saturday, february 16, 2008 , falgun 4, safar 8, 1428 a.h

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Leading News

Khaleda’s letter to EC won’t be
dispatched: DIG (prisons)

Taib Ahmed

The second letter of Begum Khaleda Zia written to the Election Commissioner (EC) asking it to invite Khandoker Delwar Hossain who she appointed the party Secretary General to the EC-BNP talks is going to face the same fate as her previous letter.
Within 18 hours of the press briefing of Khaleda Zia's attorney where they disclosed to the media that Begum Zia has written another letter to the CEC, Deputy Inspector General (Prisons) Major Shamsul Haider Siddiqui on Friday afternoon convened a press conference at the Dhaka central jail.
"In complying with the jail code, we will not dispatch her letter to the EC if it contains political statement," Haider said, adding, "Moreover, there are some norms and conditions for a prisoner to write any letter. He/she will have to seek writing paper and the prisoner himself will have to write and if he/she cannot write, only then the jail authorities will write the letter on the prisoner's instructions."
Referring to Begum Khaleda Zia's letter to the EC, he said, "I have come to know that Begum Zia's lawyers handed over a letter to our officials, but I am yet to get the letter. Even speaking of politics living in jail is a violation of the jail code." The DIG (Prisons) was also very critical of the role of lawyers of Begum Zia and Sheikh Hasina for their statements before the media. "The lawyers seek permission to meet the detainees to discuss about legal issues, but coming out of the jail, they make political statement before the media."
After meeting with Begum Khaleda Zia on Thursday at the makeshift jail set up in the Parliament Complex, two counselors of Begum Zia told the media that the BNP Chairperson has sent a second letter to Chief Election Commissioner requesting him to invite Khandoker Delwar Hossain to the EC-sponsored dialogue.
Earlier on November 5, Khaleda Zia had sent the first letter to the EC introducing Khandoker Delwar Hossain as the party Secretary General as well as informing it that she had expelled Abdul Mannan Bhuiyan, who was the party's Secretary General, but nobody knows what happened to the fate of that letter.
Meanwhile, both the factions -loyalists and reformists -of BNP have slammed the Election Commission's decision to put BNP out of the second round of EC-sponsored dialogue on electoral reforms saying, "no dialogue can be meaningful without BNP."
"BNP is the largest political party in Bangladesh, so no dialogue can be meaningful and fruitful without it," BNP Secretary General Khandoker Delwar Hossain was quoted as having said by Acting Office Secretary Ruhul Kabir Rizvi Ahmed when contacted by The Bangladesh Today.
"The EC will have to finalise the electoral laws it is formulating only after the completion of its talks with BNP, otherwise it would not get people's acceptance," Rizvi quoted Delwar.
"The EC's role has already created a chink in the people's confidence and they have started questioning whether a credible election will be possible under the supervision of the present election commission," Rizvi Ahmed alleged, adding, "A conspiracy is being hatched to keep the BNP out of the election process."
On the other hand, Acting Secretary General of the reformist faction Major (retd) Hafizuddin Ahmed told The Bangladesh Today that "BNP is one of the biggest political parties in the country. The EC should wait for holding dialogue with BNP until the court's order comes."
Hafiz strongly criticized the EC's role related to sitting with BNP saying, "The EC should have taken steps to expedite the High Court order. Moreover its lawyers do not attend the court during the hearing. EC lawyer Kamal Hossain is living in London when the court starts hearing. The EC should appoint another regular lawyer who will be bale to attend the court hearing."
The EC on Thursday decided to open second round of dialogue with political parties from February 24 striking the BNP off the dialogue list this time with an argument that the issue is now pending in the court.


Prices of essentials still high
F.M. Masum

Unbearable sufferings of the people continue as the price of daily commodities including rice, edible oil, pulses still remain high and the price of fish has gone up abnormally in the city's kitchen markets.
Besides, the price of rice has gone up by Tk 1-2 per kg compared to that of last week and the businessmen are apprehending that in the coming days the rice price may go up further as the stock of rice is limited.
All efforts including OMS programme taken by the government have proved futile to contain the price of daily commodities. People mainly the limited income groups across the country are struggling to cope with the soaring prices of essentials. A consumer said it is really difficult for the low and limited income groups cannot have two meals a day by keeping pace with the soaring prices.
The people of the low income groups expressed their discontentment over the government measure as they say that a silent famine is prevailing in the country.
Visiting different city markets on Friday , this correspondent found that non-packed soya bean oil was selling between Tk 100-102 per litre. Bottled soya bean oil of different brands was selling at between Tk 105 and Tk 108 per litre.
Besides, the rice price increased further in the city markets on Friday as coarse rice like Lata was selling between Tk 33-34 per kg, Pari Tk 34-35 per Kg, fine quality najirshail Tk 38-43, miniket Tk 39-44 per kg. Talking to The Bangladesh Today, Rahmat Jowarder , a retailer in the Jatrabari Kitchen Market, said, " the rice price is continuing to rise as the supply is limited and if the government fails to ensure enough supply within next few days, the price of this item would continue to go up and the sufferings of the people would intensify."
Talking to this correspondent, Nahid Jubair, a consumer, said, "the people have lost their confidence on the government as the government has totally failed to contain the price spiral of daily commodities."
He also blamed the businessmen for the high price of daily commodities including the staple food rice, even after a huge supply of rice as he says, "A certain quarter of businessmen are also responsible for the price hike of daily essentials.."
Besides, some consumers also urged the government to set up more shops in the capital as well as across the country for selling rice through OMS programme to contain the price hike and to make it available for the low income people.
But prices of some items including onion, green chili, vegetables have come down as the supply of these items are enough while price of fish has gone up abnormally. On Friday, Ruhi was selling at Tk 180 per kg, Hilsha at Tk 300 per kg. Besides, beef was selling at Tk 180 per kg and chicken broiler at Tk 80 per kg.
Due to the bird flu panic, only a few people were seen buying chickens and many shops were closed as there were no customers even after various measures taken by the Dhaka City Corporation (DCC) to assure the bird flu panic stricken people that avian influenza is not any threat to public health.
Yesterday, imported onion was selling at Tk 15, local onion at Tk 17, local lentils at Tk 84, imported lentils at Tk 68, flour at Tk 44 per kg. Potato was selling at Tk 14, cucumber at Tk 15 and tomato at Tk 30, Korola at Tk 36 per kg, bean at Tk 16 per kg.


  Acreage for exploration of mineral fuel in the Bay of Bengal
Govt invites int’l oil companies to bid

Staff Correspondent

The government has invited the International Oil Companies to bid for acreage for exploration of mineral fuel in the Bay of Bengal.
Around twenty-eight offshore blocks are currently available for oil and gas exploration by the International Oil Companies.
The foreign oil companies, singly or in association with other foreign companies, can bid for one or more blocks. Agreements will be signed with the successful bidders in line with the 'Model Production Sharing Contract-2008.' The companies will have to submit their tenders by May 7 next.
The government has also decided to pave the way for oil and gas exploration by International Oil Companies in around 28 blocks in the hydrocarbon-rich Bay of Bengal.
To meet the country's increased demand for mineral fuel, foreign oil companies will allowed to begin seismic survey in the deep sea and offshore areas of Bangladesh for exploration of fresh gas and oil sources, according to sources in the Bangladesh Oil, Gas and Mineral Corporation (Petrobangla).
The government has also decided to publish the relevant documents in several top international newspapers and magazines in this regard. The document has also been posted on the website of Petrobangla.
Sources said, the successful foreign oil companies will be allowed to send back profits to their own country from Bangladesh.
They need not pay duty for equipment and machinery imports for petroleum operations during gas and oil exploration, production and development phases. Seismic program and one well for each block exclusive of biddable work program for Type-A blocks have been made mandatory.
Seismic only option for Type-B blocks which are below 20 degree north latitude. For Type-B, two contiguous blocks may be allowed under a single contract. The companies will be provided different facilities to attract them to join the bids.
These include: minimum work obligation in each of the exploration periods, maximum 55 percent cost recovery per calendar year, discount on gas sale, energy discovery and production bonuses and Annual Contract Service Fees. However, local marketing of gas and export of gas in the form of liquid natural gas (LNG) are subject to government's first right of refusal.


 Country to face severe power crisis
Slow progress in implementation of pending power plants

UNB, Dhaka

The progress in implementation of the pending power plant projects is very slow despite repeated pushes from the highest policymakers, indicating that there is little chance for the country to avoid a looming power crisis.
Experts apprehend that the unusual delay may also push up the implementation cost of the pending projects abnormally.
According to official sources, at least 6 power plant projects remained pending at different stages of the implementation process.
The projects are 100 MW Shikalbaha plant, Sylhet 100 MW plant, 300 MW Shiddhirganj peaking plant (150x2), 150 MW Sirajganj power plant and 150 MW Khulna power plant and 150 MW Chandpur plant.
After a long delay, the Power Development Board (PDB) recently issued the notification of award (NOA) to the contractors for implementation of the projects while that of 100MW Sylhet plant is being reprocessed to place it before the Cabinet Purchase Committee for its approval.
Sources said only a consultant has been appointed for the 300MW Shiddhirganj plant for which the World Bank made a commitment to provide financial assistance for its implementation.
Recently, a financing agreement has been signed between the government and the Asian Development Bank for implementing the 150MW Sirajganj power plant project.
After a long exercise of tendering process, the government cancelled the tender process of the Chandpur power plant at the final stage on the plea of high price.
But, according to the government plan, all the proposed power plants were supposed to be implemented by 2007 and come into operation as their implementation process was initiated 3-5 years back.
"But, bureaucratic 'redtapism', frequent changes in the decisions, repeated cancellations of tenders and above all fund constraints have caused them to fall far behind the schedule," said an industry insider.
He said after the 1/11 changeover, it was assumed that the implementation process of the projects would get a momentum. "But, the progress in the last one year was virtually very slow, even you can say frustrating," he told UNB wishing anonymity.
He said the international bidders are losing interest in participating in the tendering process due to the unusual delay in the decision making process and repeated cancellations of tenders.
Another industry insider said the booming economies like Brazil, Russia, India and China, and some other African and Middle-East countries have driven a huge demand for power plants, pushing up the prices of power plant equipment, particularly the gas turbine price.
Besides, the global rise in the steel products has contributed to the soaring prices of power plant equipment, he added.
He said famous power plant manufacturers like GE, Mitsubishi, Alstom and BHEL are not taking further orders for the near future, as they have already been booked until 2009 to supply equipment.
The country's demand for power is increasing by 8-10 percent per year, widening the gap between the demand and supply, which now stands at more than 1,500 MW with the country generating 3500 MW of electricity against the demand for more than 5000 MW.


 5 die as microbus sinks in Padma
BDNEWS24, Rajbari

Five members of a family, including children, drowned in the river Padma early on Friday after a microbus carrying them slid into the waters off a ferry at Doulatdia terminal because of apparent brakes failure, police said.
Fire Service and Civil Defence divers arriving from Dhaka in the morning retrieved the dead. Police handed the bodies to their relatives.
Another four passengers-all from the same family-survived, as they got down from the vehicle at Doulatdia to drink tea from a wayside shop.
The deputy commissioner and the superintendent of police for Rajbari visited the accident spot in the morning.
Police said the microbus transporting the family ran into the accident after its brakes failed while boarding the ferry around 1:45am.
The dead are Jhumur Ali's wife Mamtaz, son Nayan, sister Swapna, brother-in-law Tagar and sister-in-law Laltu.
The vehicle was bound for Dhaka to receive Mamtaz's husband returning home from Kuwait, police said. Jhumur Ali was scheduled to arrive at Zia International Airport at 8:30am Friday.
Nasim Khan, Goalando police chief, said Fire Service and Civil Defence rescuers from Rajbari and another five-member rescue team including divers from Dhaka reached Doulatdia and launched the rescue operation.
They were backed up by Konika, a salvage ship.

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Minors engaged in drug trafficking
Ainul Haque Royal

Children from different parts of country are thronging metropolitan cities and towns including capital Dhaka for their survival as they have been facing serious difficulties caused by their broken families, natural catastrophe, river erosion and famine are taking shelter on the streets.
This correspondent on Friday, while visiting different points, saw a painful scenario of the street children for their food, shelter medicare, and torture by the traffickers, drug peddlers and sex abusers and many of whom are being addicted alarmingly. Even many of them don't know the whereabouts of their parents.
Talking to this correspondent group of streets children said vested quarters are using them for drug trading, sex business and making pornography films.
"Many street teenaged girls are being forced into sex business and some of them are being used to make "blue" films and such movies are available in CDs and sold openly at specific areas in the city," they said.
They also said their mental and physical growth is also being hampered by a host of negative factors.
Besides, some criminals with the help of these minor street boys are running their illegal drug business and committing crimes like snatching, mugging and pick pocketing in and around the capital.
Around one lakh parentless boys are living in city's different bus, train, truck and launch terminals. Of them around 75 percent are directly or indirectly involved in drug trafficking and different sorts of crimes while the rests are beggars, according to sources.
"We know nothing about our parents and homes. But we know that the street is our house and destination," a group of minor street boys at Kamalapur railway terminal told while talking to this correspondent.
When asked, sources in Detective Branch of police said around 100 minor boys of the Kamlapur terminal are involved in drug trafficking and they are well-trained in this business, they know about the routes and whereabouts of the traders, but they never disclose anything regarding drug trafficking. In Dhaka city, the drug dealers are selling their items at around 70 spots including Kamalapur Railway station, Tejgaon Truck Stand, Mohakhali Crossing, Farmgate Crossing, Ashadgate, Polashi , Kawran Bazar, Gabtoli Inter-district Bus Terminal and Sadarghat, according to sources. The dealers sell their items using the streets boys under the very nose of police, sources said.
Heroin or brown sugar and other drugs like phensidyl, cannabis, tidigesic injections, pathedine, diazepam, clobazam, seduxin and unoctin tablets are being sold at these spots.
The ring leaders and traders of the mafia gangs remain untouched as they are well organised and equipped with fire arms to protect themselves.


Criminals flood SW region
Staff Correspondent

Braving massive drives against crime and hardened criminals, terrorists, robbers, members of outlawed parties and their accomplices equipped with firearms and ammunition are now reorganising in the southwestern region as well as throughout the country, according to reliable sources.
In the name of an armed movement, the members of extremist parties under the banners of Purba Bangla Communist Party, Gano Fouz Biplobi Communist Party, Sramajibi Mukti Andolon and Sonar Bangla Communist Party are again engaged in killings, extortions and robberies in 16 districts in the southwestern region including Jessore, Kushtia, Khulna, Satkhira, Bagerhat, Rajbari, Jhenidah, Magura, Narail, Meherpur, Chuadanga, Rajshahi and Naogaon. Of the most wanted members of outlawed parties and criminals, some died in crossfire; some were arrested and in the face of massive hunt in the big cities, some had gone into hiding in remote areas or villages across the country to avoid arrest. A large number of them have even crossed the border. But recently they are now returning to their respective localities and committing crimes, sources apprehend.
Latest police count revealed that the law and order has shown very little or no sign of improvement and that rather, various crimes including murder, rape, abduction, mugging, robbery and extortion had registered a steady rise specially in the southwestern region.
Political violence and social crimes recorded a surge before January 11, 2008, and the trend continued until the army-led joint forces operation. During the drive hundreds of persons including many of the Awami League and BNP parties allegedly involved in various criminal activities were netted and sent to the jail.
Meanwhile, Special Forces have been put on alert for possible movement into the regions. Earlier, several rounds of talks were held among government high-ups, who felt that law and order started deteriorating again due to increasing crimes including murders, robberies and firearms trading by the members of outlawed parties, sources said.
The law enforcers have targeted divisions, districts, police stations and the crime prone areas of southwestern regions to combat the crimes. Meanwhile, the joint operation by BDR, RAB, Police, Armed Police and Ansars may be launched any time against the out laws in Khulna, Jessore, Bagerhat and Satkhira district.


Early coal policy needed
UNB, Dhaka

Bangladesh needs to finalize its coal policy at the earliest as the existing gas reserve would start getting exhausted from 2015, experts said in Dhaka on Friday.
They said the country would have to create alternative sources of fuel before complete exhaustion of the gas reserve. Bangladesh can find an alternative source of energy by mining coal.
"The country will start feeling a crisis of gas from 2011 and it'll take a severe turn in 2015. Though it'll take 30-40 years more to finish the entire gas reserve, but we need to go for mining coal quickly to avert the possible crisis," CA's special assistant for Energy and Power Prof. M Tamim told reporters.
Dr Tamim made the remarks on the sidelines of a workshop organized for North Bengal Mineral Resources Reporters Forum by Weekly Economic Times at the Press Institute of Bangladesh (PIB).
Coal experts Eng Mainul Hasan, Eng Kamrul Islam, eminent journalists Ataus Samad and Iqbal Sobhan Chowdhury, among others, addressed the inaugural session of the workshop with Economic Times Editor Shawkat Mahmud in the chair. Referring to debate on under what system the underlying coal will be extracted, Dr Tamim said had Bangladesh thought about its huge coal resources before intervention of foreign companies, there would have been no controversy or debate.
"It's unfortunate that we start thinking about one thing after foreigners intervene in it. We couldn't collect coal from Fulbari coal mine due to debate about how it'll be extracted. Had we thought about the necessity of alternative fuel before, we could have reached a consensus about the coal mining method," he said.
Dr Tamim said the day is not far way when there will be no gas to use, then what will happen to our industries and households. "We must realize the necessity of coal as an alternative source of fuel."
Asked when the pending coal policy will be finalized, he said the government is now studying the draft of the coal policy. "It's very difficult to say about the timeframe of its finalization, but I hope it'll be finalized during this caretaker's time."


India offers Pakistan for joint naval exercises
AFP, New Delhi

India, which recently staged its first military exercises with China, is ready to carry out naval manoeuvres with arch-rival Pakistan, the navy chief has said.
Admiral Sureesh Mehta made the offer late Thursday on the sidelines of the inaugural Indian Ocean Naval Symposium (IONS) in New Delhi.
"It would have followed as a matter of course if they (Pakistan) were here," he replied to questions on the possibility of a joint naval manoeuvre with Pakistan, which has fought three wars with India since partition in 1947.
However, a first exercise with Pakistan may not happen in Indian waters, the admiral said.
"But now I suppose it (exercise) may happen in a third country," Mehta said.
Twenty-six navies have sent senior representatives including Australia, Egypt and France to the forum, seen by experts as an effort by New Delhi to assert its strategic presence.


Crime Watch

RAB nabs 10 VIP gamblers
A Correspondent, Barisal

A team of Rapid Action Battalion in a sudden raid arrested ten VIP gamblers from the city on early Thursday night.
Lieutenant Commander Mamunur Rashid and Flight Lieutenant Anisur Rahman leading a special raid at Barisal Mohammedan Sporting Club succeeded by arresting ten VIP gamblers including government service holders, businessmen, contractors and recovered cash Tk 51 thousand, 12 mobile phone sets and different types of gambling equipments. The arrestees were Kazi Nazmul Hasan, Rezaul Karim, Golam Mustafa, Fakrul Islam, Humaun Kabir, Mojibor Rahman, Manirul Islam, Abdul Majid Fakir, Shafikul Islam and Mizanur Rahman.
The arrestees were produced before the Barisal chief judicial magistrate court on Thursday morning and Mainuddin Islam, the CJM, rejecting the bail prayers ordered gamblers to send jail.

Trial of serial blast cases begins
UNB, Satkhira

Trial of five cases relating to serial blasts began at Additional District and Sessions Judge court here Thursday after two and half years of the incident.
Eleven, out of 19 charged-sheeted accused, were in the dock.
They were identified as Nasir Uddin Dafadar, Nur Ali Member, Monwar Hossain Uzzal, Anisur Rahman Khokon, Gius Uddin, Mahbubur Rahman Liton, Billal Hossain, Asadul Haque, Moniruzzaman, Munna and Rakib Hasan Russel.
Of the accused, five remained absconding while names of three others, JMB chief Shaikh Abdur Rahman, Bangla Bhai and Ataur Rahman Sunny, were dropped as they were executed earlier.
JMB members blasted seven bombs at five places in the town on August 17, 2005. Sub Inspector of Sadar thana Jasim Uddin later filed separate cases against 19 people.

1 gets life-term
A Correspondent, Sirajganj

The court in Sirajganj sentenced life-term to a man with rigorous imprisonment (RI) in a murder case on Thursday. The court also fined the convict Tk. 5,000, in default, another six month RI.
The convict is Md. Abdus Salam, 30, son of Solaiman Hossain, of village Sat-Paika in Dhunut upazila under Bogra.
ABM Nizamul Hoque, the additional district and session judge-2, pronounced the verdict.
According to the prosecution, the convict poisoned his pregnant wife, Rokeya Begum, 24, daughter of late Eusuf Uddin, of village Bhanudaga in Kazipur upazila of the district while she visited her parental home on 17 February 1995.
Later, the locals admitted her into Kazipur Upazila Health Complex where she declared as dead. However, Kazipur police recorded a case in this matter.

Cobra venom worth Tk 30 cr seized
UNB, Pabna

Rapid Action Battalion recovered illegal Cobra venom worth about Tk 30 crore from Bonwarinagar in Faridpur upazila on Thursday and arrested four people in this connection.
Acting on a tip-off, a team of RAB 12, in the guise of buyer of venom, contacted the smugglers at a house in Tiapara village at noon.
During the negotiation with the anti-crime force in disguise, the smugglers agreed to sale the venom of a French company at Tk 35 crore, the RAB sources said.
The RAB troops then cordoned off the smugglers and recovered 12 pounds venom from their possessions.
They also arrested Sakhwat Hossain of Sirajganj and Aziz Pramanik, Shafiqul Islam and Sirajul Islam of Pabna.

Woman held
A Correspondent, Comilla

A woman was arrested along with hemp at Darmanagar village in Burichang upazila on Friday morning.
The arrested was identified as Kadija Begum (34) wife of Zahir Miah of the village. Police said, on secret information tip-off a team raided the Zahir Miah house at about 6.00 am arrested one woman and recovered 13 kgs of hemp from her possession. A case was filed with the Burichang police station in this regard.

Joint forces recover govt land
BSS, Lakhipur

Joint forces recovered the land of Pashchim Mandari Government Primary School from the grabbers on Thursday.
All illegal shops were eliminated from the government primary school land. The value of recovered land is about Tk 40 lakh, the joint forces sources said. The land of the primary school was illegally grabbed by some local people last month.

Housewife killed for dowry
UNB, Brahmanbaria

A young housewife was tortured to death allegedly by her husband and mother-in-law for dowry in Bhadughar area of the district town on Tuesday.
The deceased was identified as Aklima Begum (22), mother of two children and wife of Shah Alam of the area.
Local people said Shah Alam married Aklima four years back and since then he along with his family members used to torture her for dowry. They said failing to bear the inhuman torture she went to her parents' house recently.
Later, after a village a village arbitration she was taken back to her husband's residence on Monday night. But the victim was again beaten up mercilessly on that night.
Later, next morning following a quarrel she was again tortured by the cruel husband and her mother-in-law and at one stage they poured hot water on her body leaving her critically injured.
Neighbors hearing the hue and cry rushed to the spot and sent her to Sadar hospital. Later, she died on way to Dhaka in the afternoon.
Local people caught Shah Alam and his mother Shahara Khatun while they were trying to flee and handed them over to the police. A case was filed.

5 held with phensidyl
BSS, Dinajpur

Members of Bangladesh Rifles (BDR) in two anti drug drives in the bordering areas of Birampur upazila arrested five drug smugglers and seized 290 bottles of phensidyl from their possession on Thursday.
BDR sources said that members of the border guards conducted a drive at Rail Ghunti at Birampur in the early hours of Thursday and arrested three women on suspicion. After searching their body they recovered 150 bottles of phensidyl.

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Editorial

Electoral Rolls Rules
 
Its surprising how things get done in Bangladesh. The EC, pushed for time and under public pressure, has gone ahead with the preparation of electoral rolls alongwith ID cards while the Emergency Government is sitting on the Rules which are supposed to provide legal backing to the EC's activities of preparing and publishing voter rolls or lists. Ultimately, two commissioners took the initiative of approaching the Adviser for Law and Parliamentary Affairs to persuade him to finalize and release the essential Electoral Rolls Rules.
As to why the Government has been holding on to these Rules is difficult to understand but what is not difficult to understand is that all efforts by the EC in preparing the electoral rolls or voters' lists would have been stymied and come under immediate challenge without the backup and support of these Rules. The Government had sufficient time to study the Rules, discuss them with the EC and then publish them; delay in doing so once again raises the questions of efficiency of our Government and of its intentions of holding the polls in time before the year 2008 is over.
Political parties, the civil society and even foreigners with an interest in Bangladesh are getting concerned about the prospects of elections and about when and how they would be held. While the Government is procrastinating in various ways, demands for elections are becoming increasingly strident particularly from the political parties, the media and the civil society, who now once again see an elected political government as the only one capable of tackling the economic and social woes of Bangladesh as well as mobilizing public opinion and taking the common people alongwith them. Increasingly diverse opinions of diverse interest groups are coalescing into one single demand - hold elections as soon as the voter listing is complete. Perhaps the Emergency Government would like to disregard this change in public opinion and tendency but it can do so only at its peril as many other past governments have found out to their great dismay and cost.


Soaring Prices Soaring Anger

Once again, for the hundredth time within the last one year, prices of all food commodities are on a steep rise. This has happened because of a shortage of supply and increasing demands of one single commodity - our staple food of rice. Prices of rice have a snowballing effect on all other food commodities. The Government has failed to ensure supply of adequate quantities of rice or to control its prices in the market.
Prices of food commodities started rising during the floods last year and had assumed galloping proportions after the cyclone. The Government at first ignored the issue, then it denied that there were any shortages or that prices were soaring and then it flooded the media with promises and assurances of hundreds of thousands of tons of rice being imported but to date little if anything has materialized except for some outlets maintained by the BDR who can cater to a miniscule portion of the population in major urban centers.
The Government is saying that the food situation will improve as soon as the Boro crops are harvested and in the meantime enough of rice would be imported to supply the needs of everyone at affordable prices but within this current week alone the coarsest quality of rice has hit Tk. 32 per Kilogram amidst claims by wholesellers and retailers that there is a severe shortage of rice in the urban markets; in rural areas conditions are even worse where nobody has any surplus rice to sell or money to buy rice. Poultry and poultry products are destroyed by avian flu, beef and mutton are only for the rich, cultivation and supply of vegetables are limited and fish is beyond the reach of the poor. This chain of events and circumstances have triggered widespread hardships, worry, frustrations and discontents among the people across the entire Country. People are beginning to express their anger and frustrations in various ways and are demanding immediate actions.
Promises and assurances cannot satisfy the hunger of people or fill their stomachs with food. People will accept assurances so long as they have not reached the physical and mental limits of their privations, after that they will demand immediate results and if that is not forthcoming they will revolt against systems which callously pushes them into such privations.

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Analysis

Vested Property Act
 
Unfortunately we have been unable to invalidate such a law which is called the Vested and Non-Resident Property (Administration) Act, 1974. Because of this black law, many of us have lost their lawfully earned properties.

M. Abdus Salam

As the citizens of an independent and sovereign state, we have the authority to make our own laws. We also have the authority to nullify any law which we think is against our interests. Unfortunately we have been unable to invalidate such a law which is called the Vested and Non-Resident Property (Administration) Act, 1974. Because of this black law, many of us have lost their lawfully earned properties. Their only fault was that their property was owned by a Hindu during the period of 1965-1969. Now is the time to get rid of this black law.
On 6 September 1965, Pakistan proclaimed a state of emergency under the Defense of Pakistan Ordinance at the outbreak of war with India. In exercise of the powers conferred by the Ordinance, the Central Government of Pakistan promulgated on the same day the Defense of Pakistan Rules. Under the rules, the Governor of East Pakistan passed an Order on 3 December 1965 regarding enemy property by which the property of the minorities was declared "Enemy Property".
After independence from Pakistan, the President of Bangladesh, in Order No. 29 of 1972, changed the nomenclature of the law from the Enemy Properties Act (EPA) to the Vested Property Act. (VPA) Clause 2 of the Order further stated: "Nothing contained in this Order shall be called in [to] question in any court". The Order of the President was subsequently not subject to judicial review.
The circular of 23 May 1977 on the Ministry of Lands of the Government of Bangladesh empowered the Tehsildars to find out the lands suitable for enlisting as enemy property. Since there was a provision for rewarding the successful tehsildars they felt encouraged to bring many undisputed properties of the Hindus under this list. Hindu peasants were thus left with no alternative but to migrate, as they could not expect any remedy from the additional deputy commissioner, the sub-divisional officer, or the circle officer who, like the tehsildar, were similarly entrusted with the responsibility and similarly promised reward. Many Hindus sold their lands to Muslims after 1970 as usual. In many cases the tehsildars enlisted any land as vested property only if, it was owned by a Hindu during the period of 1965-1969 even if that owner never left East Pakistan or Bangladesh and even if that land was owned by a Muslim at the time of enlistment. Thus a large number of Muslims have lost their legally purchased land and could not find any legal way to get it back.
The Sayem government cancelled the provision for selling vested properties by the sub-divisional committee. The government of President Ershad passed an order for selling the vested properties (land and buildings), 'the dilapidated and kutcha houses' not required by the government, to the existing lessees and if the lessees were unwilling or unable to purchase, through public auction. Subsequently, President Ershad passed on order for selling all vested properties by December 1983 but on an appeal made to him by a conference of the representatives of the Hindu community on 31 July 1984, General Ershad scrapped the order and also the enlisting of new vested properties. He further offered that vested properties would be governed according to the Hindu law of inheritance. The policy of the government of Begum Khaleda Zia was to sell vested properties to those occupants who could pay 10 per cent higher than the prevailing market price and not sell any vested property below the market price. Moreover, the government of Begum Khaleda Zia passed an order for the release of vested property in land up to eight bighas outside the 'Pourasabha'
Abul Barkat and Shafiquzzaman, of Bangladesher Grameen Samaje Arpito Sampattite Ainer Probhab: Ekti Anusandhan, in their report to the National Seminar of Association for Land Reform And Development, 13 April 1996, pp-7, said: "On the devastating effects of the vested property Act on the material and psychological conditions of the Hindus it was calculated that from 1964 each day on an average 538 Hindus have 'vanished'. The basis of calculation was the uniformity of the death rate for all religious communities in Bangladesh, the birth rate among the Hindus which has been 13 per cent less than that of the Muslims, and the difference between the migration figures coupled with total Hindu population and the figures of the census. Thus, had there been no migration, the Hindu population in Bangladesh would have been 16,500,000 instead of the census figure of 11,200,000. The same report calculated that the vanishing rate has not been uniform over periods; in 1964-71 it averaged 703 per day, between 1971 and 1981 it was 537, and in 1981-91 the figure stood at 439. The report further said: "The sample survey, on the basis of which the report was prepared, showed that out of the 161 dispossessed, 13 per cent were near landless, whereas 40 per cent became landless through dispossession, and 15 per cent of the surveyed persons were rich before dispossession but the figure came down to 6 per cent later.
Prof. Abul Barkat of Dhaka University opined in an article that 50 lakh people of the Hindu community, meanwhile, have lost 20 lakh acres of land under Enemy/Vested Property tussle. The present day value of those property would be one lakh ninety thousand crore Taka. (Prothom Alo, 4 November 04).
According to a report of the Land Ministry in October, 2004,submitted to a parliamentary standing committee "445,726 acres of vested property out of 643,140 acres ended up in encroachment across the country. "Grabbers gabbled up more than two thirds of vested property as the government lost control over the lands as the custodian and its long-line dithering blocked anti-encroachment efforts," the report said. (The Daily Star, 15 October, 2004). It may be recalled that "Transfer of Property Act" is ignored in case of the Hindus by keeping the Enemy Property Act as The Vested Property Act. So the property based crisis deepened and disturbed society at the root. Justice Debesh Bhattacharjya (1914-2004) was the founder President of Bangladesh Enemy Property Act Repeal Committee and some of his verdicts have been historically precedent setting judgments.
Earlier Justice Abdur Rahman Choudhury and Justice A.T. M.Afzal in their judgment (31 DLR, p 343) opined: "Such high handedness, if over looked and allowed to go unchecked, might undermine confidence of the citizens in the administration and bring a slur on the fair name of the Government." Former Chief Justice Syed Kamal Uddin Hossain also opined: "The laws on abandoned property, non-resident's property and the like although enacted as temporary laws to meet peculiar and emergency situations had been continuing for indefinite time in one form or another causing untold sufferings to honest citizens and burdening the courts with unnecessary cases."
Here are two judgments of the High Court:
(1) Custodian of enemy property treating a property as being a vested property without lawful basis for treating it as vested property and leasing out the same to another is unauthorized and illegal. [31 D L R (HR) 359].
(2)It appears from order sheet of vested Property Miscellaneous Case that even before the property in question was declared as vested property, the third party applied for lease and succeeded in obtaining a favorable report from local tahsilder. Thereafter it was apparent from the records that the Tahsilder and the interested party acted in collusion with each other in securing the impugned order and throwing the real owner out of their possession. It is our considered opinion; it would be just to award exemplary cost against the Tahsilder and Sona Meah, who are responsible for harassing a helpless widow and her son and depriving them of their lawful right to enjoy their own property.[31 D L R (HR) 343].
Here is an another Judgment of the Appellate Division (civil) dated 14th August 2004 on Saju Hossain Vs Bangladesh (58DLR (AD) (2006) Enemy Property (continuance of Emergency Provisions) Ordinance (1of1969) Section 2 " Since the law of enemy property itself died with the repeal Ordinance No. 1 of 1969 on 23 March 1974 no further vested property case can be started thereafter on the basis of the law which is already dead." So, we need not to produce more evidences. It is needless to say that Vested Property Act is a law against the spirit of the Constitution of Bangladesh. The Act has violated the fundamental rights of the people guaranteed in the Constitution of Bangladesh.
'This is a man-made problem contrary to the spirit of humanity. We have to get rid of this uncivilized state of affairs to establish a civilized society. Otherwise, we have to face a bigger historic catastrophe,' Professor Abdul Barkat, who teaches economics, insists in his research paper, 'Deprivation of affected million families: Living with Vested Property in Bangladesh'. Some 12 lakh or 44 per cent of the 27 lakh Hindu households in the country were affected by the Enemy Property Act 1965 and its post-independence version, the Vested Property Act 1974. Barkat points out that 53 per cent of the family displacement and 74 per cent of the land grabbing occurred before the country's independence in 1971 after the then Pakistan government, following the India-Pakistan War in 1965, introduced the Enemy Property (Custody and Registration) Order II, which was widely criticized as a tool for appropriating the lands of the minority population.
The Sheikh Hasina led Awami League government annulled this Act in 2001. It wanted to return the 'vested' property to their original Hindu owners. The move was criticized as a 'political tokenism' aimed to appease minority voters prior to the general elections.
But in reality, as Professor Barkat study shows the Hasina largesse did not benefit the Hindu minority, who owned land at the time of partition. In fact, it ended up displacing most of them from their ancestral land.
Political elements, locally influential people in collaboration with the land administration, trickery by land officials and employees themselves, use of force and crookedness, fake documentation, contracted farmers and death or exile of original owners have contributed to the phenomenon, according to Professor Barkat's study covering 6 districts across the country. The Professor doesn't think the land grab was a problem of 'Hindu versus Muslim' polarization. "Criminals do not bother whether a piece of land is owned by a Hindu, a Muslim or a Santal and they simply loot property. The problem highlights the 'inability' and 'weakness' of the majority people to raise protests though they are non-communal". (The NewAge, the daily Janakantha, the daily Manabzamin, 27 May.07).

(M. Abdus Salam. House- 31, Road- 13, Block- kha, Pisiculture Housing, Mohammadpur, Dhaka- 1207.Email: karnafuli@myway.com)


Moscow Diary: President Putin Speaking

Because of stability, Putin is placed above his processor and former President Boris Yeltsin and famed M. Gorbachev.

Dr. Abdul Ruff Colachal

In 2008, Russia might undergo a transfer of power unlike any in its history. Russian President Vladimir Putin has named his first deputy prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, 42, as his chosen successor. The vote will take place on 2 March. Russia's presidential election campaign will officially begin shortly, with Medvedev the clear favorite to win. He is way ahead of his main rivals in the opinion polls, the closest being Communist Party leader Gennady Zyuganov, who has failed to mount a serious challenge since the mid-1990s. The veteran nationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky is also running - but his tough talk is unlikely to translate into much more than a tenth of the vote, our correspondent says. Andrei Bogdanov is the fourth and final candidate. He leads Russia's tiny Democratic Party and is only polling around 1% and is insignificant. If Medvedev wins, which no one doubts, Putin is expected to become prime minister, as suggested by Medvedev.
On the streets of the country's towns and cities, everything looks more stable and comfortable than at any time in the post-Soviet period. Because of stability, Putin is placed above his processor and former President Boris Yeltsin and famed M. Gorbachev. "The tsars and the general secretaries of the Communist Party died while in office, and Yeltsin and Gorbachev retired with zero ratings, says a political analyst with close ties to the Kremlin. Now Putin might retire with a rating of closer to 80%. It's unprecedented. However, the comparative stability Russia has enjoyed under President Putin has made people wary of change.
Thanks to Putin's strenuous efforts, Russia is on the rise again as a global power - keen to win respect and support for its views on issues such as the future of Kosovo and the Iranian nuclear program. This new sense of strength is founded on the wealth which has come with soaring prices for the natural resources which Russia has in abundance. As demand for oil and gas continues to grow, many in the West are looking warily eastwards, wondering whether Russia is a reliable partner. The quandary of what to do with a popular Russian leader still in the land of the living continues to perplex.
Putin remains a strong force not just in Kremlin, but in the Russian psyche and in the mind-set of many Russians. He is main force against US-led unipolarity and NATO's unilateralism. His leaving the international scene could wreck the Russian mind. But if he becomes premier of Russia, Russian presidency would suffer. "There may be a weaker president if Putin stays on the scene," concedes one source close to the administration. "Putin knows this and probably has something in mind." It is an issue not just inside Russia, but around the world. The year 2008 will also answer the question: "What next for Russia's most popular politician?" Medvedev has offered Putin the prime minister's job. Until his acceptance, Putin seems to have kept even Kremlin insiders in the dark. Numerous other options were talked about. It was suggested, for example, that Putin could become head of Russia's national Security Council - a role which is not clearly defined, and which he could therefore make his own.
Putin's fight against nepotism and corruption and his efforts to streamline Russian politics and economic growth endeared him to Russians and also made him hated by wealthy classes in Russia. Some of the oligarchs who acquired great wealth and power in the 1990s have fled the country, fearing prosecution. Mikhail Khodorkovsky stayed. He sits in a Siberian prison cell, convicted of fraud and tax evasion. Putin's popularity is such that Medvedev, who also runs the state gas giant Gazprom, is almost sure to win. Interest is focusing on how much of Putin's popularity Medvedev can inherit at the ballot box - and how much power Putin will retain. Medvedev's main responsibility under President Putin has been overseeing Russia's national projects - programs to fix the faults in the country's infrastructure. If Putin has finally made up his mind to make him the next President, Medvedev will have a cake walk in the poll.
Western powers expect and their media want Putin to retire. But the big one trillion dollar question is: will Vladimir Putin disappoint the majority Russians, who still consider him as the top most priority for next presidency as well, by quitting the Kremlin once for all now or even by taking up a smaller responsibility at the Kremlin soon? Answer lies in the Kremlin itself.

(Dr. Abdul Ruff Colachal is a Research scholar, School of International Studies, Jawaharlal University, Delhi 110067)


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Pakistan's New Generation of Terrorists

Leadership elements of al-Qaeda and the Afghan Taliban, along with other terrorist groups, have made Pakistan's tribal areas (the semi-autonomous region along the Afghan border) their home.

Jayshree Bajoria

Introduction
Pakistani authorities have long had ties to militant groups based on their soil. They have supported some organizations fighting Indian forces in Kashmir and played a pivotal role in supporting the Afghan resistance against the Soviets throughout the 1980s. In the 1990s, Pakistan's government supported the Taliban's rise in Afghanistan in the hope of having a friendly government in Kabul. But with Pakistan joining the United States as an ally in its war against Islamic extremists since 9/11, experts say Islamabad has seen harsh blowback on its policy of backing militants operating abroad. Leadership elements of al-Qaeda and the Afghan Taliban, along with other terrorist groups, have made Pakistan's tribal areas (the semi-autonomous region along the Afghan border) their home. Pakistan's deployment of troops in the tribal areas has generated resentment among tribal leaders and others who sympathized with the Taliban. In recent years, many new terrorist groups have emerged in Pakistan, several existing groups have reconstituted themselves, and a new crop of militants have taken control, more violent and less conducive to political solutions than their predecessors.
Terrorist Groups
Many experts say it is difficult to determine how many terrorist groups are operating out of Pakistan. Most of these groups tend to fall into one of the five distinct categories laid out by Ashley J. Tellis, a senior associate at Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, in January 16, 2008, testimony before a U.S. House Foreign Affairs subcommittee:
Sectarian: Groups such as the Sunni Sipah-e-Sahaba and the Shia Tehrik-e-Jafria, which are engaged in violence within Pakistan;
Anti-Indian: Terrorist groups that operate with the alleged support of the Pakistani military and the intelligence agency Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI), such as the Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT), the Jaish-e-Muhammad (JeM), and the Harakat ul-Mujahedeen (HuM). This Backgrounder profiles these organizations which have been active in Kashmir;
Afghan Taliban: The original Taliban movement and especially its Kandahari leadership centered around Mullah Mohammad Omar, believed to be now living in Quetta;
Al-Qaeda and its affiliates: The organization led by Osama bin Laden and other non-South Asian terrorists believed to be ensconced in the Federally Administered Tribal Areas (FATA). Rohan Gunaratna of the International Centre for Political Violence and Terrorism Research in Singapore says other foreign militant groups such as the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan, Islamic Jihad group, the Libyan Islamic Fighters Group and the Eastern Turkistan Islamic Movement are also located in FATA;
The Pakistani "Taliban": Groups consisting of extremist outfits in the FATA, led by individuals such as Baitullah Mehsud, the chieftain of the Mehsud tribe in South Waziristan, Maulana Faqir Muhammad and Maulana Qazi Fazlullah of the Tehrik-e-Nafaz-e-Shariat-e-Mohammadi (TSNM), and Mangal Bagh Afridi of the Lashkar-e-Islami in the Khyber Agency.
The Pakistani Taliban
Supporters of the Afghan Taliban in the tribal areas transitioned into a mainstream Taliban force of their own as a reaction to the Pakistani army's incursion into the tribal areas, which began in 2002, to hunt down the militants. This Pakistani Taliban is organizationally distinct from the Afghan Taliban. Gunaratna says it is clear that Afghan Taliban only fights in Afghanistan, emphasizing it is the Pakistani Taliban that is operating in Pakistan against the state. Analysts say it is this arrangement with the Pakistani authorities that keeps members of the Afghan Taliban safe from arrest or transfer to U.S. or NATO forces based in Afghanistan. But Pakistani authorities have repeatedly denied any involvement with the Taliban and have often said the problem lies within Afghanistan, saying Taliban sympathizers from Afghanistan slip across the border to recruit in refugee camps in Pakistan.
Experts say most adult men in Pakistan's tribal areas grew up carrying arms but it is only in the last few years that they have begun to organize themselves around a Taliban-style Islamic ideology pursuing an agenda much similar to that of the Afghan Taliban in Afghanistan. The people of Pakistan's North West Frontier Province (NWFP) and FATA, as well as the adjacent eastern regions of Afghanistan, are overwhelmingly Pashtun and share ethnic and linguistic links. Hassan Abbas, a research fellow at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government, writes in a January 2008 paper that the Pakistani Taliban have effectively established themselves as an alternative to the traditional tribal elders. Abbas adds that the Taliban killed approximately 200 of the tribal leaders and these indigenous Taliban groups coalesced in December 2007 under the umbrella of Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). He writes that a shura (consultative council) of more than 40 senior Taliban leaders established the TTP under the militant commander Baitullah Mehsud from South Waziristan.
TTP not only has representation from all of FATA's seven agencies but also from several settled districts of the NWFP. According to some estimates, the Pakistani Taliban collectively have around 30,000 to 35,000 members. Among their other objectives, the TTP has announced a defensive jihad against the Pakistani army, enforcement of sharia, and a plan to unite against NATO forces in Afghanistan. Pakistani authorities accused the group's leader, Mehsud, of assassinating former Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto in December 2007.
Analysts say it may be too early to say how successful the TTP will be in unifying the disparate militant groups across diverse tribal regions, or how loyal the tribes will be to Mehsud's leadership.
Changing Face of Terrorism
The new Taliban are fiercer, younger and impatient for results, say experts. Steve Coll, president of the New America Foundation, a Washington-based think tank, tells CFR.org the Afghan-oriented Taliban of the 1990s had a sort of a political cover in Pakistan. But what's happening now, he says, is that those traditional intermediaries between the Taliban and the establishment are being displaced by "a younger generation of more violent radical leaders who are in a hurry and have no patience with compromise with the state." Coll adds: "These are like hard-core breakaway children militias of the sort you encounter in failed states in Africa and elsewhere," running roadblocks, moving around in bands on highways in the tribal areas, and operating under some notion of political control under this Tehrik-i-Taliban set-up. "But they are the law and that is real change."
This new generation of terrorists is also more willing to engage in suicide attacks; there were more than fifty in 2007, compared to no more than twenty between 2001 and 2007. Gunaratna attributes this to the influence of al-Qaeda. He says bin Laden's group is training most of the terrorist groups in FATA. "Al-Qaeda considers itself as the vanguard of the Islamic movement," Gunaratna says, and has introduced its practice of suicide bombings to both the Afghan and the Pakistani Taliban.
Pakistan's tribal areas are also experiencing growing extremism. Like their Taliban predecessors in Afghanistan, the younger militants consider music, TV, and luxuries like massage parlors un-Islamic and wage war against them. Local Taliban leaders in the tribal agencies tell men to keep beards and women to wear the veil. In a January 2008 article in the New York Times magazine, writer Nicholas Schmidle quotes Maulana Fazlur Rehman, chief of Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (F), a pro-Taliban religious party: "When the jihad in Afghanistan started, the maliks [tribal leaders] and the old tribal system in Afghanistan ended; a new leadership arose, based on jihad. Similar is the case here in the tribal areas."
Terrorist Breeding Ground
Pakistan's tribal areas, which have long been torn by ethnic and tribal rivalries, became radicalized during the 1980s when the Pakistani state supported the Afghan jihad against the Soviets. To escape the post-9/11 U.S.-led war in Afghanistan, most militants, including those in al-Qaeda, fled eastwards into western Pakistan, further destabilizing the tribal areas. Having served as the logistical route for weapons to the mujahideen, experts say, the area is awash with small weapons and the current population of more than a million men under the age of twenty-five grew up carrying weapons. As this backgrounder on the troubled Pakistan-Afghanistan border explains, the tribal areas also became critical to the illicit drug trade and criminalized economies of the region. Counter-terrorism experts say these traditional smuggling and criminal activities continue to fund the militants.
Pakistan's tribal region is governed under the colonial-era Frontier Crimes Regulations (FCR) Act by a political agent in each of the seven tribal agencies. Experts say the tribes have long struggled with each other over economic or territorial issues. Coll says what has happened in FATA during the last twenty years is "almost like painting a coat of Islamist radicalization over this complicated structure of smuggling and competition" among the tribes. He says "by painting this coat of Islamist ideology over certain areas of FATA, it's changed the dynamic of competition in ways that are really complicated and very hard for us to understand on the outside."
Counterterrorism Challenges
Pakistani authorities are struggling to confront the changing dynamics in the region. There is growing criticism both within and outside Pakistan that the army does not have the capacity to fight insurgency within its borders. Militants increasingly target the army with suicide attacks and in August 2007, the kidnapping of around 250 soldiers by Baitullah Mehsud in FATA's South Waziristan posed a huge embarrassment for Pakistan. These soldiers were only released when the government released twenty-five militants associated with Mehsud. The army faces a tough fight not only in the tribal areas but increasingly the settled areas of NWFP, which are being targeted by militants. In 2007, the militant group TSNM led by Maulana Fazlullah took control of large areas in the Swat valley, previously a tourist destination. The army, after a long fight, reclaimed it but experts say hundreds of militants continue to operate there.
Coll questions the will of the Pakistani military to confront the new Taliban groups. He writes in the New Yorker that there was evidence to suggest that "some current and former Pakistani military and intelligence officers sympathize with the Islamist insurgents with whom they are notionally at war." U.S.officials have made similar allegations but Pakistani officials have pointed to the death of about a thousand Pakistani soldiers fighting the war on terror and several attempts made by the militants on President Musharraf's life as proof that such allegations are not true.
One approach taken by Islamabad is to deploy the Frontier Corps, Pakistan 's paramilitary organization that operates in the FATA and has played an important part because of their local language skills and familiarity with the local terrain. But numerous defections and refusals to fight and follow orders have taken place within the Frontier Corps. Rand Corporation expert Christine C. Fair, in January 2008 testimony to a U.S. House Foreign Affairs subcommittee, says while its officers are seconded from the Pakistan army, its cadres are drawn from the local Pashtun population. According to Fair, the Corps is "inadequately trained and equipped and has been ill-prepared for counter-insurgency operations in FATA." Fair also says the Corps "was used to train the Taliban in the 1990s and many are suspected of having ties to that organization." Yet many experts believe that Frontier Corps has a much better chance than the Pakistani army in securing the tribal areas. Washington plans a significant increase in current military assistance to the Frontier Corps. Its effort to secure the tribal belt includes a proposal by U.S. Special Operations Command to train and arm tribal leaders to fight al-Qaeda and Taliban and a $750 million aid package for the border area over the next five years.
Another approach taken by the Pakistani government in the tribal areas was to sign some peace agreements with the tribal leaders but most of them have failed so far and critics, including many in Washington, said they only ended up strengthening the militants. In January 2008, news reports saying the United States was considering sending U.S. troops to Pakistan's tribal areas drew angry reactions from Pakistani authorities and analysts said it would further destabilize the country. Imran Khan, chairman of the opposition party Tehreek-e-Insaf in Pakistan, says political negotiations are the only way to deal with terrorism. Gunaratna, too, says a military solution is not the answer. A "strategy to manage the threat of terrorism is to co-opt the groups that are in the margins, in the periphery," he says, "and draw them to mainstream politics to create opportunities for them."

(Jayshree Bajoria is a Staff Writer for the Council for Foreign Relations. Source: www.cfr.org)


A Monumental Challenge to America

In seven short years, President George W. Bush turned the world's hope and optimism into deep disillusionment.

Alon Ben-Meir

The collapse of the Soviet Union at the beginning of the last decade of the 20th century, leaving the United States as the sole superpower, led to the century being dubbed, "The American Century." The world looked forward to enlightened leadership, visionary policies, and a multilateral approach in the conduct of American diplomacy. President Bill Clinton was, though tainted by the Lewinsky affair, widely respected in the global community. It was hoped the new president would follow, if not the same policies, an enlightened path. But in seven short years, President George W. Bush turned the world's hope and optimism into deep disillusionment. Many in the Middle East, looking back, wonder how a single president could have committed so many blunders that so tarnished America's global standing and moral leadership.
Ironically, although Bush's Middle East policy was prompted by national security and strategic considerations championed by the neoconservatives, everything he touched had the opposite effect than intended. Bush's Middle East adventures underscore the enormity of his foreign policy failures, from which it may take America years to recover. But for such a recovery to occur, we must first understand what went wrong and the underlying assumptions supporting such disastrous policies. The short answer is that the failures stem from a complete lack of understanding of the historical background, cultural orientation, religious extremism, and social and political schisms in every country where the administration intervened. As examples: no central government or conqueror has ever tamed, subdued, or governed the tribal areas in Afghanistan, and the enmity and distrust between the Shiite, Sunnis, and the Kurds in Iraq, has existed for hundreds of years - thus no elections could possibly engender their amity. Yet the administration plunged into these countries with an attitude of "we know best what is good for you" - a recipe of arrogance mixed with ignorance that has proved toxic.
It was initially sound policy to invade Afghanistan to oust the Taliban and destroy al-Qaida's base and infrastructure, and that is why the international community fully supported the war. It was, however, tragically mistaken to not fully consolidate the coalition's presence, pursue al-Qaida to the bitter end, and invest all necessary resources and military power to prevent the Taliban from resurfacing and al-Qaida from restructuring again as they both now have.
Instead of focusing on these ends, Bush decided, in the name of the war on terror, to wage, at astronomical cost, both financially and in terms of human sacrifice, a war of choice in Iraq, against a presumed enemy that posed no immanent danger and had neither connection to al-Qaida nor weapons of mass destruction. The war unleashed a tragic civil war between the Sunnis and the Shiites, causing untold destruction and sowing the seeds for a divided Iraq, a divided region, and ominous discord between radical Muslims and the West. Iraq has now become the training ground for terrorists poised to terrorize the entire region.
Also, instead of capitalizing on the progress made in the Camp David negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians in the summer of 2000, Bush left the combatants to slug it out by themselves, which allowed Hamas to become a political force that must be reckoned with. Bush's convening an international peace conference in Annapolis at the 11th hour of his presidency was simply cynical theatrics. Few of those with credibility believe the announced goal to reach an Israeli-Palestinian agreement by the end of 2008 is anything but an illusion.
Refusing to negotiate with Iran to end its nuclear ambitions and insisting rather on regime change in Tehran was another failed policy that only pushed Iran to accelerate its nuclear program. Further emboldened by the debacle in Iraq and swimming in oil money, Tehran defied both America and the international community without fear of real reprisal. Today, Iran poses a greater regional threat than ever, and it will become doubly menacing with nuclear weapons.
And what of the administration's obsession to marginalize and isolate Syria? It pushed Damascus steadily into Iran's belly, a result that should have been obvious. Refusing to be ignored and threatened with regime change, Syria spared no effort to become the regional spoiler. It has allowed Hezbollah to arm to the teeth, provided political support and facilitated financial assistance to Hamas coming from Iran, while turning a blind eye to the infiltration of insurgents and weapons into Iraq. The 2006 summer war between Hezbollah and Israel was just another unhappy consequence of Bush shortsighted Syrian policy.
Finally, Bush's push for political reform and democracy has backfired wherever elections have occurred: In Egypt, elections strengthened the Muslim Brotherhood, in the Palestinian territories, they brought Hamas to power, in Lebanon, they created dangerous political instability, in Iraq, they precipitated civil war, and in Pakistan, they created neither peace nor stability. Without understanding the socio-economic and political conditions unique to each county, allowing democratic institutions to develop, permitting liberal parties to compete, without a free press and a fair judiciary, and a serious commitment to sustainable development projects to lift millions of Arabs from abject poverty, it should have been obvious that Islamic groups, better organized and financed, and with extensive social networks and services, would be the ultimate beneficiaries.
The administration's mishaps in the Middle East have not been unique. Its recklessness in dealing with the environment, in denying fundamental human rights in the name of national security, in bullying and alienating many allies, in its addiction to oil and the oil interests, and in its unilateralism, have come back to haunt it. Bush is either unwilling or unable to change before his departure. The question is will the next president rise to this monumental challenge now facing America?.

Source: www.middleeasttimes.com


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International

India struggles to keep food cheap for poor as prices soar
AFP, New Delhi

Anand's restaurant has served flat bread, lentils and vegetables to loyal customers every day for four decades but for the past year he's been on the receiving end of almost non-stop complaints.
"They argue because we've raised prices. But we had to increase them because everything-wheat, butter and vegetables-has gone up," says Sanjay Anand, second-generation owner of the restaurant in New Delhi's Connaught Place.
Small restaurants like his, as well as hundreds of millions of people across India have been hit by a huge surge in demand and prices for food worldwide.
The price hikes have triggered government anxiety over whether it can continue to ensure supply of affordable food for the country's 1.1 billion people.
Analysts say India-which produces most of its own food, exports surplus items such as sugar and heavily subsidises supplies for the poor-has so far managed to avoid severe price shocks.
But it is facing the same mix of factors as other nations that are grappling with rising food prices-higher incomes are boosting demand for protein, surging demand for energy is pressuring oil prices, and diversion of agricultural land to urbanisation and industrialisation, as well as grain production for biofuels, is pushing land values sky high.
"Of course India is impacted by global events," said Saumitra Chaudhuri, economic advisor at Indian credit rating agency ICRA.
"The question is whether there'll be a supply response. Better yielding seeds, irrigation, technology and more efficient distribution can and probably will have a major impact.
"But it will take a little time and we're likely to see no slack in demand or costs soon."
The price of wheat on the Chicago Board of Trade more than doubled in the past year to a record high above 10.60 dollars a bushel for March delivery.
That means India's government will have to boost the subsidies it pays to wheat farmers-and those extra costs have to be passed on to customers in restaurants like Anand's.
His price for one roti, or flat bread, has risen 33 percent to three rupees (one US cent) in the past year.
For the Indian government, subsidies to feed the poor have more than doubled in the past five years to seven billion dollars.
Along with other efforts such as selling transport fuel below market rates to stem inflation, India now spends more than 15 percent of its budget attempting to control food prices.
"The government would never scrap food and fuel subsidies. It's politically impossible and as we've seen can lead to strikes and protests," Chaudhuri said.
"It's also not sustainable beyond a point and if costs such as wages and other inputs keep going up, other things will fall by the wayside, like roads, power and other infrastructure which just aggravate the problem."
 


Musharraf vows free and fair elections
AFP, Islamabad

Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf pledged Thursday that next week's general elections will be free and fair, but warned that any opposition protests against the result would be crushed.
His warning came as the widower of slain former premier Benazir Bhutto urged thousands of supporters to "besiege" polling stations to prevent rigging and threatened mass agitation if fraud denies his party victory.
Musharraf said the success of the "mother of all elections" was crucial for international efforts to stabilise the militancy-hit, nuclear-armed nation, a key ally in the US-led "war on terror."
"Despite all the insinuation and apprehensions, the elections will be free, fair, transparent and peaceful. It is my pledge to the nation," Musharraf said at a special government conference shown live on state television.
"No disruption or violence will be allowed. If people think they can come on streets after the elections, nothing of that sort will be allowed," added Musharraf, who seized power in a coup in 1999.
Pakistan was convulsed by violent demonstrations after Bhutto's assassination at an election rally in December. Her killing forced the postponement of the vote by six weeks. Opposition parties have accused Musharraf's regime of trying to rig the polls as his enemies could seek his impeachment if they win a two-thirds majority in parliament next week.
Musharraf dismissed a series of opinion polls showing his popularity in freefall. The latest, commissioned by the BBC, showed nearly two-thirds of people regard him as an obstacle to stability and three-quarters want him to quit.
Shortly after the president spoke, Bhutto's husband Asif Ali Zardari addressed at least 20,000 Pakistan People's Party supporters amid heavy security at a rally in the industrial city of Faisalabad.
"We are not afraid of them. We will besiege the polling stations till the election results are announced in the presence of the party's polling agents," Zardari told the cheering crowd from behind a bulletproof screen.
Zardari earlier warned in an interview with AFP that he may call for civil disobedience if "pre-rigging" by the authorities robs his party of victory.
"We will call for all the political forces to get together, and together we shall decide how to take the people to the streets, how to do political agitation enough to get our point of view across," he said late Wednesday.


Hezbollah declares ‘open war’ on Israel
AFP, Gaza City


Lebanon's Hezbollah opposition chief declared "open war" on Israel on Thursday as hundreds of thousands of government supporters filled central Beirut to remember slain ex-premier Rafiq Hariri.
In Washington meanwhile, US President George W. Bush called for an end to foreign influence in the country.
"Zionists, if you want this kind of open war, then let the whole world listen: Let this war be open," Hassan Nasrallah said at the funeral of top Hezbollah commander Imad Mughnieh, killed in Damascus on Tuesday by a car bombing blamed on Israel.
"The blood of Imad Mughnieh will contribute to the disappearance of the Jewish state," said Nasrallah, whose fighters claimed victory in the devastating July-August 2006 war against Israel.
"You killed him outside our natural battleground. Our battleground with you is on Lebanese territory and you have overstepped the border."
Israel has welcomed Mughnieh's killing but denied any involvement. Military radio there desaid Nasrallah was openly threatening Israeli targets abroad, and the