saturday, april 19, 2008 , baishakh 6, Rabius Sani 12, 1428 a.h

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Leading News

Rice price decreases while edible oil goes up slightly
F.M. Masum

The prices of both coarse and fine rice has started coming down by Tk 1-2 per kg at different retail and wholesale markets in the capital yesterday while price of edible oil has gone up further in the capital and elsewhere the country.
Traders said that the price would come down continuously in the coming days as the arrival of much anticipated Boro rice would help the price to decline and the sufferings of the people would be relieved. But defying the government measures the price of edible oil has gone up further in the city markets. The prices of vegetables have come down sharply and prices of other of other daily commodities remain unchanged.
Meanwhile, in the retail markets the price is coming down slowly while in the whole sale market the price has gone down significantly and the price of fine rice also came down slightly in both retail and wholesale market.
Yesterday, coarse rice like Lata was selling between Tk 32 and Tk 33 per kg, Pari Tk 32 and Tk 33 per kg, fine quality Najirshail Tk 39 and Tk 43, miniket at Tk 38 and Tk 43 per kg. Besides, a kg of coarse rice like Swarna, Parija and BR 28 was selling for Tk 33 to Tk 37 on Friday while in the last week the price was between Tk 34 to Tk 38 per kg.
Visiting different kitchen markets in the capital yesterday, the price of coarse rice came down by Tk 100 per maund and that of fine rice also went down by Tk 60-Tk 70 per maund. Meanwhile, the price of edible oil and lentils also rose as yesterday lentils was selling at Tk 95 per kg and in the retail markets, Soyabean was selling at Tk 103 per litre.
But the price of chicken (broiler) has set a new record as yesterday it was selling at Tk 120 per kg. When contacted with a chicken traders by this correspondent to know the reason behind the sudden abnormal price hike of chicken broiler, he said, " the supply is not enough against the huge demand and people have started buying chicken in large number after the recovery of the industry which was damaged by the recent bird flue."
Yesterday, Green chilli was selling at Tk 10 per kg. The price of various items of fish is still at their high as yesterday Ruhi was selling at Tk 180-220 per kg, Hilsha at Tk 300 per kg. Beef was selling at Tk 180 per kg. Yesterday, both imported and local onion was selling at Tk per kg, imported lentils at Tk 85, flour at Tk 43 per kg. Potato was selling at Tk 13, cucumber at Tk 14, Patal at Tk 24 per kg tomato at Tk 16, Korola at tk 20 per kg, bean at Tk 24 per kg.


Home Adviser’s remark about Hasina’s release will affect the formal dialogue
Indoor movement will spread on the street across country, says AL leaders

Staff Correspondent

Following Home Adviser's remark about the release of detained Awami League President Sheikh Hasina, the AL on Friday said if the government does not release her, the formal dialogue between government and the party would not bring any fruitful result and next general election would not be held in a free, fair and impartial manner.
Awami League presidium members Amir Hossain Amu, Abdur Razzak, Tofael Ahmed, Suranjit Sen Gupta and Matia Chowdhury said there is no alternative to release Sheikh Hasina. They said this while inaugurating the mass signature campaign at Bangabandhu Avenue in the city organized by Jubo League, a front organisation of Awami League.
"After the informal dialogue with the government, we had hoped that the stalled parliament election would be held as per Election Commission's road map. But Home Adviser Matin's comment regarding release of our party president created confusion and uncertainty. If the government does not clear its stand about detained Hasina, no initiative taken by the government for defusing gap between political party and the government for holding general election, will come into force," they added.
They said through such campaign, demand for release of Sheikh Hasina will be turned into a mass demand.
"There is no alternative to free Sheikh Hasina. If the government does not release Sheikh Hasina, the movement from the indoor will spread on the street across the country. The people would no longer tolerate the government's dithering over the release of the former prime minister. Don't do anything that people are compelled to go for mass movement. The sooner Sheikh Hasina is released from prison, the more the nation will benefit from it," they cautioned.
"While the government is not taking action against the leaders of the four-party alliance responsible for inviting January 11 in 2007, known as 1/11, the government is hatching conspiracy by filing false cases against Sheikh Hasina in bid to keep her behind bars," they alleged.
About price hike of essentials especially food grain, they said the country is passing famine like situation as many people are starving.


 Hafiz likely to face show cause notice as to ‘why he should not be expelled’
Hannan calls him to step down

Taib Ahmed


The dissident BNP leader Maj (retd) Hafiz Uddin Ahmed, who is now leading the reformist camp as the acting Secretary General, is likely to face a show cause notice as to "why he should not be expelled for his anti-party activities."
According to competent sources, the jailed Begum Khaleda Zia has very much been aggrieved with the activities as well as the statements of Maj (retd) Hafiz. Towards the beginning, Begum Zia thought that Hafiz might return to the right track with normalcy in the political environment in the country. But now she is tossing up an idea of whether Hafiz can be expelled.
"His (Hafiz) arrogant statements and defiant attitude and thus his activities have irritated Begum Khaleda Zia and she through her counsel or through the party secretary general can soon serve him with a show-cause notice as to why he should not be expelled," one of the counsels of Begum Khaleda Zia told this correspondent.
Party workers of different level have also started raising their demand for expulsion of Saifur and Hafiz. In all recent meetings at the Nam residence of Khandoker Delwar Hossain the issue of expelling Hafiz was discussed whereas outside the meeting venue, hundreds of party workers chanted slogans demanding expulsion of Saifur Rahman and Hafiz Uddin Ahmed from their respective party posts. Sources, however, said, Begum Zia is not in favour of expelling Saifur Rahman right now.
Two counsels of Begum Zia, --Nawshad Zamir and Masud Talukder-are likely to meet the detained BNP Chairperson any time today (Saturday) where they might discuss the issue.
Meanwhile, BNP Chairperson's Adviser Brig (retd) ASM Hannan Shah on Friday called upon M Saifur Rahman and Maj (retd) Hafiz to step down from their respective posts to pave the way for reuniting the party.
"If they are willing to reunite the party, I would urge Hafiz to stay away from his "non-
existent" post of acting secretary general" Hannan Shah said, adding, "Ailing Saifur Rahman cannot afford to lead the party." "If the proposal is accepted, reformist leaders will return to the mainstream of BNP," he said.
About the progress of the party unity, Hannan Shah said, "M Saifur Rahman over phone proposed to me to form a new committee other than existing two committees to run the party in absence of Begum Khaleda Zia."
However, Hafiz denied any possibility of stepping down from his posts saying, "Hannan Shah cannot order to do so as he is not senior to me. Only Khandoker Delwar can order me as he is my senior."
He said everyone in BNP wants unity and it is possible if all could sit together across the table without setting pre-conditions saying, "We want unconditional unity of the party".


 Government's hard-line against ICM forces them to cancel protests

Staff Correspondent


Following the government's hard-line against staging demonstration and bringing out procession around the national mosque, Islamic Constitution Movement (ICM) and other Islamic political parties suspended its agitation programme.
However, around two thousand activists of different Islamic political parties started gathering at the north gate of the national mosque after Jumma prayer for bringing out a procession protesting the national women development policy 2008. But when they saw a heavy contingent of law enforcers equipped with firearms and water cannons roaming around the mosque, they didn't dose to march ahead.
Meanwhile, Law Adviser Major General MA Matin (Retd) warned the Islamic political parties that stern action would be taken against any unlawful activities.
Earlier on April 11, Islamic political parties after offering Juma prayers asked the devotees to offer special prayer after Juma on Friday, April 18 for immediate fall of some advisers of present caretaker government and stage demonstration and bring out procession demanding cancellation of the government's decision to ensure equal inheritance of the parents' property by the women. They also announced the holding of a grand rally of "Ulema Mashaikh" at Engineers Institute of Bangladesh on May 4.
Soon after the deployment of law enforcers, Shaikhul Hadis Allama Azizul Haque Ameer of Khelafat-e-Majlish, Syed Rejaul Karim Ameer of Islami Shansontantra Andolon and Shah Ahmed Ullah Ashraf Ameer of Khelafat Andolon at an emergency press briefing suspended their scheduled programme and demanded immediate removal of Women and Children Affairs Adviser Rasheda K Chowdhury.
They said if the government wants to amend the law it will have to be on the basis of the Holy Quran. "If the government doesn't follow the Holy Quran we will go for a tougher movement against the women's development policy," they added.


 Finance Adviser suggests factory owners to look after workers’ welfare

Staff Correspondent

Finance Adviser AB Mirza Aziz on Friday requested the entrepreneurs to come forward for helping the workers and introduce rationing system to overcome the food crisis.
The Finance Adviser was speaking at the inaugural ceremony of the Alumni Day of Institute of Business Administration of Dhaka University held at the Radisson Water Garden Hotel in city.
"You (entrepreneurs) can make contribution by promoting culture by corporate social responsibility particularly a culture of looking after the welfare of workers. Government can't provide ration only for industrial workers, provide for whole social group. Many of the enterprise who has the significant profit can assume greater responsibility in the area of workers welfare. So you should introduce rationing system for the workers," Aziz said.
When asked about Aziz comment about introducing of rationing system, the entrepreneurs said government should introduce the rationing system.
"Responding to the government call, the owners of three garments industry came forward to introduce ration. But centering the rationing system, the owners of other garments industry had to face various problems. While the big entrepreneurs can continue the system in a particular time but it is impossible for the small entrepreneurs to introduce rationing system" they said, adding only it is possible for the government to introduce the rationing system.


 Tributes paid to Hazrat Abdul Kader Jilani
BSS, Dhaka


Speakers at a discussion on Friday paid rich tributes to Hazrat Abdul Kader Zilani (RA0 calling him the pioneering figure in Muslim resurrection in the middle age as Fateha-e-Yazhaham was observed in the country marking the death anniversary great Muslim saint.
"The Islamic spirit witnessed its revival with the preaching of Hazrat Abdul Kader Zilani," said leading spiritual personality Syed Mainuddin Ahmed Maizbhandari at one of the functions in the capital organized to mark the day.
Syed Mainuddin, also a descendent of Prophet Muhammad (SM) and Abdul Kader Zilani reviewed the life and works of the Muslim saint and said, "The entire Muslim world is indebted to him." "He is a source of inspiration for the distressed humanity and people who are in pursuit of knowledge," Syed Mainuddin told the function also featured by a milad mahfil, zikr and discussions.
Anjuman-e-Rahmania Maizbhandaria organized the function at Rahmania Mainia Khanka Sharif at Uttar Khan while it was also addressed, among others, by Shahjada Syed Saifuddin Ahmed Maizbhandari and Maulana Nurul Islam Jamalpuri.
Special prayers were offered at the function seeking eternal blessings for peace and progress of the country, unity of Muslim community and fraternity among the mankind.


 Nor’wester damages boro
Staff Correspondent


A 65 to 70 kilometer nor'wester on Thursday night battered many villages of Kurigram and Shariatpur districts including sadar and left more than 100 people injured, destroyed over 8000 houses including educational institutions, damaged boro crops and uprooted trees.
Hundreds of storm-hit people are now living under the open sky. The storm left a trail of devastation at Kurigram and Shriatpur. The nor'wester started at about 9.20 pm and lasted for around 15 to 20 second, Met office sources said.
Due to the nor'wester, power supply was cut off plunging the whole area into darkness. People of the region are still without electricity till filing of the report on Friday night.
Besides road communication from the affected areas to other districts came to a halt as hundreds of roadside trees fell down on the highways. A good number of long distance buses remained stranded on the highways.

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Unemployment Creating frustrations among educated young
Amena Khatun Urmee

Frustrations and uncertainty grip the higher educated youths of the country as they are failing to engage themselves in work due to serious job crisis in recent days.
On the other hand, many educated persons have already crossed their age eligibility for jobs. During the last one year hundreds of thousands higher educated youth after completing Bachelor and Masters degree are either unemployed or underemployed and their numbers are increasing alarmingly as there is but little opportunity for creating new jobs.
Indicating the present job crisis Shumi, a fresh post graduate from Dhaka University told TBT correspondent that "I need a job to sustain in the city. Soon after my result, I have been applying for various jobs but I am yet to get any response from any organistion. On the other hand, my certificate age is going to expire as days go by. As I obtained the highest degree, I want to do something. But now I am frustrated. What can I do? What should I do? I don't know."
"The numbers of graduates are increasing every year but employment opportunities are not being created proportionately causing frustration, moral degradation among us as we are trying our best to be self dependent. If employment opportunity is not created, many of us will be involved in various anti-social and criminal activities" expressing utter resentment a group of job aspirants told The Bangladesh Today yesterday.
In search of jobs, educated persons in large scale from across the country are streaming to different metropolitan cities including capital Dhaka but new employment opportunity is not these as the government and non-government organizations can hardly absorb one-third of the new job seekers due to low investment level, low employment generation and poor economic growth.
According to sources as one million job seekers are entering into the job markets every year, but employment opportunities are not being created. As a result problems are becoming more and more acute. There are no indications of employment scenario improving in the immediate future.


 Shopping malls mushroom in city
Economists suggest decentralising wealth, power, investments

UNB, Dhaka


Dhaka, one of the world's worst mega city of over 10 million people, continues to see a chaotic growth of its skyline with multistoried shopping malls added to the old ones almost every month targeting the neo middle class.
There is hardly any locality in the city where there is no multistoried shopping complex although only a handful of people has the money to go shopping. A good number of multistoried markets have sprung up from Malibagh to Moghbazar intersections while some others are under construction. There are also some schools and residential apartments on Eskaton Road, a busy commercial street where there should not be any apartments or educational institutions. "Once there was only one prominent shopping complex, 'Mouchak Market', in the area. Seeing its success in attracting huge middle-class shoppers everyday, another multistoried shopping complex, 'Century Arcade', was constructed a few blocks west off Mouchak Market only to be marked by failure," said a permanent resident of Bara Moghbazar. "Even then more multistoried shopping complexes were built from Malibagh to Moghbazar, including one on a land owned by a former President."
He went on: "Let alone Malibagh-Moghbazar area, posh Dhanmondi, Gulshan and Banani, which were developed as residential areas, have also turned out to be either commercial or semi-commercial areas, denying the residents a peaceful civic life." Visits to a number of roads in Dhanmondi, including roads no. 5, 6, 11, 12, 13, 14 and 15, reveal that there are nearly 20 schools, 12 hospitals and an umpteen number of commercial establishments and NGO offices in the area. A former Rajuk official, wishing anonymity, said such multistoried buildings were being built in increasing numbers in flagrant violation of the rules and the builders often encroach upon nearby footpaths.
However, there are cases against many builders for violating the rules. Sources said several thousand such cases are pending with the High Court as the defenders went to the court seeking stay orders. Rajuk and PWD rules require builders to set aside a 23-sqm parking space for a 200-sqm commercial building and in case of shopping complexes 23 sqm for every 100 sqm.
According to a study conducted by Consumers' Association of Bangladesh (CAB), the lifestyle expenditure of the people increased by 16.78 percent in 2007 against 13.52 percent in the previous year.


Private educational institutions not following Govt Regulations
Staff Correspondent

The authorities of thousands of non-government English medium schools and colleges are running the educational institutions, defying government rules in this regard.
Despite government instruction to strictly follow the relevant rules and regulations, almost all of the private English medium educational institutions are not abiding by the rules properly, sources in the Secondary and Higher Secondary Education Department said.
As per rules, it is compulsory for all the private educational institutions, including English medium schools and colleges, to get registered with the relevant government office. But a huge number of English medium educational institutions are not complying with this rule over the last several years. According to sources, there are around 40,000 non-government kindergartens, primary schools, secondary schools and colleges in the country. But the number of registered private educational institutions is very thin. About 300 private schools and colleges are registered so far. There are allegations that almost all the unregistered private English medium educational institutions are plagued with widespread corruption and irregularities as these institutions are outside the purview of government rules.
Sources said, in the absence of any government initiative to implement the rules, the private English medium school and college authorities seem reluctant to follow the rules properly. There was no regulation to control the activities of the country's non-government schools and colleges for long. So, the educational institutions were being run in accordance with the will of their authorities.
In a bid to ensure discipline in all the private English medium schools and colleges, the government issued a gazette notification titled " Non-government (English Medium) Schools ' Registration Rules, 2007 " in November 2007. As per rules, it is mandatory for all the private schools and colleges, including nurseries and kindergartens, to get registered with the government office concerned. According to the rules, the private educational institutions have to prepare their educational curriculum and booklists, fix tuition fees, form managing committees, create funds, ensure teacher-student ratio and transparent recruitment policy and set up libraries in order to ensure quality education.
Since the issuance of the notification in November last, only a few non-government educational institutions responded in this regard. Only a handful of private schools are officially registered. According to relevant rules, no educational institution is allowed to teach their students any subject if it is inconsistent with the national history of Bangladesh.
According to the rules, there will be at least one teacher for 15 students in the nurseries, kindergartens and primary schools, one teacher for 25 students in secondary schools and one teacher for 30 students in the higher secondary educational institutes, sources said, but these rules are not followed.


Crime

Man gets life time RI in rape case
UNB, Kishoreganj
A tribunal here Thursday convicted a man and sentenced him to life term Rigorous Imprisonment (RI) for violating a girl in 2005.
The Women and Children Repression Prevention Tribunal also fined the convict M Maksud Alam, 29, son of Momtajuddin of Charpakundia village in Pakundia upazila, Tk 3 lakh, in default, to suffer five years more rigorous imprisonment. According to the prosecution, Maksud Alam forcibly took his co-villager's teenaged daughter to a shop in the area when she came to the local market on June 2, 2005 and violated her. Later, the girl became pregnant and her parents filed a case with the local police station against Maksud as his parents failed to keep the promise to solemnize their marriage. During the trial the girl also gave birth to a baby girl.
After examining the records and witnesses Tribunal Judge GMS Farid pronounced the verdict in the crowed courtroom.

UP chairman jailed; three held

UNB, Jhakurgaon
Chairman of Haripur Union Parishad Nazrul Islam when appeared in the district Judicial Magistrate Court in a case was sent to jail hajat on Thursday.
Sources said UP member Abdur Rouf filed an extortion case against four persons including the chairman with Haripur police station on March 10 this year. Later, the four accused went into hiding. Police after investigation submitted charge sheet against them in absentia.
Nazrul appeared in the court at noon and the magistrate rejecting his bail prayer sent him to jail hajat.
UNB Naogaon correspondent adds: three people were arrested along with 86 bottles of phensidyl syrup and a stolen motorbike from Bhorotatoraya area in Atrai upazila on Thursday.
Acting on a tip-off, police raided the area and arrested Rafiqul Islam, Farook Hossain and Rubel and recovered the drug and the motorbike from their possession.
A case was filed with the police.

Housewife killed for dowry

UNB, Sirajganj
A woman was killed by her husband at Char Koijuri village in Shahjadpur upazila Thursday night for her failure to pay dowry money. Police said Jahangir Khan of the village used to torture his wife Rozina Khatun, 18, over dowry money since their marriage 20 days back.
As Jahangir failed to realize the dowry money, he hit his wife with stick and strangulated her at his house at about 10:30 pm.
All the inmates, including Jahangir, went into hiding following the incident. On information, police recovered the body on Friday morning and sent to hospital morgue for autopsy. A case was filed with thana.

Employee beaten to death, girl's body recovered

UNB, Savar
A shop employee, who was beaten up by unknown assailants at his shop in front of Buribazar Diamond Factory near Ashulia thana Wednesday night, succumbed to his injuries when taken to Gonoshyasthya Hospital on Thursday morning.
Police said some miscreants beat Shahin, 19, employee of a scrap shop, with hammer indiscriminately while he was sleeping in his shop, leaving him critically injured. In the following morning, local people rescued him in an unconscious state and admitted him to the hospital where the attending doctors declared him dead.
UNB Chandpur correspondent adds: Decompose body of an unidentified adolescent girl was recovered from a ditch under Mithania Bridge in Hajiganj Upazila on Thursday morning.
Local people found the body, kept in a luggage and informed the police. Later, police recovered the body that bore some injury marks and sent it to hospital morgue for autopsy. Police suspected that miscreants might have killed the girl after rape.

Youth slaughtered

UNB, Rajbari
A young man was found slaughtered at Doulatdia area in Goalanda upazila here on Thursday morning.
Police said local people found the slaughtered body of the unidentified young man, aged around 32, lying on the ground behind Doulatdia Model High School in the morning.
Later, police on information recovered the body and sent it to Sadar hospital morgue for autopsy. A case was filed.

Project manager, assistant of Govt fish farm held

A Correspondent, Rangpur
Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) of Rangpur camp arrested project manager of Sattibari government Fish Farm Bodiul Bari and its office assistance Shafiqul Islam Safi while allegedly selling pollen of fish at higher rate illegally.
RAB commander of Rangpur camp Saiful Islam said, acting on secret information a number of RAB personnel in the guise of fish farmers bought one kg of siblings from the farm at Tk 25000 against the real price of Tk 1300 and caught the project manager and office assistance instantly on charge of fraud.
Saiful said, a number of farmers complained to RAB that they were harassed when they protested the illegal price hike.
RAB sources said, they also recovered a huge number of receipts from office of the farm which were primarily detected as forged.

Daring dacoity Wolves in sheep’s clothing

A Correspondent, Barisal
A gang of armed dacoits went to the house of Jahangir Kaviraj, recently back from Saudi Arabia, at Char Diashur village under Gournadi upazila of Barisal at about 2:00 am on Friday night.
Identifying them as police they asked the residents to open the door and entering house made the residents hostages under arms. Then the miscreants looted properties worth Tk 4 lakh including 600 Saudi Rials, demand draft of Tk 2 lakh, 4 costly mobile sets, gold ornaments and other valuables. Jahangir and his son Kabir became severely injured by beating and chopping and admitted at Gournadi upazila health complex.
Police visited the spot and a case was lodged in this connection with Gournadi police station.

Live bomb recovered

BSS, Chuadanga
Police recovered a powerful bomb near from local poura college last night at 9:20 O'clock.
Police said police was informed that a powerful live bomb has been found in front of the residence of one Mohiuddin near at local poura college.
Being informed a team of police rushed to the spot and recovered the bomb which was covered by a white tape. Later, the bomb was made inactive at the sadar police station.

Firearms recovered

BSS, Barisal
Members of Rapid Action Battalion (RAB) recovered one foreign made revolver and one pipe-gun from Kashipur intersection in the city on Thursday.
RAB sources said, acting on a tip-off, a team of the RAB raided the area and recovered the firearms from under soil. None was arrested in this connection.

Two sisters arrested

BSS, Mongla
Police arrested two sisters along with four kilogram ganja from Mongla Bazar area of the district on Thursday. The arrested were identified as Beauty, 40 and Nasima, 37.
Police said, police searched them for suspicious movement at Mongla Bazar area and recovered four-kg ganja.

10 held, scrap materials, drugs seized

BSS, Rajshahi
Members of Rapid Action Battalion (RAB)-5, in different anticrime drives, arrested 10 suspected criminals including six drug- peddlers and seized scrap materials, phensidyl and heroin from different areas in four northern districts during the last 24 hours till on Thursday afternoon, RAB sources said.

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Editorial

Perceptions of the current food crisis

The picture is always rosy because we are told to smile before the camera. Some have therefore retorted rightly that pictures can lie. The television channels and the media have their constraints, with their need to balance truth and 'rosyness'. Nevertheless, the reality or rather the picture of reality that we perceive through the television and the media are what the common person perceives as his (national) situation together with his immediate reality. The perception too can vary in accordance with various individual factors in conjunction with the ability and perception capabilities of the individual. Moreover, realities can too be constructed. However, the current concern with the 'food crisis' affects all of us to an approximately same degree, because food is a basic human need.
For the last couple of months various UN agencies, WB, IMF, ADB and a host of other "think tanks" are predicting social and political unrests in developing and low-per capita income countries consequent to global food shortages and high food prices. All of these predictions of "doom and dire consequences" must be considered with great care and circumspection because these global-agencies are all ready with "prescriptions" along with their predictions. Our as well as other nation's experiences leave no room for doubts that such prescriptions are worse than the problems which these prescriptions are intended to cure; more often then not, the programs suggested and often imposed by these agencies, exacerbate already existing economic, social and political problems. When WB, IMF, ADB and other such agencies "suggest" measure to improve economic conditions, they intend to increase their business of money lending tied to conditionalities which maximize their business but which do not take into consideration the prevailing national social and political conditions thus accelerating a slide into conflict and chaos.
We have witnessed in our political history that, matters of real necessity have always been dealt with behind shut doors and decisions passed on to the people like orders or commandments of the party in power. The culture of open discussion has never been practiced properly. If friction arose things would tend to be addressed through 'hartals' and matters being violently dealt with on the streets. It is an important issue to note with the praxis of so called 'democracy' in Bangladesh.
With the current reality of the threat of 'food crisis', the people have a legitimate expectation that the Emergency Government shall deal more pragmatically and with an openness about the true reality facing the nation, the options the government has before it, and what measures they propose to adopt in actuality to solve the problems. This is not only to firmly ground the praxis and political culture of open discussions with a more pro-active people's participation and establishing it as a way of unwritten governmental convention, but to respect and uphold the dignity of the people of our country which have hitherto been unashamedly neglected.


Spitting venom against media

It is surprising as well as shocking that the food secretary Mollah Wahiduzzaman has blamed the media for rice price hike saying frequent media reports on the increase in price of rice created negative impact. He also claimed that there was no food crisis in the country, nor was there any famine. But a certain quarter has desperately tried to create a crisis of food. The food secretary is amazingly on record as saying: "It is true that rice price had increased slightly, but it resulted in no crisis. At this time, talking over mobile phones did not fall and consequent upon the rise in rickshaw fare, the rickshaw pullers could puff out cigarettes comfortably. So, it is not true that there was a disaster for want of food."
The venom spit out against the media by the food secretary at a press conference on Wednesday is very unfortunate, but such baseless blame game is nothing new. In the past the ruling political leaders, specially those belonging to BNP, were fond of shifting the responsibility of their failure to the media. They are out of power now, but the food secretary's accusation shows that their 'loyal followers' are still there in the administration to blame the media for the crises the administration failed to tackle properly.
The then finance minister Saifur Rahman launching the campaign against the media said on 14 May 2006 that the reports of price hike of essentials were not correct and that the newspapers had caused the price escalation. A number of other ministers also had joined this campaign against the media. Among them were Matiur Rahman Nizami who had denied the existence of militant leader Banglabhai saying, ' Banglabhai is the creation of media' and energy adviser Mahmudur Rahman who accused the media of treason. And even the then Prime Minister Khaleda Zia had claimed during the final days of her tenure that there was no price escalation and that it was the propaganda of the media. But the reality was that the rulers made false statements while the media did the objective reporting.
It is an open secret that the government was unable to foresee the looming food crisis and take urgent steps to avert it. The administration had no idea about how to assess correctly the food situation and arrange for immediate imports to meet the deficit. The unusual delay in initiating negotiations with India for importing 5 lakh tons of rice after the commitment made in December by Indian Foreign Minister speaks amply of the incompetence of those who are now blaming the media for the crisis.
Thus we find that it has become a tradition for a section of the ministers and bureaucrats to conceal the reality and make baseless assertions to shift the responsibility of their failure to the media. This was quite common during successive political regimes and remains so even during this non-political government. This is deplorable. All those concerned should keep it in mind that spitting of venom against the media will never be able to force them to refrain from telling the truth.

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Analysis

U.S. torture- when can the prosecutions start?

What argument could the Bush principals argue in their defense? Do they know how isolated they are?

Jonathan Power

If the U.S. prosecution system wasn't so generally competent I would advocate referring the U.S. to the International Criminal Court so that senior figures in the Bush Administration could be arrested and tried for crimes against humanity, in particular the use of torture.
But it is competent, although it has been hamstrung by the clever legal footwork of the Bush administration plus the use of the presidential veto- as with the recent veto of legislation that would have required the CIA and all intelligence services to abide by the restrictions contained in the U.S. Army Field Manual on holding and interrogating prisoners.
We all know that the U.S. practices torture against terrorist suspects - water boarding or simulated drowning is clearly that - and we all know that when a new president is elected, given the clear statements of the remaining three candidates, the practice will stop. What we don't know is if a new president will have the guts to open the windows in the Justice Department and allow the fresh air of the rule of law to blow into every corner. If he or she does, unless Congress declares an amnesty, then senior figures in the Bush administration will be hauled into court, just as senior figures in the Nixon administration were hauled into court and sent to prison in the wake of the Watergate scandal.
An Associated Press story last week on the decision making that led to torture being authorized appears to suggest that the net of culpability will be spread wide- not only embracing hard liners such as Vice President Dick Cheney and former Attorney General John Ashcroft but more liberal figures including Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and her predecessor, Colin Powell.
These were the participants in White House Situation Room meetings that led to the infamous memos of the Office of the Legal Council of the Justice Department that in 2002 and 2003 laid out the justification for tough interrogation tactics. According to AP, "At times CIA officers would demonstrate some of the tactics to make sure that the principals could understand what they planned to do". ABC television, covering the same story, quoted Ashcroft as saying at the time, "Why are we talking about this in the White House?...History will not judge this kindly."
History won't. And neither will the U.S. military. Even under Bush the U.S. military has investigated hundreds of service members for abuses in Iraq and Afghanistan. The U.S. military takes great pride in teaching its soldiers civilized rules of war. Career military commanders and lawyers have consistently opposed the White House lead on reinterpreting the Geneva Conventions. Most of them are old enough to remember that it was President Ronald Reagan and his conservative counterpart in Britain, Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher, who led the way in asking their legislatures to ratify the UN Convention Against torture in 1988. These leaders were not so naive as to think that western civilization would never face again unscrupulous opponents but they became convinced, as Professor Steven Ratner eloquently put it in Foreign Policy magazine, that without these legal protections the West would "invite a world of wars in which laws disappear. And the horrors of such wars would far surpass anything the war on terror could deliver."
What argument could the Bush principals argue in their defense? Do they know how isolated they are? Britain and Spain have had to deal with the trials of those accused of major bombings. The prosecutors have managed to win convictions without abrogating the tough European human rights treaties, which constrain them even more than the Geneva Conventions.
Can they even prove torture works? There is no General Accounting Office report that weighs the results of torture against other forms of intelligence gathering. The most recent investigations of the value of torture have been done in the wake of the so called Battle of Algiers in the 1950s by the many French official torturers who have written memoirs describing what they did. Their conclusion was that the intelligence torture produced was inferior to work done by informers and other policing activities. According to Darius Rejali in his monumental work, 'Torture and Democracy', "if we go through the entire battle event by event, we find only two instances in which one could say that torture generated true, critically timely information." General Jacques Massu, the top French commander in Algeria, when asked later if torture was indispensable in war time, replied "No, it grieves me. We could have done things differently."
The French government managed to silence the debate at the time. Today's America is a much more open society. Let us see, once free of the Bush administration, what it can do to punish those involved in this grevious wrong.

(Jonathan Power is an internationally renowned freelance columnist. Copyright Jonathan Power. April 17th 2008.
E-mail: JonatPower@aol.com or phone: +46 706 51 08 79)


Double standards and dialogue

The fact that numerous potentates exploit it in order to preserve their power is not the fault of the religion.

Mona Sarkis

B
onn, Germany - Georges Corm is convinced that as long as the West pursues double moral standards and applies international law unequally, its attempts to establish dialogue with the Muslim world cannot be taken seriously. Mona Sarkis, a freelance journalist, spoke to the social scientist and former Lebanese Finance Minister:
Mr. Corm, in your most recent book, Histoire du Moyen Orient (History of the Middle East) you devote a lot of attention to what you refer to as the geographic "arabesque" that historically characterizes the Middle East, by which you mean the present Arab territories, the Mashriq, Turkey, and Iran. Why devote so much space to this concept?
Georges Corm: Because talk of "Muslim society" - as if it were one unified ethnic or national body - is out of touch with reality and I just wanted to show the diversity that has existed at the geographical level since ancient times. Persians, Turks and Arabs are not a homogenous group that is held together by religion. It is absurd to view Moroccan and Iranian society as one and the same. This presupposes that Islam is a living, unified being that exists in a precisely defined territory.
Since the collapse of the Soviet Union, authors like Bernard Lewis and Samuel Huntington have done their best to make the world believe in the existence of mega identity blocks such as "Islam" and "the West" - and unfortunately their efforts have been quite successful - but that is precisely the reason why reality must be quoted again and again.
In fact, Islam is - as scholars of the calibre of Michael Hodgson, Jacques Berque, Maxime Rodinson, or Ernest Gellner have demonstrated - only one aspect of the development of what is referred to as "Muslim societies". The fact that numerous potentates exploit it in order to preserve their power is not the fault of the religion.
Among these potentates I not only count dictators or emblematic Muslim fundamentalist leaders, but also the successive governments of the United States. In the final stages of the Cold War, a young generation of radical Arab Marxists made the United States worry that the resource-rich region might fall under Soviet control. To prevent this, they encouraged the political Islamic activists, thereby setting in motion a dynamic development that can no longer be stopped.
Yet you disagree with the concept of "re-Islamicisation"...
Corm: Because it underpins the notion that Islam is a monolithic block. Until the 1960s, Iraq, Egypt and Syria all promoted secular nationalism, but they failed altogether with the collapse of pan-Arabism. Pan-Arabism was then replaced by varieties of pan-Islamism that were not uniform, but were shaped by either Shi'ism or Sunnism. The difference between the two was responsible for the devastating eight-year war between Iraq and Iran in the 1980s.
This in itself reveals the limitations of Huntington's concept of a "civilisation" as a coherent political and military unit. Nevertheless, the West continues to address the "Muslim region" with this concept. The United States, for example, classifies Iraq, Iran, Syria, and North Korea as the "axis of evil" despite the radical differences between these very different countries, political regimes, and cultures.

(Mona Sarkis is a freelance writer based in Berlin. This article is distributed by the Common Ground News Service. Source: Qantara.de, 1 April 2008, www.qantara.de.
Copyright permission is granted for publication.)


The real debate we need

Europe is in a transition between its past, which it is seeking to overcome, and a future that it has not yet reached.

Henry Kissinger

T
HE long-predicted national debate about national security policy has yet to occur. Essentially tactical issues have overwhelmed the most important challenge a new administration will confront: how to distil a new international order from three simultaneous revolutions occurring around the globe.
These are (a) the transformation of the traditional state system of Europe; (b) the radical Islamist challenge to historic notions of sovereignty; and (c) the drift of the centre of gravity of international affairs from the Atlantic to the Pacific and Indian Oceans.
Conventional wisdom holds that disenchantment with President Bush's alleged unilateralism is at the heart of European-American disagreements. But it will become apparent soon after the change of administrations that the principal difference between the two sides of the Atlantic is that America is still a traditional nation-state whose people respond to calls for sacrifices on behalf of a much wider definition of the national interest than Europe's.
The nations of Europe, having been drained by two World Wars, have agreed to transfer significant aspects of their sovereignties to the European Union. Political loyalties associated with the nation-state have proved not to be automatically transferable, however. Europe is in a transition between its past, which it is seeking to overcome, and a future that it has not yet reached.
In the process, the nature of the European state has been transformed. With the nation no longer defining itself by a distinct future and with the cohesion of the European Union as yet untested, the capacity of most European governments to ask their people for sacrifices has diminished dramatically.
The disagreement over the use of NATO forces in Afghanistan is a case in point. In the aftermath of September 11, the North Atlantic Council, acting without any request by the United States, invoked Article 5 of the NATO Treaty calling for mutual assistance. But when NATO set about to assume military responsibilities, domestic constraints obliged many allies to limit the number of troops and to constrict the missions for which lives could be risked. As a result, the Atlantic Alliance is in the process of evolving a two-tiered system - an alliance la carte whose capability for common action does not match its general obligations. Over time, one of two adaptations must take place: either a redefinition of the general obligations or a formal elaboration of a two-tiered system in which political obligations and military capabilities are harmonised. This might be accomplished by assigning out-of-area projects to a European reaction force, which would then create an ad hoc alliance of the willing.
While the traditional role of the state in Europe is diminished by the choice of its governments, the declining role of the state in the Middle East is inherent in the way they were founded. The successor states of the Ottoman Empire were established by the victorious powers at the end of the First World War. Unlike the European states, their borders did not reflect ethnic principles or linguistic distinctiveness but the balances achieved by the European powers in their contests outside the region.
Today it is radical Islam that threatens the already brittle state structure via a fundamentalist interpretation of the Koran as the basis of a universal political organisation. Radical Islam rejects claims to national sovereignty based on secular state models, and its reach extends to wherever significant populations profess the Muslim faith. Since neither the international system nor the internal structure of existing states has legitimacy in Islamist eyes, its ideology leaves little room for Western notions of negotiation or of equilibrium in a region of vital interest to the security and well-being of the industrial states. That struggle is endemic; we do not have the option of withdrawal from it. We can retreat from any one place like Iraq but only to be obliged to resist from new positions, probably more disadvantageously. Even advocates of unilateral withdrawal speak of retaining residual forces to prevent a resurgence of Al Qaeda or radicalism.
These transformations take place against the backdrop of a third trend, a shift in the centre of gravity of international affairs from the Atlantic to the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Paradoxically, this redistribution of power is to a part of the world where the nation still possesses the characteristics of traditional European states. The major states of Asia - China, Japan, India and, in time, possibly Indonesia - view each other the way participants in the European balance of power did, as inherent competitors even when they occasionally participate in cooperative ventures.
In the past, such shifts in the structure of power generally led to war, as happened in the case of the emergence of Germany in the late 19th century. Today the rise of China is assigned that role in much alarmist commentary. True, the Sino-American relationship will inevitably contain classical geopolitical and competitive elements. These must not be neglected. But there are countervailing elements. Economic and financial globalisation, environmental and energy imperatives, and the destructive power of modern weapons impose a major effort at global cooperation - especially between the United States and China. An adversarial relationship would leave both countries in the position of Europe after the two World Wars through self-destructive conflict with each other, while other societies achieved the pre-eminence they sought.
No previous generation has had to deal with different revolutions occurring simultaneously in separate parts of the world. The quest for a single, all-inclusive remedy is chimerical. In Europe, the civil society is congruent with the political structure of states but not - at least yet - with the political structure of the European Union. In the Middle East, civil society is being shaped by transnational forces at odds with the internal structure of many states. In the Atlantic area, the challenge is how to evolve institutions that bring the willingness to sacrifice for the future into balance with the requirements of international order. In the Islamic world, the jihadists are prepared to sacrifice all notions of civil society to the pursuit of an apocalyptic utopia. In Asia, in terms of classical diplomacy, two kinds of adjustments will define 21st-century diplomacy: the relationship between the great Asian powers, China, India, Japan and possibly Indonesia, and how America and China deal with each other.
In a world in which the sole superpower is a proponent of the prerogatives of the traditional nation-state, where Europe is stuck in a halfway status, where the Middle East does not fit the nation-state model and faces a religiously motivated revolution, and where the nation-states of South and East Asia still practice the balance of power, what is the nature of the international order that can accommodate these different perspectives? Are existing international organisations adequate for this purpose? If not, which changes would be desirable? What goals can America set realistically for itself and the world community? Can we make the transformation of major countries a condition for reliable progress, or need we concentrate on a less crusading purpose? What objectives must be sought in concert, and what are the extreme circumstances that would justify unilateral action? What is the style of leadership most likely to achieve these aims? This is the kind of debate we need, not slogans driven by focus groups for daily headlines.

Dr. Henry Kissinger is a
former US Secretary of State.
Source: www.khaleejtimes.com


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The Case Against the West

The West is understandably reluctant to accept that the era of its domination is ending and that the Asian century has come.

Kishore Mahbubani

There is a fundamental flaw in the West's strategic thinking. In all its analyses of global challenges, the West assumes that it is the source of the solutions to the world's key problems. In fact, however, the West is also a major source of these problems. Unless key Western policymakers learn to understand and deal with this reality, the world is headed for an even more troubled phase.
The West is understandably reluctant to accept that the era of its domination is ending and that the Asian century has come. No civilization cedes power easily, and the West's resistance to giving up control of key global institutions and processes is natural. Yet the West is engaging in an extraordinary act of self-deception by believing that it is open to change. In fact, the West has become the most powerful force preventing the emergence of a new wave of history, clinging to its privileged position in key global forums, such as the UN Security Council, the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, and the G-8 (the group of highly industrialized states), and refusing to contemplate how the West will have to adjust to the Asian century.
Partly as a result of its growing insecurity, the West has also become increasingly incompetent in its handling of key global problems. Many Western commentators can readily identify specific failures, such as the Bush administration's botched invasion and occupation of Iraq. But few can see that this reflects a deeper structural problem: the West's inability to see that the world has entered a new era.
Apart from representing a specific failure of policy execution, the war in Iraq has also highlighted the gap between the reality and what the West had expected would happen after the invasion. Arguably, the United States and the United Kingdom intended only to free the Iraqi people from a despotic ruler and to rid the world of a dangerous man, Saddam Hussein. Even if George W. Bush and Tony Blair had no malevolent intentions, however, their approaches were trapped in the Western mindset of believing that their interventions could lead only to good, not harm or disaster. This led them to believe that the invading U.S. troops would be welcomed with roses thrown at their feet by happy Iraqis. But the twentieth century showed that no country welcomes foreign invaders. The notion that any Islamic nation would approve of Western military boots on its soil was ridiculous. Even in the early twentieth century, the British invasion and occupation of Iraq was met with armed resistance. In 1920, Winston Churchill, then British secretary for war and air, quelled the rebellion of Kurds and Arabs in British-occupied Iraq by authorizing his troops to use chemical weapons. "I am strongly in favor of using poisoned gas against uncivilized tribes," Churchill said. The world has moved on from this era, but many Western officials have not abandoned the old assumption that an army of Christian soldiers can successfully invade, occupy, and transform an Islamic society.
Many Western leaders often begin their speeches by remarking on how perilous the world is becoming. Speaking after the August 2006 discovery of a plot to blow up transatlantic flights originating from London, President Bush said, "The American people need to know we live in a dangerous world." But even as Western leaders speak of such threats, they seem incapable of conceding that the West itself could be the fundamental source of these dangers. After all, the West includes the best-managed states in the world, the most economically developed, those with the strongest democratic institutions. But one cannot assume that a government that rules competently at home will be equally good at addressing challenges abroad. In fact, the converse is more likely to be true. Although the Western mind is obsessed with the Islamist terrorist threat, the West is mishandling the two immediate and pressing challenges of Afghanistan and Iraq. And despite the grave threat of nuclear terrorism, the Western custodians of the nonproliferation regime have allowed that regime to weaken significantly. The challenge posed by Iran's efforts to enrich uranium has been aggravated by the incompetence of the United States and the European Union. On the economic front, for the first time since World War II, the demise of a round of global trade negotiations, the Doha Round, seems imminent. Finally, the danger of global warming, too, is being mismanaged.
Yet Westerners seldom look inward to understand the deeper reasons these global problems are being mismanaged. Are there domestic structural reasons that explain this? Have Western democracies been hijacked by competitive populism and structural short-termism, preventing them from addressing long-term challenges from a broader global perspective?
Fortunately, some Asian states may now be capable of taking on more responsibilities, as they have been strengthened by implementing Western principles. In September 2005, Robert Zoellick, then U.S. deputy secretary of state, called on China to become a "responsible stakeholder" in the international system. China has responded positively, as have other Asian states. In recent decades, Asians have been among the greatest beneficiaries of the open multilateral order created by the United States and the other victors of World War II, and few today want to destabilize it. The number of Asians seeking a comfortable middle-class existence has never been higher. For centuries, the Chinese and the Indians could only dream of such an accomplishment; now it is within the reach of around half a billion people in China and India. Their ideal is to achieve what the United States and Europe did. They want to replicate, not dominate, the West. The universalization of the Western dream represents a moment of triumph for the West. And so the West should welcome the fact that the Asian states are becoming competent at handling regional and global challenges.
THE MIDDLE EAST MESS
Western policies have been most harmful in the Middle East. The Middle East is also the most dangerous region in the world. Trouble there affects not just seven million Israelis, around four million Palestinians, and 200 million Arabs; it also affects more than a billion Muslims worldwide. Every time there is a major flare-up in the Middle East, such as the U.S. invasion of Iraq or the Israeli bombing of Lebanon, Islamic communities around the world become concerned, distressed, and angered. And few of them doubt the problem's origin: the West.
The invasion and occupation of Iraq, for example, was a multidimensional error. The theory and practice of international law legitimizes the use of force only when it is an act of self-defense or is authorized by the UN Security Council. The U.S.-led invasion of Iraq could not be justified on either count. The United States and the United Kingdom sought the Security Council's authorization to invade Iraq, but the council denied it. It was therefore clear to the international community that the subsequent war was illegal and that it would do huge damage to international law.
This has created an enormous problem, partly because until this point both the United States and the United Kingdom had been among the primary custodians of international law. American and British minds, such as James Brierly, Philip Jessup, Hersch Lauterpacht, and Hans Morgenthau, developed the conceptual infrastructure underlying international law, and American and British leaders provided the political will to have it accepted in practice. But neither the United States nor the United Kingdom will admit that the invasion and the occupation of Iraq were illegal or give up their historical roles as the chief caretakers of international law. Since 2003, both nations have frequently called for Iran and North Korea to implement UN Security Council resolutions. But how can the violators of UN principles also be their enforcers?
One rare benefit of the Iraq war may be that it has awakened a new fear of Iran among the Sunni Arab states. Egypt, Jordan, and Saudi Arabia, among others, do not want to deal with two adversaries and so are inclined to make peace with Israel. Saudi Arabia's King Abdullah used the opportunity of the special Arab League summit meeting in March 2007 to relaunch his long-standing proposal for a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Unfortunately, the Bush administration did not seize the opportunity -- or revive the Taba accords that President Bill Clinton had worked out in January 2001, even though they could provide a basis for a lasting settlement and the Saudis were prepared to back them. In its early days, the Bush administration appeared ready to support a two-state solution. It was the first U.S. administration to vote in favor of a UN Security Council resolution calling for the creation of a Palestinian state, and it announced in March 2002 that it would try to achieve such a result by 2005. But here it is 2008, and little progress has been made.
The United States has made the already complicated Israeli-Palestinian conflict even more of a mess. Many extremist voices in Tel Aviv and Washington believe that time will always be on Israel's side. The pro-Israel lobby's stranglehold on the U.S. Congress, the political cowardice of U.S. politicians when it comes to creating a Palestinian state, and the sustained track record of U.S. aid to Israel support this view. But no great power forever sacrifices its larger national interests in favor of the interests of a small state. If Israel fails to accept the Taba accords, it will inevitably come to grief. If and when it does, Western incompetence will be seen as a major cause.
NEVER SAY NEVER
Nuclear nonproliferation is another area in which the West, especially the United States, has made matters worse. The West has long been obsessed with the danger of the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, particularly nuclear weapons. It pushed successfully for the near-universal ratification of the Biological and Toxin Weapons Convention, the Chemical Weapons Convention, and the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT).
But the West has squandered many of those gains. Today, the NPT is legally alive but spiritually dead. The NPT was inherently problematic since it divided the world into nuclear haves (the states that had tested a nuclear device by 1967) and nuclear have-nots (those that had not). But for two decades it was reasonably effective in preventing horizontal proliferation (the spread of nuclear weapons to other states). Unfortunately, the NPT has done nothing to prevent vertical proliferation, namely, the increase in the numbers and sophistication of nuclear weapons among the existing nuclear weapons states. During the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union agreed to work together to limit proliferation. The governments of several countries that could have developed nuclear weapons, such as Argentina, Brazil, Germany, Japan, and South Korea, restrained themselves because they believed the NPT reflected a fair bargain between China, France, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, and the United States (the five official nuclear weapons states and five permanent members of the UN Security Council) and the rest of the world. Both sides agreed that the world would be safer if the five nuclear states took steps to reduce their arsenals and worked toward the eventual goal of universal disarmament and the other states refrained from acquiring nuclear weapons at all.
So what went wrong? The first problem was that the NPT's principal progenitor, the United States, decided to walk away from the postwar rule-based order it had created, thus eroding the infrastructure on which the NPT's enforcement depends. During the time I was Singapore's ambassador to the UN, between 1984 and 1989, Jeane Kirkpatrick, the U.S. ambassador to the UN, treated the organization with contempt. She infamously said, "What takes place in the Security Council more closely resembles a mugging than either a political debate or an effort at problem-solving." She saw the postwar order as a set of constraints, not as a set of rules that the world should follow and the United States should help preserve. This undermined the NPT, because with no teeth of its own, no self-regulating or sanctioning mechanisms, and a clause allowing signatories to ignore obligations in the name of "supreme national interest," the treaty could only really be enforced by the UN Security Council. And once the United States began tearing holes in the fabric of the overall system, it created openings for violations of the NPT and its principles. Finally, by going to war with Iraq without UN authorization, the United States lost its moral authority to ask, for example, Iran to abide by Security Council resolutions.
Another problem has been the United States' -- and other nuclear weapons states' -- direct assault on the treaty. The NPT is fundamentally a social contract between the five nuclear weapons states and the rest of the world, based partly on the understanding that the nuclear powers will eventually give up their weapons. Instead, during the Cold War, the United States and the Soviet Union increased both the quantity and the sophistication of their nuclear weapons: the United States' nuclear stockpile peaked in 1966 at 31,700 warheads, and the Soviet Union's peaked in 1986 at 40,723. In fact, the United States and the Soviet Union developed their nuclear stockpiles so much that they actually ran out of militarily or economically significant targets. The numbers have declined dramatically since then, but even the current number of nuclear weapons held by the United States and Russia can wreak enormous damage on human civilization.
The nuclear states' decision to ignore Israel's nuclear weapons program was especially damaging to their authority. No nuclear weapons state has ever publicly acknowledged Israel's possession of nuclear weapons. Their silence has created a loophole in the NPT and delegitimized it in the eyes of Muslim nations. The consequences have been profound. When the West sermonizes that the world will become a more dangerous place when Iran acquires nuclear weapons, the Muslim world now shrugs.
India and Pakistan were already shrugging by 1998, when they tested their first nuclear weapons. When the international community responded by condemning the tests and applying sanctions on India, virtually all Indians saw through the hypocrisy and double standards of their critics. By not respecting their own obligations under the NPT, the five nuclear states had robbed their condemnations of any moral legitimacy; criticisms from Australia and Canada, which have also remained silent about Israel's bomb, similarly had no moral authority. The near-unanimous rejection of the NPT by the Indian establishment, which is otherwise very conscious of international opinion, showed how dead the treaty already was.
From time to time, common sense has entered discussions on nuclear weapons. President Ronald Reagan said more categorically than any U.S. president that the world would be better off without nuclear weapons. Last year, with the NPT in its death throes and the growing threat of loose nuclear weapons falling into the hands of terrorists forefront in everyone's mind, former Secretary of State George Shultz, former Defense Secretary William Perry, former Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, and former Senator Sam Nunn warned in The Wall Street Journal that the world was "now on the precipice of a new and dangerous nuclear era." They argued," Unless urgent new actions are taken, the U.S. soon will be compelled to enter a new nuclear era that will be more precarious, psychologically disorienting, and economically even more costly than was Cold War deterrence." But these calls may have come too late. The world has lost its trust in the five nuclear weapons states and now sees them as the NPT's primary violators rather than its custodians. Those states' private cynicism about their obligations to the NPT has become public knowledge.
Contrary to what the West wants the rest of the world to believe, the nuclear weapons states, especially the United States and Russia, which continue to maintain thousands of nuclear weapons, are the biggest source of nuclear proliferation. Mohamed El Baradei, the director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, warned in The Economist in 2003, "The very existence of nuclear weapons gives rise to the pursuit of them. They are seen as a source of global influence, and are valued for their perceived deterrent effect. And as long as some countries possess them (or are protected by them in alliances) and others do not, this asymmetry breeds chronic global insecurity." Despite the Cold War, the second half of the twentieth century seemed to be moving the world toward a more civilized order. As the twenty-first century unfurls, the world seems to be sliding backward.
IRRESPONSIBLE STAKEHOLDERS
After leading the world toward a period of spectacular economic growth in the second half of the twentieth century by promoting global free trade, the West has recently been faltering in its global economic leadership. Believing that low trade barriers and increasing trade interdependence would result in higher standards of living for all, European and U.S. economists and policymakers pushed for global economic liberalization. As a result, global trade grew from seven percent of the world's GDP in 1940 to 30 percent in 2005.
But a seismic shift has taken place in Western attitudes since the end of the Cold War. Suddenly, the United States and Europe no longer have a vested interest in the success of the East Asian economies, which they see less as allies and more as competitors. That change in Western interests was reflected in the fact that the West provided little real help to East Asia during the Asian financial crisis of 1997-98. The entry of China into the global marketplace, especially after its admission to the World Trade Organization, has made a huge difference in both economic and psychological terms. Many Europeans have lost confidence in their ability to compete with the Asians. And many Americans have lost confidence in the virtues of competition.
There are some knotty issues that need to be resolved in the current global trade talks, but fundamentally the negotiations are stalled because the conviction of the Western "champions" of free trade that free trade is good has begun to waver. When Americans and Europeans start to perceive themselves as losers in international trade, they also lose their drive to push for further trade liberalization. Unfortunately, on this front at least, neither China nor India (nor Brazil nor South Africa nor any other major developing country) is ready to take over the West's mantle. China, for example, is afraid that any effort to seek leadership in this area will stoke U.S. fears that it is striving for global hegemony. Hence, China is lying low. So, too, are the United States and Europe. Hence, the trade talks are stalled. The end of the West's promotion of global trade liberalization could well mean the end of the most spectacular economic growth the world has ever seen. Few in the West seem to be reflecting on the consequences of walking away from one of the West's most successful policies, which is what it will be doing if it allows the Doha Round to fail.
At the same time that the Western governments are relinquishing their stewardship of the global economy, they are also failing to take the lead on battling global warming. The awarding of the Nobel Peace Prize to former U.S. Vice President Al Gore, a longtime environmentalist, and the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change confirms there is international consensus that global warning is a real threat. The most assertive advocates for tackling this problem come from the U.S. and European scientific communities, but the greatest resistance to any effective action is coming from the U.S. government. This has left the rest of the world confused and puzzled. Most people believe that the greenhouse effect is caused mostly by the flow of current emissions. Current emissions do aggravate the problem, but the fundamental cause is the stock of emissions that has accumulated since the Industrial Revolution. Finding a just and equitable solution to the problem of greenhouse gas emissions must begin with assigning responsibility both for the current flow and for the stock of greenhouse gases already accumulated. And on both counts the Western nations should bear a greater burden.
When it comes to addressing any problem pertaining to the global commons, such as the environment, it seems only fair that the wealthier members of the international community should shoulder more responsibility. This is a natural principle of justice. It is also fair in this particular case given the developed countries' primary role in releasing harmful gases into the atmosphere. R. K. Pachauri, chair of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, argued last year, "China and India are certainly increasing their share, but they are not increasing their per capita emissions anywhere close to the levels that you have in the developed world." Since 1850, China has contributed less than 8 percent of the world's total emissions of carbon dioxide, whereas the United States is responsible for 29 percent and Western Europe is responsible for 27 percent. Today, India's per capita greenhouse gas emissions are equivalent to only 4 percent of those of the United States and 12 percent of those of the European Union. Still, the Western governments are not clearly acknowledging their responsibilities and are allowing many of their citizens to believe that China and India are the fundamental obstacles to any solution to global warming.
Washington might become more responsible on this front if a Democratic president replaces Bush in 2009. But people in the West will have to make some real concessions if they are to reduce significantly their per capita share of global emissions. A cap-and-trade program may do the trick. Western countries will probably have to make economic sacrifices. One option might be, as the journalist Thomas Friedman has suggested, to impose a dollar-per-gallon tax on Americans' gasoline consumption. Gore has proposed a carbon tax. So far, however, few U.S. politicians have dared to make such suggestions publicly.
TEMPTATIONS OF THE EAST
The Middle East, nuclear proliferation, stalled trade liberalization, and global warming are all challenges that the West is essentially failing to address. And this failure suggests that a systemic problem is emerging in the West's stewardship of the international order -- one that Western minds are reluctant to analyze or confront openly. After having enjoyed centuries of global domination, the West has to learn to share power and responsibility for the management of global issues with the rest of the world. It has to forgo outdated organizations, such as the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, and outdated processes, such as the G-8, and deal with organizations and processes with a broader scope and broader representation. It was always unnatural for the 12 percent of the world population that lived in the West to enjoy so much global power. Understandably, the other 88 percent of the world population increasingly wants also to drive the bus of world history.
First and foremost, the West needs to acknowledge that sharing the power it has accumulated in global forums would serve its interests. Restructuring international institutions to reflect the current world order will be complicated by the absence of natural leaders to do the job. The West has become part of the problem, and the Asian countries are not yet ready to step in. On the other hand, the world does not need to invent any new principles to improve global governance; the concepts of domestic good governance can and should be applied to the international community. The Western principles of democracy, the rule of law, and social justice are among the world's best bets. The ancient virtues of partnership and pragmatism can complement them.
Democracy, the foundation of government in the West, is based on the premise that each human being in a society is an equal stakeholder in the domestic order. Thus, governments are selected on the basis of "one person, one vote." This has produced long-term stability and order in Western societies. In order to produce long-term stability and order worldwide, democracy should be the cornerstone of global society, and the planet's 6.6 billion inhabitants should become equal stakeholders. To inject the spirit of democracy into global governance and global decision-making, one must turn to institutions with universal representation, especially the UN. UN institutions such as the World Health Organization and the World Meteorological Organization enjoy widespread legitimacy because of their universal membership, which means their decisions are generally accepted by all the countries of the world.
The problem today is that although many Western actors are willing to work with specialized UN agencies, they are reluctant to strengthen the UN's core institution, the UN General Assembly, from which all these specialized agencies come. The UN General Assembly is the most representative body on the planet, and yet many Western countries are deeply skeptical of it. They are right to point out its imperfections. But they overlook the fact that this imperfect assembly enjoys legitimacy in the eyes of the people of this imperfect world. Moreover, the General Assembly has at times shown more common sense and prudence than some of the most sophisticated Western democracies. Of course, it takes time to persuade all of the UN's members to march in the same direction, but consensus building is precisely what gives legitimacy to the result. Most countries in the world respect and abide by most UN decisions because they believe in the authority of the UN. Used well, the body can be a powerful vehicle for making critical