" and repeatedly said he opposes violence.
He is demanding greater autonomy and has called for an international probe into the unrest.
 


Bhutan heralds first day as democracy
AFP, Thimphu

Bhutan awoke Tuesday as the world's newest democracy, after a landslide election win for a party led by an ex-premier who has pledged to boost development-and happiness-in the Himalayan nation.
Almost 80 percent of Bhutanese voters, urged on by their beloved 28-year-old monarch who often appeared more keen to bring down the curtain on a century of absolute monarchy than his subjects, participated in Monday's historic polls.
The landmark vote was first proposed by Bhutan's royal family to peacefully transform the small Buddhist kingdom, wedged in the mountains between massive neighbours India and China, into a constitutional monarchy.
The Druk Phuensum Tshogpa (DPT) or Bhutan United Party made an unexpected clean sweep by winning 44 of the total 47 seats for the lower house in what had been seen as a tight two-party race, the country's election commission said.
The landslide results even stunned the winning party, which differed only slightly from its rival-both parties are staunchly loyal to the royal family and both promised to stick with Gross National Happiness to measure growth.
"The margin is overwhelming. It places a heavy burden on us. Expectations are very high both from the people and the king," Yeshley Zimba, one of the party's winning candidates from the capital Thimphu, told reporters Tuesday.
"We will be guided by the past but now the process will be a democratic process."
DPT leader Jigmi Thinley-a two-time former premier under the previous royal governments who holds a master's degree in public administration from Pennsylvania State University-was expected to be the new prime minister.


Lebanon’s presidential vote postponed for 17th time
AFP, Beirut

A parliamentary session to elect a Lebanese president has been postponed from Tuesday to April 22 amid continued deadlock between rival political leaders, the speaker's office announced on Monday.
"Parliament speaker Nabih Berri has decided to postpone the session to April 22 at noon (0900 GMT)," his spokesman Ali Hamdan told AFP.
The decision marks the 17th time since September that a parliament session to elect a successor to pro-Syrian head of state Emile Lahoud has failed amid a standoff between the Western- and Saudi-backed government and the Hezbollah-led opposition, backed by Syria and Iran.
"The speaker has said that he certainly will move up the session if a political agreement is reached beforehand," a statement from parliament's secretariat said.
The Lebanese presidential crisis is expected to top the agenda at this week's Arab summit in Damascus. Regional heavyweight Saudi Arabia has announced that it will send a low-level diplomat to the meeting in retaliation for what it says is Syrian obstruction to the election of a Lebanese president.


Iran seeks weapons-grade uranium enrichment: Cheney
AFP, Washington

Vice President Dick Cheney on Monday said Iran was developing a uranium enrichment program for military purposes.
"Obviously, they're ... heavily involved in trying to develop nuclear weapons enrichment, the enrichment of uranium to weapons grade levels," Cheney said in an interview with ABC television transcribed by the White House. Cheney, however, did not mention on what he based his accusation.
The United States and its European allies have led efforts to pressure Iran into freezing its disputed uranium enrichment work, a process that can be used both to make nuclear fuel and the core of an atomic bomb. Tehran insists its program is peaceful.
The UN Security Council recently imposed a third set of sanctions against Iran over its refusal to halt its nuclear activities.
Washington has stepped up pressure to halt Tehran's uranium enrichment program ever since a US intelligence report in December said Iran did have, in effect, a covert nuclear weapons program but that it was stopped in 2003.
The report, which the White House interpreted as confirming its suspicions about Iran's secret ambition, increased skepticism over Washington's warnings that began after the Iraq war did not yield the weapons of mass destruction the US had predicted.
Meanwhile, US Vice President Dick Cheney met Monday with Turkish leaders who told him they would not send more troops or money to Afghanistan for now, a senior US official told reporters after the talks.
"They were certainly, I think, happy to look at, to see whether there was any possibility of more they could do, but (offered) no immediate short-term commitments," the official said on condition of anonymity. He spoke after Cheney, in Ankara on the last leg of a nine-day overseas tour, met with President Abdullah Gul, Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan and chief of general staff General Yasar Buyukanit.
Washington has been pushing its NATO allies, including Turkey, to step up help to rebuild war-wracked Afghanistan and crush the Taliban Islamist militia ahead of an alliance summit in Bucharest, Romania, in early April.
Last week, Turkey's Foreign Minister Ali Babacan said Ankara will soon decide on whether to send more troops to Afghanistan, a day after Buyukanit opposed the idea, saying that his forces were already busy fighting separatist fighters of the outlawed Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK).
In all three meetings, Cheney "got great expressions of support for the US backing in their fight against the PKK and how helpful the United States had been both with Turkey but also between Turkey and Iraq," the official said.
A key issue was how to battle the rebels while "trying to be sensitive to, obviously, the delicate political and security situation that exists in Iraq and trying hard to avoid any problems that would add to existing stresses on the Iraqi political balance," the official said.
"All the Turks he met agree that Turkey needs to work-not only with the Iraqi central government-but they need to work with political forces and political leaders in northern Iraq as well," the official said.