tuesday, march 18, 2008 , chaitra 4, rabiul awal 9, 1428 a.h

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Leading News

Justice Nayeem stripped of writ powers
Bdnews, Dhaka

The chief justice Monday stripped High Court judge Shah Abu Nayeem Mominur Rahman, who handed down verdicts in a series of high-profile cases, of his writ powers.
The HC bench consisting of Justice Nayeem and Justice Shahidul Islam has been given the jurisdiction of hearing the first civil appeal of more than Tk 1 lakh, revision and rule.
Chief justice Md Ruhul Amin’s administrative order comes as the HC bench is scheduled to hold the final hearing from March 19 on a writ petition by barrister Masud Reza Sobhan challenging the validity of not holding national elections in 90 days from the dissolution of parliament.
The particular bench also gave a verdict cancelling businessman Azam Jahangir Chowdhury’s case against former prime minister Sheikh Hasina.
The bench also asserted that the High Court can allow bail even to convicts in cases under emergency powers rules.
The bench passed a verdict, declaring illegal the Anticorruption Commission’s notice seeking a wealth statement from Hasina.
In another recent verdict, the bench ruled illegal law secretary Kazi Habibul Awal’s appointment and observed: "According to the constitution, the chief justice’s opinion is not the opinion of the Supreme Court."
The bench also granted bail to former prime minister Khaleda Zia in the GATCO corruption case.
The jurisdiction of death reference hearing of the High Court bench of Justice Md Iman Ali and Justice AFM Abdur Rahman has been changed and the bench has been given the jurisdiction of hearing writ appeals.


Local and National Polls may be held simultaneously: CEC
Staff Correspondent

The Chief Election Commissioner (CEC), ATM Shamsul Huda, on Monday said the parliamentary election and the Upazilla election can be held simultaneously. Talking to reporters after visiting the election to the FBBCI governing body, the CEC said, "The national election and the upazilla elections may be held concurrently on a single day."
"FBCCI is holding both chamber group and association group elections at a time. Like the FBCCI, we are also considering holding the national and upazila polls at a time. But no decision has been taken in this regard," said CEC Shamsul Huda.
The EC had planned earlier to hold the local body polls before the general election and now it had changed its decision as most of the mainstream political parties opposed the EC’s decision saying, ‘the main job of election commission is to hold the national election first and then the elected government would hold the local government elections including upazilla elections’. Regarding uses of transparent ballot boxes in the upcoming general elections, The CEC said, "As FBCCI now in its elections is using transparent ballot boxes, the EC will collect sample ballot boxes from them and we will examine the viability of using it in the next elections." Huda also expressed satisfaction over the FBCCI polls.
The CEC made the comment regarding holding local government polls and general elections simultaneously just after a day as Sunday Speaker Barrister Jamir Uddin Sircar said the caretaker government’s main job is to hold the stalled general elections at first. Some of the political parties said that the EC’s announced road map would be thwarted if it holds the upazilla elections earlier.


 Political Reform Before Election
Staff Correspondent

Democracy and good governance will not be established in the country if the general election is not held in a free, fair and impartial manner which will be free from black money, nomination business and muscle power. "A perfunctory election will never bring about any changes in the country’s political culture. We do not want election for the sake of election but election for democracy." This was said by politicians, educationalists, civil servants and journalists expressed this view at a seminar on "Is Election an Aim or Goal for Democracy in Bangladesh?" organised by Society For Bangladesh Development Studies at the National Press Club auditorium on Monday.
They said in 37 years after independence no political governments were respectful of democracy in the country. Rather, they established a culture of nominating black money holders and godfathers in the elections; criminality, dynasty and illiteracy gripped our politics. As a result of deterioration of the political scenario, emergency was promulgated.
"We are surprised when we see that a state minister of BNP held meeting at his residence with criminals to conspire to launch grenade attack on AL Chief Sheikh Hasina, the Communication Minister allocated a land of Railway Department to his wife and State Minister for Home saved the murderers in a sensational murder case in exchange for TK 20 crore", they added.
Massive reforms in the electoral rules, political parties and reshuffle in the administration should be ventured first before holding the general election in a bid to offer an effective, honest, efficient and accountable Parliament before the nation, they suggested saying the Caretaker Government should work to this effect.
They spoke on the need for a roadmap for democracy but not for election as mere election will not ensure true democracy, rule of law and good governance in the country. Otherwise, the country will go back to the political anarchy of pre-1/11 era. However, they said if the Caretaker Government fails to control price hike, the corrupt politicians will create a way to come to the power through a so-called election. Bangladesh should learn from those countries where people have voted corrupt persons to power.


 AL observes Bangabandhu’s birth anniversary
Staff Correspondent

With a vow to establish an exploitation-free and democratic Sonar Bangla, Awami League (AL), its front organizations and different socio-cultural organisations observed the 88th birth anniversary of Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman, the father of the nation, on Monday. AL and its front organizations marked the day amid various programme, including placing floral wreaths at the portrait of Sheikh Mujib at Bangabandhu Memorial Museum at Dhanmondi in the capital and at Bangabandhu's Mazar at Tungipara in Gopalganj, offering munajat, holding milad mahfil and discussion meeting.
Abdur Razzaque said, "The nation achieved the hard-earned Independence under the leadership of Bangbandhu who earlier inspired the nation to become united against the then widespread tyranny and misrule." "We are still fighting for establishing democracy and rights of the people. A free, fair and credible general election is a must to restore democracy in Bangladesh, earlier dreamed by the greatest son of the soil Bangabandhu," he added.
Talking to newsmen, Tofail Ahmed said, "We are Independent indeed but the economic emancipation of common people has not been ensured till date." Demanding exemplary punishment for war criminals and anti-liberation forces, he called upon the people to work together in order to materialise the dreams of Bangabandhu Shiekh Mujibur Rahman.
They also prayed for the early recovery of the ailing detained AL president Sheikh Hasina –who has now been undergoing treatment at the capital’s Square Hospital since Tuesday last - with multiple complications in her ears and eyes. As part of the two-day programme, AL will organise a discussion meeting at the auditorium of the Engineers’ Institute, Bangladesh in the capital at 3:00pm today (Tuesday). AL acting president Zillur Rahman will preside over the meeting.


 BNP office rejects Bangabhaban's letter
Staff Correspondent

Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) has rejected Bangabhaban’s invitation letter to Khandoker Delwar Hossain to attend the Independence Day function at Bangabhaban as the letter was not properly addressed.
Sources in the BNP said, "Two emissaries of Bangabhaban on Monday went to the BNP central party office at Naya Paltan carrying the President’s letter to Khandoker Delwar Hossain. But in the letter, Khandoker Delwar Hossain was designated as the acting Secretary General of BNP and that’s why, office bearers refused to receive the letter asking them to come again after correcting the designation of Khandoker Delwar Hossain."
Meanwhile on Monday, BNP Chairperson’s adviser Brig (retd) ASM Hannan Shah held a meeting with acting office Secretary Ruhul Kabir Rizvi Ahmed, a pro-Delwar leader, on Monday. Sources said, during their hour-long meeting Hannan Shah expressed his anger against Rizvi Ahmed as he did not attend the meeting held at the residence of Hannan Shah. In reply Rizvi said, "I could not do anything against the party Secretary General’s stand."
After the meeting, Hannan Shah told newsmen that on approval of the party Secretary General, we will send a letter to the Chief Adviser requesting him to release all the detained political leaders including Begum Khaleda Zia and Sheikh Hasina before March 26. Hannan Shah was also hopeful of bringing unity in the party. "I have recently got green signal from our rival camps to reunite the party. I hope, the unity will take place soon," Hanna Shah said.
Meanwhile, Khandoker Delwar Hossain, now taking treatment in New York, is likely to return home before March 26, a close associate of Delwar Hossain said.


 Allegation of deception against 64 Hajj agencies
Show-cause notice is being sent against them

Staff Correspondent


The Government is sending show-cause notices to Hajj agencies that allegedly deceived Hajj pilgrims last year. "Allegation of cheating against Hajj agencies has been found and we are sending show-cause notices against them", said Religious Affairs Adviser A F Hassan Ariff while talking to newsmen at the Secretariat on Monday. Meanwhile, the administrative team on Hajj management has submitted a report of alleged deception against 64 Hajj agencies in the Religious Affairs Ministry, sources said. The report revealed some Hajj agencies brought Hajj pilgrims to Makkah without renting houses there. Some agencies have deprived the Hajj pilgrims of facilities mentioned in their package. Ariff, who is also in charge of Law Ministry, said if the allegation against Hajj agencies is proved, their licenses would be cancelled. The religion adviser also asserted that Hajj agencies would have to bear the responsibility if the allegations are true.
Asked whether the Government would file cases against Hajj agencies for which fifty five pilgrims could not perform Hajj last year even after completing all the procedures, he said the Government cannot lodge cases against them. "But we are considering treating Hajj agencies’ deception as crime in the eye of law and the deceived pilgrims will be compensated", Ariff added. Asked whether Hajj policy would be changed, he said policy is not a problem but its implementation adding "We are trying to implement Hajj policy".



 

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Govt’s motto is to hold credible elections by deadline: CA
UNB, London

Chief Adviser Dr Fakhruddin Ahmed has said the main motto of his administration is to hold free and acceptable parliamentary polls by the set deadline as no one wants to return to the nightmarish days before January 11, 2007.
"More than half of the voter list has been prepared, election rules and regulations are at the final stage and we're going to have a free, fair and credible election," he told a meeting with representatives of the Bangladeshi community at Baden Powell Assembly Hall here Sunday evening.
Dr Ahmed, now in London on a 3-day official visit after attending the 11th summit of the OIC at Dakar, said his government is working hard to establish sustainable democracy, fundamental rights of the people and coexistence of all religious faiths through various reforms.
He said the expatriate Bangladeshis will be enlisted as voters and assured that his administration will remove any complicacy over having the double citizenship. On the controversy over the National Women Development Policy, the Chief Adviser said his government has no intention to frame any law that will go against holy Quran and Sunnah.
About holding trial of the 1971 war criminals, he said although he wants the trail of the war criminals but no government in the past had done it. Because of time constraint, he said, it will not be possible for the incumbent government to initiate the process as too many things still need to be done.
On the soaring prices of essentials, the Chief Adviser admitted that the low income group people have been hit hard by the price-hike caused by record high prices of petroleum and food on the international market.
He said there is no alternative to boosting agriculture production to face the situation. Realizing the fact, he said the government has focused on smooth supply of fertilizer and uninterrupted irrigation to enhance the food production.
As the Chief Adviser arrived here, BNP London chapter organized protests outside the Baden Powell Assembly Hall and Awami Juba League outside Dorchester Hotel, where he is staying, demanding release of Khaleda Zia and Sheikh Hasina.
Dr Ahmed said his government is to bring to justice those who are accused of corruption. He said a strategy paper is being prepared to stop massive corruption in the future.
Bangladesh High Commission to London Shafi U Ahmed made welcome remarks at the meeting. Foreign Affairs Adviser Dr Iftekhar Ahmed Chowdhury was present.
The Chief Adviser praised the contributions of the expatriate Bangladeshi community to socioeconomic and political development in the UK as well as to Bangladesh economy through their remittances.
He said the country eared a record amount of $ 700 million in remittance in January this year while a record number of Bangladeshi workers left for overseas job last year.
Dr Ahmed said the government is trying to implement the recommendations made at the first NRB conference in Dhaka to ensure the Non-Resident Bangladeshis' participation in the economic development of Bangladesh.
The Chief Adviser hoped that the existing excellent relations between Bangladesh and Britain will be further flourished with the pro-active role to be played by the Bangladeshi community in Britain.
During his 45-minute engagement with the Bangladeshi community leaders, the Chief Adviser gave a resume of reforms so far done in administrative, financial and judicial sectors. He said a Local Government Commission will be set up to see how to expand the financial authority and decentralise power through the local government bodies, which are important for strengthening the base of democracy.
The Chief Adviser also said a Judicial Commission is going to be set up to appoint efficient judges to the High Court with the approval of the President to ensure justice for the people.
Dr Ahmed also mentioned the separation of the judiciary from the executive, reconstitution of the Public Service Commission, University Grants Commission and forming Regulatory Reforms Commission, Rights to Information Act and Consumers Right Act which are also designed to make the government accountable and transparent for sustainable democracy and betterment of the people.


  Raising income tax, diplomatic
initiatives for rice import
Economists suggests Finance Adviser

UNB, Dhaka

Economists on Monday recommended the government to raise income tax exemption limit, strengthen social protection in the new budget and take more diplomatic initiatives to ensure rice import to contain its spiraling prices.
At a pre-budget meeting with Finance Adviser Dr Mirza Azizul Islam at his ministry, they also suggested revisiting the subsidy as they think an unsustainable subsidy regime has emerged now.
The other recommendations included expediting ADP implementation, making ADP more realistic, giving more emphasis on agriculture and SME investments, increasing allocation for improving nutrition and setting regional targets to remove disparities.
"We'll try to implement the recommendations practicably," Dr Aziz told reporters after the meeting.
Bangladesh Bank Governor Dr Salehuddin Ahmed, Finance Secretary Dr Mohammed Tareq, senior officials, former finance advisers, finance secretaries, economists and academics took part in the pre-budget discussion.
"The government should boldly face it (subsidy regime)… you (government) will have to look at the present regime, which is just too excess," Dr Aziz quoted economists to have told the meeting. He said the international price of petroleum oil was US$ 62 per barrel when the domestic price of fuel oil was last adjusted, but the international price has now soared as high as US$ 110 per barrel. Similarly, the price of fertilizer has marked a lot of increase by now.
"Agriculture is one of our top priority sectors. We'll not do anything that could affect the sector," the Finance Adviser said, replying to a question whether revisiting subsidy could further enhance the food prices.
He added that a bit increase in fertilizer prices is unlikely to create a major problem as the price of cereals also increased to a great extent, making a high-profit margin for the producers.
The Adviser said the economists suggested increasing the income tax exemption limit from Tk 1,50,000 to Tk 2,00,000 in the next budget considering the problem being faced by the fixed income group people due to the price situation.



Crime

Seven to die in sensational murder case
A Correspondent, Narsingdi
A court in the district on Monday sentenced seven persons to death for killing six people of a family, Juboraj Villa, at Bhelanagar on 2007.
Additional District and Sessions Judge AKM Abul Kashem also fined them Tk 10,000 each after examining the tweny seven witnesses and relevant papers.
The convicts are Fazlul Haq, 42, Jahangir, 30, Dhud Miah, 28, Swapan Mia, 38, of Daulatkandi village in Raipura, Akhtaruzzaman Biru, 30, Sharif Bhuiyan, 32, Shahid Mia, 35.
The case in brief is that the convicts killed Rousuddin, 55, his wife Salma Begum, 45, their son Rajib, 26, and daughters Una, 24, Swarna, 18, and maid Urmi, 9, and looted money after breaking in their house at the dead of night on May 18.
The killers slaughtered Yuona and Swarna after rape while strangulated four others to death.
Rousuddin of Chinispur village under sadar upazila had been staying at the Villa owned by an expatriate living in Italy for a long time.
Two separate cases were filed with the sadar thana, one of dacoity and the other of rape. As sadar thana police, DB and CID police could not make any progress in their investigation, the Depuity Commissioner, Md Zillar Rahman and SP Shahabuddin Khan handed the case over to ASP of RAB-2, Babul Akter.
At last RAB-2 was able to arrest the culprits in drives from different areas of the district and the charge sheet was also submitted against the accused seven.

Teacher killed in bomb attack

UNB, Jessore
A college teacher who was seriously injured in a bomb attack at Monsharpur Kumarghat Bazar in Monirampur uapzila Sunday night died at General Hospital here Monday afternoon.
The victim was identified as Sanjay Kumar,35, a teacher of Moshihati College of the upazila.
Sources said some terrorists hurled a bomb when Sanjay and Mozam, a shop owner, were returning to their Kopali village from Monsharpur Bazar in a bicycle at about 10.30pm Sunday, leaving them seriously injured.
Hearing the blast, local people rushed to spot and sent them to the 250-bed General Hospital where Sanjay succumbed to his injuries at about 3pm Monday.
Sanjay is believed to have been killed following past enmity with a local man.
Police visited the spot.

One killed, 12 injured in bloody clash

A Correspondent, Faridpur
A man was killed and 12 others were injured in a bloody clash over a land dispute at Sondah village of Noapara union under Madhukhali upazilla in Faridpur district on Sunday evening.
The dead were identified as Md. Habib Mredha, 25, of the village.
Eye witness' said, the dispute between Alauddin Mredha and Md. Latif Mredha over a family land control existed for a long time.
Later, supporters of both the groups attacked each other, leaving 12 people from both sides injured.
A case filed at Madhukhali thana in the district.

Man killed by cousin

UNB, Jhalakati
A young man was killed allegedly by his cousin at Charukhan village in Sadar upazila on Saturday.
Local people said an altercation ensued between Rakhal Samaddar and his cousin Polash over a trifling matter and at one stage Polash hit him with a stick on his head leaving him critically injured.
Rakhal was rushed to the Barisal Sher-e-Bangla Medical College Hospital where he died later at night.
Polash and his family members went into hiding soon after the incident.

Fake RAB member held

A Correspondent, Rajshahi
The Tanore thana police in Rajshahi arrested a fake RAB member on Monday. The arrested was identified as Rabiul Islam, residence of Muradpur area under Nachol upazila in Chapai Nababganj.
Police sources said that the arrested identified himself as a RAB member and tried to snatch a motorbike from Mizanur Rahman, a teacher of Tanore Islamia Madrasa.
Later, the teacher informed Tanore thana police. Police rushed to the spot and arrested the fake RAB member.
A case was filed against the man with Tanore police station on Monday.
Police produced him before the court on the same day.

Top terror held in Savar

UNB, Savar
Elite force RAB arrested a top terrorist along with his accomplice from a hotel at Palashbari under Ashulia police station on Sunday.
Acting on a tip off, RAB personnel raided the hotel and arrested the notorious terrorist Tipu alias Hatkata Tipu and his accomplice Roni.
Tipu was wanted a number murder, extortion and other criminal cases, police said.
Another report from Shariatpur adds: Police arrested another top terrorist Amir Hossain at Senerchar village in Jajira upazila Saturday evening.
Police said Amir wanted in a number of cases.

A Correspondent, Rajshahi

The Rapid Action Battalion of Rajshahi arrested four snatchers and seized a taxi-cab used in the purpose at Puthia in Rajshahi on Sunday.
The arrested were identified as Zahidul Islam, 22, of Shimultali village under Jaidevpur in Gazipur, Faruque Ahmed, 27, son of Omar Ali, Baniapara village under Bagha in Rajshahi, Zahirul Islam, 21, and Mohammed Juel of Kolagasia village under Amtali in Barguna.
According to the RAB sources, acting on a tip-off, the law enforcers launched the drive in the Biharipara village under Puthia on Sunday at around 7:30 am.
Later, the RAB members arrested them in front of one Jahangir Hossain's residence with a hijacking taxi-cab (Dhaka Metro-PA-11-0799).
On interrogation, they admitted their offense, sources said.
RAB handed over them to the Puthia police after filling a case was against the four hijackers.

16 rounds of bullets recovered

A Correspondent, Rajshahi
The Rapid Action Battalion of Rajshahi recovered 16 rounds of bullets at Katakhali bazaar area in Rajshahi on Sunday.
RAB sources said that acting on a tip-off, RAB of Railway Colony camp launched the drive in one Mofazzal's banana field and recovered 16 rounds of .32 bor rifle bullets.
RAB could not arrest anybody in this connection.
A case was filed with the concerned police station.

Extremist arrested, six firearms seized

UNB, Dhaka
Members of Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) arrested an alleged extremist from Joydebpur in Gazipur and recovered six firearms from Dhanwaghat village of Faridpur upazila in Pabna
district early Monday.
The arrested was identified as Hares, 40, a regional commander of Purbo Banglar Communist Party (Lal Pataka), son of Pazu Parmanik of Balughata village in Ataikula upazila. He was wanted in a number of cases, including four of murders. Being tipped off by its intelligence team, a team of RAB-1, led by Major Masud Pervez and ASP Tanvir Arafat, arrested Hares from Joydebpur Chourastha at about 5:30 pm Sunday.

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Editorial

Debate about Famine

For the last couple of days there is a debate going on between Dr. Akbar Ali Khan, Chairman of the Regulatory Reforms Commission and Dr. Mirza Azizul Islam, the Finance Adviser to the Emergency Government. The debate is centering on the issue of famine in Bangladesh; Dr. Akbar Ali Khan contends there is one while Dr. Azizul Islam vehemently denies that there is any famine in Bangladesh.
There is little doubt about food shortages in the Country; there is even less doubt about the inability of most people to buy their minimum requirement of food because of exorbitant prices. So, people are forced to reduce their intake of food of any kind - this is particularly true of poor people who form the greater part of our population; even the middle-class who are the major consumers of all goods and services including food, have had to drastically cut down their food purchases. Whether such a situation could be termed a 'famine' is a moot question, what is important here is that we do not have enough food to go around and whatever is available is unaffordable. If by 'famine' we mean a situation that prevailed in Ethiopia a few years back, then no, we do not have that yet but if this situation does not improve immediately, we will indeed have people starving because most are already on a half-starvation diet. When Dr. Akbar Ali Khan mentions that there is a 'silent famine' stalking our countryside, he must be credited with having reflected the realities of the situation in Bangladesh.
When the Finance Adviser says, "How can famine exist in a country where import process and inflow of remittances are normal?" most people will immediately react by saying: what do import processes and remittances have to do with famine? What the Finance Adviser really means is that the Government has enough money to buy food from abroad and that food import is in process but that does not really address the issue of famine. The question of famine does not rest on whether the Government has enough food in stock but it does rest on peoples' abilities to buy that food or to get it free of cost - right now we are unable to do either because we do not have enough money to buy our minimum needs of food, nor do we have employments which will help us in earning a living, nor yet is our Government ready to give free food to all or even some of our most needy people.
So where does all this debate about famine leave us; nowhere really till at least the next crops are harvested and we have a short period of relative plenty but by that time the rains will start and we will have floods. As far as the Emergency Government is concerned, it has been able to do next to nothing about either our food security, inflation or our economy in recession. Now that the demands for elections, both from the public and the political parties, are reaching a crescendo, this Government might well decide to call it quits by giving an election and leaving us all and the next government in the lurch about almost everything but most of all about our poor economic conditions.




Rise in incidents of killing

Incidents of secret killings in the capital city have recorded a sharp rise to 24 in February from 16 in January. While stating this to newsmen on Sunday DMP Commissioner Naim Ahmed said he holds a meeting with senior police officials at the Rajarbagh Police Lines every month to review the law and order situation. It was revealed in the latest meeting that most of the criminal activities, specially killing and robbery, were planned and controlled from the residential hotels, he added.
The rise in the incidents of killings in the city, specially when the country is under emergency rule, is undoubtedly alarming. More alarming is the situation prevailing across the country described by many as a 'Valley of Death' where over 3000 incidents of murders on an average take place every year. While the number of incidents of different types of serious crimes was reported to have recorded a fall following the imposition of emergency rule in the country, the sudden surge in the incidents of murders in the capital is a matter of great concern. It is really a mystery why should the incidents of killings in the city increase while the administration is bent on curbing crimes and most of the top terrorists and criminals are in custody or on the run.
It is apprehended that new groups of criminals and terrorists have come up and have been equipped with sophisticated small arms smuggled into the country from the neighbouring states. Besides, one of the main causes of the law and order problem is the alleged patronage of some politicians and a section of police personnel to the criminals and illegal arms holders.
In view of this, in order to curb crimes including murders, the authorities concerned should launch drives against the criminals and their godfathers and also against the arms dealers. The people expect the government to go all out against the 'Merchants of Deaths' in the city and elsewhere to ensure the security of life and property of the citizens.

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Analysis

All's well that Ends well

Bangladesh must succeed in creating higher, stronger, foundations for democracy that can endure beyond the elections.

Ripan Kumar Biswas

One of my known persons who is a mid level army officer, was very sad while he was talking with me as according to him and many others including defense personnel and a large number of civilians in Bangladesh, present military backed interim government is trying hard to improve the country's total image in politics, businesses, administrations and finally to restore a stable and peaceful democratic political system in Bangladesh, but critics both local and international, are so harsh on the government and different law enforcement agencies.
Although it's a part of their duty, but he further mentioned that they are living and spending their lives in the different camps in rural areas across the country leaving their families at different places since January 11, 2007 as because like others they also dream of a peaceful democratic political system in Bangladesh.
After receiving criticism against the role of Fakhruddin's government especially regarding human rights issues from different groups, organizations or individuals both local and international, government expressed its deep concern while the US Department of State in its annual report "Human Rights Practices 2007" on Bangladesh revealed that human rights record worsened in the country as the state of emergency continued to be in effect with elections remaining postponed.
In the country paper on Bangladesh, the report said the Emergency Powers Rules of 2007 (EPR), imposed by the government in January and effective through year's end, suspended many fundamental rights, including freedom of press, freedom of association, and the right to bail. The report criticized harshly giving priorities against serious abuses, including custodial deaths, arbitrary arrest and detention, and harassment of journalists by the security forces although there was a significant drop of extra-judicial killings.
In addition since last September, although the government eased bans on indoor political gatherings in Dhaka but limited the number of people who could attend and required parties to seek permission from the home ministry to hold meetings, while according to one election commissioner Brig Gen (retd) M Sakhawat Hussain, without any decision on the state of emergency with the hands and feet of political parties tied, holding of polls would not be possible. Talking to the reporters after holding a meeting with a delegation of the newly launched Bangladesh Kalyan Party on Thursday 13, 2008, Sakhawat felt the need for relaxing the state of emergency not only for creating an environment conducive to elections, but also for registration of political parties.
However in an immediate reaction to the report, Bangladesh government expressed disappointment at the report's lack of balance in presenting the country's ground realities as the international communities are very much aware of the circumstances, which led to the declaration of the state of emergency early January 2007. According to a foreign ministry spokesman, the report further failed to mention the significant reform measures taken by the caretaker government for consolidating and sustaining democracy.
The army-backed Caretaker Government has scored some credible successes, especially in the area of law and order to address the challenge of extremism and terrorism in Bangladesh. It has eliminated a large number of terrorist kingpins like Bangla Bhai. They have also revived the case on the assassination attempt on Sheikh Hasina in which preliminary evidence shows complicity of some BNP leaders.
Strong democracies also need sound institutions and processes. A stable business climate needs firm foundations of accountability. And people need to be able to trust that public life is not manipulated by a few individuals to satisfy selfish greed for money and power. The Caretaker Government pointed out its achievements: an overhaul of the country's institutions including the Election Commission, Public Service Commission, the separation of the Judiciary that has eluded past governments for over 35 years and a drive to combat corruption. Government further mentioned its effort to improve human rights situation including the progress toward the formation of the Human Rights Commission and efforts to improve workers' and women rights. The government which is elected in 2008 will have a responsibility to nurture these gains.
Using countrywide data, the US State Department report said the Rapid Action Battalion killed 94 persons throughout the year, although the average number of such deaths dropped from 15 per month in 2006 to approximately 8 per month during the year, but it's still continuing. Odhikar, a Dhaka based human rights organization, said that 87 persons died in prison and 67 died while in the custody of police and other security forces. The report pointed its concern to the declaration a curfew in August 2007 in response to protests on university campuses in several major cities and unwarranted arrests of teachers, students, and employees.
"This is the best time to get things right in Bangladesh and there is an urgent need to strengthen democracy through free, fair and transparent election for receiving continued US support," said Congressman Joseph Crowley, co-chair of US Congressional Bangladesh Caucus, on Thursday, March 13, 2008 at the Capitol Hill in Washington DC. All of them including Congressman Sheila Jackson and Bangladesh Ambassador to the US M Humayun Kabir, who were present at that meeting, mentioned the vastness of change in Bangladesh while Crowley expected that the government would follow the due process of law during the trials of the arrested leaders.
Credible and fair elections will be vital to the success of democratic renaissance in Bangladesh - the first and fundamental pillar of new foundations. "Democracy is not just about elections and installing governments after definite intervals. It is about empowering the people and ensuring their rights to choose their representatives without fear or intimidation and we always remained focused in our main task of holding a free and fair election by the end of 2008," Chief Adviser Dr. Fakhruddin Ahmed commented while addressing the Asia Society at New York on September 27, 2007.
As democracy is a right to enjoy the fruits of economic growth and development and a continuous process of building and strengthening institutions, Bangladesh must succeed in creating higher, stronger, foundations for democracy that can endure beyond the elections.

(Ripan Kumar Biswas is a freelance writer based in New York. Dateline New York; March 15, 2008. E-mail: Ripan.Biswas@yahoo.com)


 Policy Clash Looms between Trade and Climate

A number of policy groups, including the Center for American Progress, suggest climate trade restrictions should be policy “tools of last resort.”

Toni Johnson

Canada's ambassador sent a letter to U.S. officials in February warning that an overly broad interpretation of the Energy Independence and Security Act, signed into law in December 2007, could actually prohibit the United States from importing oil. The law prohibits the import of alternative fuels with higher greenhouse-gas emissions than conventional petroleum sources. Canada points out this might be read to include oil from tar sands, which makes up the bulk of the oil Canada sends to the United States. Canada is the largest single supplier of oil to the United States, thanks in part to the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
The concerns raised by the Canadian embassy highlight a looming clash between climate change policy and U.S. commitments to free trade. After years in which the United States declined to take part in the multilateral approach to climate policy, symbolized by the Kyoto Protocol, U.S. lawmakers appear ready to push through climate change legislation. But lawmakers worry about U.S. competitiveness. They want to discourage industries from relocating abroad to avoid climate regulation. They also want to ensure foreign producers don't get a "free ride" on greenhouse-gas regulations when U.S. industries are forced to comply. Under pending proposals , U.S. lawmakers are weighing several options that would penalize foreign trading partners if they do not take steps to reduce emissions during the production of commodities for the U.S. market. But the import taxes, labeling specifications, and requirements to purchase emissions permits being proposed are in conflict with the notion of free trade, say some experts. The European Union, in particular, is considering such measures (EurActiv), many of them directed at producers in the United States.
U.S. lawmakers and environmental advocates believe these measures would fall within World Trade Organization (WTO) rules covering environmental standards. But some experts disagree. Although the WTO allows discriminatory actions by members for environmental concerns, such measures must be proved not to be arbitrary, overly onerous, or merely using the environment as a means to erect covert trade barriers. International trade lawyer Bernd G. Janzen says that to date, the WTO's rulings on these issues offer little in the way of guidelines for U.S. or other policymakers. A report from the National Foreign Trade Council, a U.S.-based trade advocacy group, points to a 1994 WTO ruling that prevented the United States from imposing an auto import tax on based on fuel efficiency standards.
Gary Clyde Hufbauer, an economist at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, told U.S. lawmakers earlier this month that almost all environmentally based trade restrictions stand a good chance of a WTO challenge. He says such restrictions could spark retaliation on U.S. exports. Sebastian Mallaby, director of CFR's Center for Geoeconomic Studies, says the potential destabilizing force of green tariffs on existing international trade deals should be assessed before finishing a new round of global trade talks. The U.S. Chamber of Commerce, a powerful proponent of free trade, suggests a better climate policy solution would be liberalizing the trade of clean energy technologies . The Bush administration and European Union are both pushing for an end to clean-technology tariffs currently imposed by other countries. The administration has also warned against imposing the type of tariffs being proposed in Congress and the European Union.
A number of policy groups, including the Center for American Progress, suggest climate trade restrictions should be policy "tools of last resort." Instead they suggest engaging countries in multilateral or bilateral climate agreements. A 2008 World Bank report notes that many climate measures focus on production methods and processes , which it suggests could be crucial to finding a regime that can pass WTO muster. The WTO recently upheld a U.S. ban on imported shrimp trawled without protective measures for sea turtles. In that ruling, the WTO noted that the disputants were all signatories of the same endangered species treaty. Such reasoning, the report says, could be applied to climate and trade policy clashes between nations.

(Toni Johnson is a Staff Writer for the Council on Foreign Relations. Source: www.crf.org)


 Iraq: Never-Ending Misery and Rising Economic Costs

 The war has had only two winners: Oil companies and defense contractors. The stock price of Halliburton, Vice President Dick Cheney's old company, has soared.

Joseph Stiglitz


W
ith March 20 marking the fifth anniversary of the United States-led invasion of Iraq, it's time to take stock of what has happened. In our new book "The Three Trillion Dollar War", Harvard's Linda Bilmes and I conservatively estimate the economic cost of the war to the US to be $3 trillion, and the costs to the rest of the world to be another $3 trillion - far higher than the Bush administration's estimates before the war. The Bush team not only misled the world about the war's possible costs, but has also sought to obscure the costs as the war has gone on.
This is not surprising. After all, the Bush administration lied about everything else, from Saddam Hussein's weapons of mass destruction to his supposed link with Al-Qaeda. Indeed, only after the US-led invasion did Iraq become a breeding ground for terrorists.
The Bush administration said the war would cost $50 billion. The US now spends that amount in Iraq every three months. To put that number in context: For one-sixth of the cost of the war, the US could put its social security system on a sound footing for more than a half-century, without cutting benefits or raising contributions.
Moreover, the Bush administration cut taxes for the rich as it went to war, despite running a budget deficit. As a result, it has had to use deficit spending - much of it financed from abroad - to pay for the war. This is the first war in American history that has not demanded some sacrifice from citizens through higher taxes; instead, the entire cost is being passed onto future generations. Unless things change, the US national debt - which was $5.7 trillion when Bush became president - will be $2 trillion higher because of the war (in addition to the $800 billion increase under Bush before the war).
Was this incompetence or dishonesty? Almost surely both. Cash accounting meant that the Bush administration focused on today's costs, not future costs, including disability and health care for returning veterans. Only years after the war began did the administration order the specially armored vehicles that would have saved the lives of many killed by roadside bombs. Not wanting to reintroduce a draft, and finding it difficult to recruit for an unpopular war, troops have been forced into two, three, or four stress-filled deployments.
The administration has tried to keep the war's costs from the American public. Veterans groups have used the freedom of information act to discover the total number of injured - 15 times the number of fatalities. Already, 52,000 returning veterans have been diagnosed with post-traumatic stress syndrome. America will need to provide disability compensation to an estimated 40 percent of the 1.65 million troops that have already been deployed. And, of course, the bleeding will continue as long as the war continues, with the healthcare and disability bill amounting to more than $600 billion (in present-value terms).
Ideology and profiteering have also played a role in driving up the war's costs. America has relied on private contractors, which have not come cheap. A Blackwater security guard can cost more than $1,000 per day, not including disability and life insurance, which is paid for by the government. When unemployment rates in Iraq soared to 60 percent, hiring Iraqis would have made sense; but the contractors preferred to import cheap labor from Nepal, Philippines, and other countries. The war has had only two winners: Oil companies and defense contractors. The stock price of Halliburton, Vice President Dick Cheney's old company, has soared. But even as the government turned increasingly to contractors, it reduced its oversight.
The largest cost of this mismanaged war has been borne by Iraq. Half of Iraq's doctors have been killed or have left the country, unemployment stands at 25 percent, and, five years after the war's start, Baghdad still has less than eight hours of electricity a day. Out of Iraq's total population of around 28 million, 4 million are displaced and 2 million have fled the country.
The thousands of violent deaths have inured most Westerners to what is going on: A bomb blast that kills 25 hardly seems newsworthy anymore. But statistical studies of death rates before and after the invasion tell some of the grim reality. They suggest additional deaths from a low of around 450,000 in the first 40 months of the war (150,000 of them violent deaths) to 600,000. With so many people in Iraq suffering so much in so many ways, it may seem callous to discuss the economic costs. And it may seem particularly self-absorbed to focus on the economic costs to America, which embarked on this war in violation of international law. But the economic costs are enormous, and they go well beyond budgetary outlays. Americans like to say that there is no such thing as a free lunch. Nor is there such a thing as a free war. The US - and the world - will be paying the price for decades to come.

Source: www.arabnews.com


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Viewpoints

Justice in Conflict: The ICC and Peace Processes

While impunity for people who have committed the gravest acts of inhumanity is morally repugnant, sometimes doing a deal with perpetrators is unavoidable and necessary to prevent further conflict and suffering.

Nick Grono


Introduction
The International Criminal Court (ICC) is now investigating or prosecuting individuals involved in three of the most devastating conflicts in Africa - Darfur, northern Uganda and the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). In each case, the ICC has been forced to confront the challenges inherent in pursuing peace and justice simultaneously. What happens - and what should happen - when efforts to prosecute perpetrators of mass atrocities coincide with a peace process? What is the best approach when the price of a peace deal may be a degree of impunity for those most responsible for such abuses? One common and convenient response is to hide behind truisms and make general statements of principle to the effect that no trade-off is required because peace and justice are inextricably linked. Clearly peace and justice are complementary in that justice can deter abuses and can help make peace sustainable by addressing grievances non-violently. But good things don't always go together, and to present peace and justice as invariably mutually reinforcing is misleading and unhelpful when the difficult reality of peacemaking often proves otherwise. We review below arguments surrounding the ICC's impact on prospects for peace in Uganda and go on to offer some general considerations that international policymakers should heed when seeking to balance peace and justice demands.
Doing deals with perpetrators
The potential clash between peace and justice objectives can sometimes be circumvented by pursuing a sequential approach - for example, by getting a peace agreement now, then dealing with justice many years later. This is what has been happening in Latin America a decade or two after transitions to democracy. However, most of those transitions explicitly granted amnesty to enable handovers of power, and it is only many years down the track that those amnesties are being wound back.
A further response is to acknowledge the tensions between peace and justice and to recognize that pragmatism and recent history indicate that justice cannot always claim primacy. While impunity for people who have committed the gravest acts of inhumanity is morally repugnant, sometimes doing a deal with perpetrators is unavoidable and necessary to prevent further conflict and suffering. This is partly because the reality of conflict is such that multiple warring parties are likely to have committed atrocities. Unless one party has been utterly vanquished, peace negotiations will often assemble parties responsible for grave abuses and a deal will depend on their agreeing to end the conflict. Because perpetrators are unlikely to want a prison cell as a reward for their hard-won peace agreement, mediators have frequently used amnesties as an incentive.
Recent agreements backed by the United States and the European Union, for example, have involved deals between serial abusers and either implicitly or explicitly provided impunity: the 2001 Bonn Agreement that set up a new government in Afghanistan; Sun City and related agreements that formally ended the DRC conflict in 2003; and Sudan's 2005 Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) as well as the Darfur Peace Agreement in 2006. While none of these agreements features explicit amnesties (unlike the Lomé Agreement in Sierra Leone) and some of them have token transitional justice provisions, they are largely silent on accountability for past atrocities, despite the fact that some of the biggest rights abusers are party to these agreements, or were put into power by them.
More than four million people have died during the DRC's civil war and its aftermath. Conflict in Sierra Leone cost hundreds of thousands of lives. The toll in Darfur is increasing daily. It is tempting and understandable to take a righteous stance and say that deals should not be done with those responsible for atrocities. However, it is difficult to tell victims of these conflicts that the prosecution of a small number of people should take precedence over a peace deal that may end the appalling conditions they endure and the daily risks they face.
On the other hand, there is the issue of the role of prosecutions in preventing future atrocities. While mediators are inclined to insist that conflict resolution necessitates that all options, including full amnesty, must be on the table, this insistence ignores the very important deterrence impact of international prosecutions, let alone fundamental moral considerations. By discounting this deterrence dimension we miss a potentially valuable way of reducing the prospect of atrocities in years to come. The conflict in northern Uganda and the current peace process provide a case study in which all of these difficult issues are in play.
Northern Uganda
For the last 20 years, the people of northern Uganda have suffered at the hands of the vicious Lord's Resistance Army (LRA), and have been penned in by the brutal response of the Ugandan government. The LRA's leaders, headed by the mystic Joseph Kony, claimed to be on a spiritual mission to cleanse northern Uganda and to rule the country according to the Ten Commandments, but have recently tried to recast themselves as freedom fighters for the politically and economically marginalized region. Regardless of their motivations, the LRA has unleashed a reign of terror primarily on the people of northern Uganda, abducting tens of thousands of children and adults, turning them into rebel soldiers, porters and sex slaves, and killing or mutilating indiscriminately.
Unfortunately, the Ugandan government's response has been little better than the problem it purports to address. The government herded over a million of the north's inhabitants (predominantly Acholi) into squalid, insecure camps - condemning them to a life removed from their fertile land, with little hope for a productive future. Every week, according to the government's own statistics, a thousand people on average die from conflict-related disease and malnutrition.
For the first time in around a decade, a sustained peace process is taking place between the LRA and the Ugandan government. The talks are occurring in Juba, Southern Sudan, mediated by the Government of Southern Sudan. One complicating factor in the negotiations is that the ICC is prosecuting the leadership of the LRA. The ICC has come under intense criticism in northern Uganda since the announcement in January 2004 that the Ugandan government had made the first state party referral to the ICC. The Court has been condemned by a wide range of international NGOs, academics, mediators and northern Ugandans. These critics argued that the threat of international prosecutions would undermine fragile local peace initiatives; would prolong the conflict by obliterating the LRA's incentive to negotiate; and would make displaced northern Ugandans even more vulnerable to LRA attacks. In addition to criticizing the timing of the ICC's investigation, some observers asserted that the Court's brand of retributive punishment was fundamentally at odds with local values, enshrined culturally in traditional reconciliation ceremonies and legally in Uganda's Amnesty Act of 2000. The ICC's intervention, opponents argued, would ultimately perpetuate rather than prevent conflict.
Some three years later, the exact opposite has happened. We are in the midst of the most promising peace initiative in the last 20 years; one that has dramatically improved the security and humanitarian situation in northern Uganda. A landmark cessation of hostilities agreement removed most LRA combatants from Uganda, allowing hundreds of thousands of war-weary civilians to begin the process of resettlement and redevelopment. The elusive and erratic LRA has tentatively begun to open up, building lines of communication with both northern Ugandans and the government. These emerging signs of trust and confidence help to promote reconciliation and to pave the way home for displaced populations. Rather than driving the LRA back into the bush, the rebels have been drawn in to negotiations. Rather than making civilians more vulnerable, northern Uganda is safer and life is slowly improving.
How did we get here? We need to be careful about placing too much credit at the feet of the ICC. An array of political and military developments in the region - most notably the signing of Sudan's CPA and improved performance by the Ugandan army - has increased the costs of continued conflict for the LRA. These shifts have cut off the rebels' room for tactical and strategic maneuver and have compelled the LRA leadership to explore a negotiated settlement more vigorously than in the past.
We would argue that the ICC's investigations played an active, positive role in encouraging and reinforcing these regional trends for the following four reasons.
First, the threat of prosecution clearly rattled the LRA military leadership, pushing them to the negotiating table. Joseph Kony and the LRA commanders are acutely aware that the ICC hangs as a sword over their heads. The issuance of arrest warrants in particular created an incentive to reach a settlement. It may be that the LRA's decision to pull most of its troops out of northern Uganda and to issue standing orders not to attack anyone in the area is in part due to deterrence by the ICC. The LRA continues to attack civilians in Southern Sudan, perhaps in the belief that it is beyond the geographic limits of the referral.
Second, the ICC's investigation made it more difficult for the LRA to enjoy continued support from its key foreign ally, Sudan. Beginning in 1994, Khartoum provided an umbilical cord to Kony in the form of a steady stream of weapons, training and transportation. For Khartoum, the ICC's case increased the stakes for supporting the LRA and prompted the Government of Sudan to sign a 2005 memorandum of understanding with the Court to cooperate with arrest warrants issued against LRA commanders. Regardless of whether Khartoum actually fell within the orbit of the ICC's criminal investigation, the threat had a deterrent impact.
Some caution is necessary here. Other factors may have been more significant than the ICC in influencing Khartoum's calculations and decision to desist from supporting the LRA to the same extent as in the past. Pursuant to the CPA, for example, the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) pulled out of Southern Sudan, cutting off the LRA's supply lines and depriving the rebels of bases of sanctuary.
Third, the ICC's investigation raised awareness and focused the attention of the international community, which in turn provided a crucial broad base of regional and international support for the fledgling peace process. One of the key problems of previous peace initiatives was weak external support. Now, in Juba, the international community has stepped up its engagement, and the UN and a number of countries are providing significant support for the talks.
Fourth, the ICC's attempt to hold the LRA leadership criminally liable for its atrocities in northern Uganda has embedded accountability and victims' interests in the structure and vocabulary of the peace process. The third point on the five point negotiating agenda is devoted to reconciliation and accountability. The parties to the talks have accepted, in principle, that robust accountability (in the form of a special chamber of the High Court and community-based rituals) is inevitable - although we should remain very skeptical of the LRA's commitment to this principle. Whether sincere on not, the LRA is being pushed towards accountability on multiple fronts by multiple actors. Consultation with the victims will play a crucial role in attempting to devise robust local accountability mechanisms. The ICC's impact is apparent insofar as this has never happened in previous initiatives with the LRA or any of the other myriad rebel groups that have emerged in Uganda since President Museveni came to power in 1986.
Some policy considerations
While the ICC's overall contribution to the prospects for peace in Uganda has been positive, the tension between peace and justice comes into sharpest relief when the detailed provisions of a peace deal are being negotiated. Foremost among the obstacles to a Juba agreement (let alone the implementation of such a deal), is the conflict between the ICC prosecutions and the desire of the LRA's leaders for full or substantial impunity. Kony and his commanders state that they will not do a deal unless and until the ICC prosecutions are dropped. Fear of arrest means that they avoid Juba and issue instructions by satellite phone.
As the ICC Prosecutor continues to investigate participants in ongoing, or recently ended, conflicts, the international community will increasingly confront these peace and justice dilemmas. How should it balance the range of competing, and often conflicting, public policy goals in such situations? There are no clear-cut answers to these problems. Instead, we set out below some of the key considerations that policymakers should take into account when confronted with such issues.
Prosecution by the ICC is one of the few credible threats faced by leaders of warring parties
One of the main challenges for international policymakers in their efforts to resolve conflicts is that they often lack incentives or sanctions of sufficient credibility to influence the calculations of the warring parties. To take Sudan as an example, the threat of prosecution has been practically the only credible threat applied to the Khartoum government over the last few years - largely because the UN Security Council has itself been unwilling to take the tough decisions, and has instead been happy to outsource the 'bad cop' role to the ICC.
The threat of prosecution - and the examples of Slobodan Milosevic, Charles Taylor, Hissène Habré and others - can have a salutary effect on those contemplating state-sponsored atrocities, but only if there is a real likelihood that they may face the consequences of their policies. Unfortunately, this is a stick that loses much of its deterrent power when actually applied to those still in office. Government officials who are the subject of ICC prosecution have a strong incentive to cling to power at all costs so as to avoid arrest. This will be President Bashir's tactic in Sudan. Zimbabwe's President Mugabe has made it clear to associates that the key motivation for his staying in power - and why he will do so until he dies or is removed - is the fear of facing an international tribunal in the future.
The ICC must secure convictions
The ICC needs to secure convictions to ensure its credibility as a deterrent to future perpetrators. This is going to be a challenge. In Darfur and Uganda the Court is going to find it extremely difficult to get hold of those it is prosecuting. And there will always be the risk of its prosecutions being trumped by peace processes.
In Uganda, the Ugandan army has failed to defeat the LRA for more than 20 years. While the Ugandan forces have recently improved their capabilities, the LRA has been able to take refuge in neighboring countries. The lack of a coordinated response by those countries and the broader international community has ensured that the rebel group has been able to continue its attacks. It also means that the ICC cannot arrest those it wishes to prosecute. If the peace talks fail to achieve a satisfactory outcome, international efforts will have to be redoubled to arrest the indictees.
In Darfur, the Prosecutor will not get any cooperation from Khartoum. After the Prosecutor applied for warrants, President Bashir declared that 'the government will not hand over any citizen for trial outside the country. That being the case, the ICC will need strong international support to progress with the Darfur prosecutions. To date, however, the international community has displayed an acute lack of political will in dealing with Khartoum. One hopes, without much optimism, that if and when prosecutions commence, the international community will be shamed into providing more substantive assistance and pressure.
Impunity should always be a last resort
The crux of the whole 'peace versus justice' debate is what should be done when a warring party (or parties) insists that a prospective peace deal is conditional on a halt to international criminal prosecutions. In these circumstances, the overriding policy issue is whether the important but uncertain prospect of deterring future perpetrators and reducing future conflicts takes precedence over more certain benefits of an immediate end to an ongoing conflict. The first point that needs to be acknowledged is that peace deals that sacrifice justice often fail to produce peace. Failed amnesty agreements brokered with the likes of Foday Sankoh in Sierra Leone and Jonas Savimbi in Angola, and their violent aftermath, demonstrates the potential costs of impunity.
In other contexts, however, past deals that have offered limited or full immunity from prosecution have helped bring an end to conflict and instability. One obvious example is the deal with Charles Taylor to get him out of Liberia and to bring an end to the conflict there. In South Africa, outgoing leaders were given amnesty as part of a truth and reconciliation process in an effort to end 34 years of apartheid. The likely alternative was many more years of conflict. In Mozambique, after 16 years of civil war ended in 1992, the Parliament adopted a general amnesty for all fighters pursuant to which reconciliation processes took clear precedence over accountability. The country has been largely at peace since.
The Rome Statute that governs the ICC offers ways to reach a peace deal by including robust accountability mechanisms. Such mechanisms should aim to combine traditional reconciliation ceremonies and formal legal processes in a way that satisfies both the victims' needs for justice and meets the Rome Statute's standards for accountability. Whether or not they meet the Statute's standards would be assessed under Article 17, which requires the ICC, under the principle of complementarity, to defer to a genuine investigation or prosecution by Uganda - if such proceedings were to take place. The Security Council also has the option under Article 16 to suspend an ICC investigation for renewable one-year increments if it considers this to be in the interests of international peace and stability. Such a decision could be taken if there were a peace deal with adequate accountability measures, even if they did not meet the complementarity requirements.
We also need to bear in mind that the ICC may be less of a deterrent to rebel groups than state actors, at least until the late stages of their rebellion, by which time it is too late for them to ameliorate their conduct to escape prosecution. Most rebellions fail, and most rebels embarking on their challenge to the central government are unlikely to be concerned that they may later be prosecuted for their atrocities. For these individuals, survival and success are probably much more immediate concerns. All of this means that, in the Uganda situation, the prosecution of Kony and his fellow leaders - however meritorious and warranted - may have to be justified on grounds other than its deterrent impact on potential future rebel leaders.
Different considerations apply in the case of Darfur. When it comes to the calculations of government officials, prosecution is a threat to something they already have - power - and thus may have greater deterrent impact. If a credible threat of prosecution for future atrocities exists in the minds of a regime's leaders, then they have something tangible to lose and arguably will weigh that risk when deciding how to respond to a challenge to their authority. The successful prosecution of Sudanese officials responsible for the state's campaign of atrocities would send a powerful message around the world, and may go some way to preventing Darfur-like situations in the future. We know that the Milosevic, Taylor and Habré examples have resonated among leaders responsible for atrocities elsewhere. Also, it is certain that any Darfur peace deal that left the Khartoum regime in power would not prevent its restarting the conflict if and when it suited its purposes - as it is currently doing in central Sudan in breach of the CPA. Hence, when dealing with Khartoum, the likely outcome is no peace and no justice.
Conclusion
An assessment of the ICC's impact on the Uganda conflict, and of considerations arising from other conflicts such as that in Darfur, cannot provide a straightforward answer to the question of how best to resolve competing justice and peace goals. On the one hand, ICC prosecution has, arguably, been successful where other attempts have failed in forcing Kony to the negotiating table, and providing him with incentives to explore seriously the option of a peace agreement. Yet, as the peace talks progress, it is clear that the ICC remains a very real obstacle to achieving an end to the conflict.
Much can be done to accommodate the need for peace with the demands of justice, particularly through the mechanism of Uganda's own justice system. In the end, however, difficult choices have to be made about how to balance the need for peace with the acute importance of accountability, deterrence and the strengthening of the institution of the ICC.
These are not easy decisions, and often the choices that have to be made are distasteful - but we don't do any favors to the causes of peace or justice by pretending that such decisions don't have to be made when it comes to ending a conflict. Let's just hope that we make the right choices when we have the option.

(Nick Grono is the Vice President for Advocacy and Operations at the International Crisis Group. Source: www.crisisgroup.org)


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International

Newly elected parliament of Pakistan meets
AFP, Islamabad


Pakistan's new parliament met for the first time on Monday, with opponents of US-backed President Pervez Musharraf vowing to end his "dictatorship" after beating his allies in elections.
Slain opposition leader Benazir Bhutto's party will head a hostile coalition government after winning the most seats in the February 18 vote, with the grouping of former premier Nawaz Sharif as its junior partner.
Nine years after ousting Sharif in a military coup, Musharraf now faces a fight for his political survival as well as public anger over rising Islamist bloodshed and a host of economic problems.
"This is the last day of dictatorship," Bhutto's widower and de facto Pakistan People's Party chief Asif Ali Zardari told reporters after meeting Sharif in the heavily-guarded parliament building.
"This is our first step. We have conveyed a message to the world community to support democracy, which defeats dictatorship," Zardari said.
Sharif said the coalition's strategy was "very clear-our agenda is democracy versus dictatorship. It has to end, it has to be defeated."
Security was tight for Monday's inauguration, following a bombing targeting foreigners at an Islamabad restaurant on Saturday that left a Turkish woman dead and several western diplomats hurt.
The session began with a recitation from the Koran, the Muslim holy book, after which members of the 342-seat national assembly were sworn in, AFP reporters said.
Mourning prayers were also held for Bhutto, assassinated in a suicide attack at an election rally on December 27.
The biggest threat facing Musharraf from the Bhutto and Sharif parties is their pledge to pass legislation within 30 days to restore some 60 judges whom Musharraf sacked in November under a state of emergency.
Musharraf deposed his arch-foe, chief justice Iftikhar Muhammad Chaudhry, and the other judges to ward off legal challenges to his re-election as president by the outgoing loyalist parliament in October.
If the judges are restored, the Supreme Court could overturn Musharraf's re-election.
Ahsan Iqbal, spokesman for Sharif's Pakistan Muslim League-N party, told parliament the election win showed the "people of Pakistan have rejected the step taken on October 12, 1999"-referring to the coup that brought Musharraf to power.
Neither Zardari nor Sharif actually has seats in the assembly, and both had to watch the ceremony from the gallery, seated side-by-side.
An announcement on the country's new prime minister is expected later this week. Zardari is slated to take the post but will need to contest a by-election to become eligible.
The parliament is meeting with Musharraf's popularity at an all-time low, and with his power already weakened by his resignation as army chief in November. His successor has vowed to keep the army out of politics.
But analysts say the former commando, who is central to Washington's "war on terror" against Al-Qaeda and the Taliban, appears to be ready to battle for his position.
 


China warns Tibetan protesters to surrender
AFP, Beijing

China on Monday warned Tibetans involved in anti-Chinese protests to quickly surrender, but insisted it had not used deadly force in quelling the unrest and blamed rioters for murdering 13 people.
"They either burned or hacked to death 13 innocent civilians," Tibet government chairman Qiangba Puncog said in Beijing as he gave the first detailed official account of the protests in the region's capital, Lhasa.
Amid international calls for China to show restraint, and reported threats from some athletes that they may boycott the Beijing Olympics over the unrest, Qiangba sought to portray the Chinese response as reserved.
"Throughout the process (security forces) did not carry or use any lethal weapons," he said.
"I can tell you as a responsible official that guns were absolutely not fired. The PLA (People's Liberation Army) was not involved at all in dealing with the incident."
His comments contradicted many eyewitness accounts from local Chinese residents and foreign tourists in Lhasa that they saw and heard repeated gunfire in the city on Friday, the biggest day of protests, and the weekend.
Tibet's government-in-exile said that 80 Tibetans were confirmed killed and possibly more than 100. Witnesses, residents and Hong Kong television reported a massive security force in Lhasa.
The protests began early last week to coincide with the anniversary of a failed 1959 uprising against Chinese rule that began when troops were sent in to "liberate" the vast Himalayan region nine years earlier.
Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama, who fled his homeland after the 1959 uprising, spoke out on Sunday from his base of exile in India against what he termed China's "rule of terror" in Tibet.
"They simply rely on using force in order to simulate peace, a peace brought by force using a rule of terror," the 1989 Nobel Peace Prize winner said.
China has virtually sealed Lhasa off from foreign journalists and kicked out most of the tourists, making it virtually impossible to determine exactly what happened and report accurately on current events.


The new Iraq at risk of sectarian rupture
AFP, Baghdad

The United States launched its war on Iraq saying it wanted to free the people from the tyranny of Saddam Hussein and bring on a new dawn of democracy. But five years on, ethnic and religious tensions threaten to tear the country apart.
The rival factions which make up this diverse state, founded at the crossroads of the Arab, Persian and Ottoman worlds, lie at the roots of the violence that has plagued Iraq since Saddam's downfall, experts say.
"The American intervention has removed the lid on what Iraq is as a diverse country," author and Middle East specialist Adel Darwish told AFP.
"But then the Americans did not have a plan. Had they had a plan they would have worked with these powers" among Iraq's neighbours.
The fall of the regime in April 2003 sparked a new sense of hope among Iraq's Kurdish and Shiite populations, who suffered persecution under Saddam's brutal Sunni Arab-led reign.
After Iraq's 1958 revolution, the country was on the path to becoming a secular and republican state. When the Baathists took power in 1968, the regime began focusing on Arab nationalism and socialism.
After Saddam took power in 1979, the dominant ideology became one of purely Iraqi nationalism and he handed control of key state institutions to a small circle of trusted party faithful and his family members.
Baathism ultimately became a tool to control society rather than an ideology of progress while fear of the regime quickly became the cement which bound together this ethnically and religiously diverse country.
"Baathism and secularism was a levelling sword. To be used against everybody equally," Darwish said. From the very beginning of his reign, Saddam unleashed a campaign of brutal violence against anyone who dared challenge his authority, with the Kurdish and Shiite communities bearing the brunt.
Sunni Arabs were not spared, but suffered less as they were more closely linked to the state apparatus formed under the Ottoman empire and left in place by the British and the monarchy. With the fall of the Baathist regime, the minority religious and ethnic groups took centre stage in the construction of the new Iraq.